2024 Presidential Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Presidential forecast.

2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

July 28: No changes. Cook Political Report ratings now included in the consensus.

Crystal Ball 2024 Electoral College Ratings

The current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

June 29: Initial 2024 ratings. Read the analysis >>

Cook Political Report 2024 Electoral College Ratings

The current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Cook Political Report. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

July 28: Initial 2024 ratings. Read the analysis ($)

Inside Elections 2024 Presidential Ratings

The current ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

September 1: No changes

 

 

Split Ticket 2024 President Ratings

The current Split Ticket ratings for the 2024 presidential election. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.

Read the analysis behind these ratings.

U.S. News 2024 Presidential Ratings

The current 2024 presidential election ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

July 10: Initial ratings. Read the analysis >