Election News

Donald Trump Officially Wins Presidency as Electoral Votes Counted by Congress

The Associated Press reports that "it's official: Congress has tallied the Electoral College votes and Donald Trump has been elected president." Mike Pence was elected vice-president.

The count, as with much of the 2016 election, had its share of drama. Several objections were raised but all were disallowed. 

The final presidential electoral vote is unchanged from December 19th, when the electors met in their respective state capitals to cast their votes. Trump won 304 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton 227. Seven faithless electors cast their votes for someone else.

If All States Voted Like Maine and Nebraska: Trump 290 Clinton 248

During late December, we published preliminary results of how the 2016 electoral vote would have turned out using some alternative allocation methodologies. Those projections still look good. 

While some vote data is still incomplete, we're now able to provide a pretty good estimate of how the map would have looked* if each state voted as they do in Maine and Nebraska. 

 

Trump's Winning Map Changes 'Same Since' Maps Dating Back to 1988

We've updated our series of 'Same Since' electoral maps, which go back through time to show presidential election single party voting streaks. There are 13 such maps, one for each election from 1964-2012. 

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump won six states (and a district in Maine) that Barack Obama had won in 2012. Three of these states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin), as well as the Maine district had been blue for a generation or more. The other three states (Florida, Iowa, Ohio) were last 'red' in 2004. 

 

2016 Alternate Electoral Methods: A Preliminary Look

One of the more popular questions we get asked is how the election would have turned out using some other allocation methodology. We analyzed this for the 2012 election, and plan to update that for 2016 once all the data is finalized. Look for that over the next month or so.

Enough information is now available to make a pretty good estimate how things would have turned out with each alternative approach*. The bottom line is that in most cases, Donald Trump would still have surpassed 270 electoral votes, but his winning margin would be less than the 74 (306-232, ignoring faithless) electoral votes by which he actually won. However, the impact of these alternate methods is insignificant compared to 2012.

Donald Trump Confirmed President-Elect by Electoral College; Winning 304 Votes

Donald J. Trump was confirmed as president-elect today by members of the Electoral College, winning at least 304 electoral votes. Texas put Trump over the top as it cast its vote after 5PM ET today. 304 is likely to be Trump's final number, as the three states yet to vote - California, Nevada and Hawaii - were won by Hillary Clinton on Election Day. Should those electors all vote as pledged, Clinton will end up with 228 votes.

 

Four Faithless Electors Recorded in Washington

The Washington Secretary of State is reporting 4 faithless electors in today's ballot, with 8 votes going to Hillary Clinton, who won the popular vote there. 

Trump Reaches 240 Electoral Votes; Texas Expected to Put Him Across 270 Next Hour

Donald Trump has reached 240 electoral votes this hour. Texas, with its 38 votes, is expected to push the president-elect across 270, making this all official, in the next hour.

Florida's 29 electors have voted for Donald Trump

Idaho's 4 electors have voted for Donald Trump

Electors Continue to Vote as Trump Moves within 100 of 270

Electoral votes continue to come in during the 1PM (ET) hour. Donald Trump is within 100 of the required 270, as no faithless electors have yet materialized.

Alabama's 9 electors have voted for Donald Trump

Kansas' 6 electors have voted for Donald Trump 

Electoral Votes Taken Since Noon Continue with No Surprises

Arizona's 11 electors have voted for Donald Trump

Connecticut's 7 electors have voted for Hillary Clinton

Delaware's 3 electors have voted for Hillary Clinton

Trump Leads 55-27, As Expected, After First 10 States Vote

Arkansas' 6 electors have voted for Donald Trump.

Mississippi's 6 electors have voted for Donald Trump 

Oklahoma's 7 electors have voted for Donald Trump.