Election News

Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos Not Running for Reelection

Illinois Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos announced Friday that she would not seek a 6th term in Congress next year.  

Bustos led the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2020. The party lost about 12 seats, significantly underperforming expectations. Bustos was only narrowly reelected herself, defeating Republican Esther King by about 4%.

The Illinois 17th district currently covers the northwestern part of the state. The borders for 2022 will shift in the upcoming redistricting, from which the state will emerge with one fewer district. 

 

Rep. Ted Budd Enters North Carolina Senate Race

GOP Rep. Ted Budd (NC-13) announced his candidacy for the 2022 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina.  He becomes the third prominent Republican hoping to succeed retiring fellow Republican Sen. Richard Burr. 

Budd posted a launch video to YouTube.

The race to succeed Burr, who is retiring after three terms, is expected to be among the most closely-contested of the 34 Senate elections to be held in 2022. This comes on the heels of the state's 2020 Senate race, which was the most expensive in history.

Before getting to November, there will also be a fierce battle for the GOP nomination. Budd joins former governor Pat McCrory and former Rep. Mark Walker as announced candidates. Lara Trump has also expressed interest, but the field has been growing in the absence of her decision.

House Retirements

Budd, in his third term, is the second House member to launch a 2022 Senate run this week. On Monday, Democrat Tim Ryan announced he would run in Ohio. Unlike Ohio, which is losing a congressional seat, North Carolina gained one in the Census apportionment data released earlier this week.

Live Results: CT-145 State House Special Election, AL-73 GOP Primary

On Tuesday, Connecticut holds a State House special election. There's also a GOP primary runoff in Alabama for an open State House seat. Polls in both close at 8:00 PM ET.

State House Special General Election

Connecticut District 145

There are 151 State House districts in Connecticut. Currently, the chamber has 96 Democrats and 54 Republicans. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.  Earlier this month, a vacancy in District 112 was won by Republican Tony Scott. Scott was seated on April 19. 

The District 145 vacancy was created by the resignation of Democrat Patricia Miller on March 8. Miller had won a special election for an open State Senate seat the prior week.

The major party candidates are Democrat Corey Paris and Republican J.D. Ospina. 

State House Special Primary Election Runoff

Alabama District 73 (GOP)

Leigh Hulsey and Kenneth Paschal advanced by being the top two finishers in the March 30 primary. Neither received the majority needed to avoid the runoff.  The winner will meet Democrat Sheridan Black in the July 13 special general election.

Upcoming May 1

  • Five Texas mayoral elections: Arlington, Fort Worth, Garland, Plano and San Antonio
  • Special election for the vacant 6th congressional district in Texas

Rep. Tim Ryan Announces 2022 Run for U.S. Senate in Ohio

Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan announced Monday that he will run for U.S. Senate in 2022. He becomes the first prominent Democrat to enter the race, hoping to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Rob Portman.

Ryan posted a campaign announcement video on Twitter. 

Ryan is in his 10th term in the House, the last five of which have been representing the Youngstown area 13th district. His 2020 reelection margin of victory was 7.5%, the smallest of his congressional career.  Earlier in that 2020 cycle, he was a candidate for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination but gained little traction. 

Ohio will lose a congressional district in upcoming redistricting, giving it 15 for the next decade. After reaching a peak of 24 districts during the 1960s, the state has lost at least one in each subsequent Census.

Census Apportionment Results Released; 13 States See a Change in Congressional Seats

The Census Bureau announced Monday that the resident population of the U.S. on April 1, 2020 - the official date of the Census - was 331,449,281. The Bureau also released apportionment results for the 50 states.  This updates the number of congressional districts that each state will have over the next decade. That in turn updates the electoral map that will be used for the 2024 and 2028 presidential election.

We've updated the interactive electoral map to include both 2020 and 2024 numbers, as well as the ability to see the change associated with the apportionment. For example, taking the actual results of the 2020 election, the change map looks like this:

If the 2024 election were to mirror that of 2020, the result would be 303-235 instead of 306-232. 

In the end, only 13 states saw a shift in congressional districts. Texas gained 2, and Florida 1. Earlier estimates had those states gaining 3 and 2, respectively. 11 other states gained or lost a district. Three states expected to lose a district - Alabama, Minnesota and Rhode Island - did not. Likewise, Arizona did not gain a district.

Overview & Live Results: Louisiana Congressional Special Election

The vacancy in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district will be filled Saturday.  There is also a special election to fill an opening in the State House. Both races feature two candidates of the same party, so there's no suspense from that perspective. 

Polls close at 9:00 PM ET; live results will be available below.

Congressional District 2

This New Orleans area seat has been empty since Democrat Cedric Richmond resigned in January to join the Biden administration. In the all-party primary held March 20, no candidate received a majority of the vote, forcing today's election. Democratic State Sens. Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson (no relationship) were the top two finishers: Carter received 36% support to 23% for Peterson. 

Carter has won the endorsement of Richmond as well as a number of current members of Congress. Peterson has seen more endorsements from the progressive wing of the party, including Stacey Abrams and Elizabeth Warren. We've seen no polling for this runoff.

 

There are currently 218 Democrats and 212 Republicans in the House, with five vacancies. The newest member, Republican Julia Letlow, assumed office on April 14. She won Louisiana's 5th district special election outright - with 65% of the vote - on March 20.  Once the District 2 winner is seated, the Democratic edge will grow by one.

The next congressional special election is on May 1 in TX-6. It is an all-party primary for the vacancy created when Republican Ron Wright died in February. That is likely to result in a top two runoff on a date to be announced. An additional vacancy will occur on May 15, when Republican Steve Stivers (OH-15) resigns

State House District 82

The 105 member Louisiana State House has 67 Republicans, 35 Democrats and 2 independents. The next regularly scheduled election is 2023. The District 82 vacancy occurred with the resignation of Republican Charles Henry on January 12. Two Republicans, Edwin Connick and Laurie Schlegel, advanced in the March 20 all-party primary.

 

Live Results: New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 GOP Special Primary Election

The GOP primary for New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 is Tuesday.  The candidates are Christopher Lins and John Martin. Polls close at 7:00 PM.

The only Democrat to qualify was Muriel Hall. She will face off against the GOP nominee in the general special election on June 8.

The 400 member New Hampshire House is the largest one in the United States. There are currently 212 Republicans, 186 Democrats, with the GOP gaining a majority this past November. There are also two vacancies. Republican Bill Boyd won one of the vacancies last week; he has not yet been seated. The next regularly scheduled election is 2022.

The 23rd Merrimack District is a multi-member district with 3 representatives. Both incumbents are Democrats. The vacancy was previously held by Democrat Samantha Fox. She resigned on January 12. 

Upcoming April 27

  • Alabama State House District 73 Special GOP Primary Runoff
  • Connecticut State House District 145 Special Election 

Ohio GOP Rep. Steve Stivers to Resign in May

Six term Republican Rep. Steve Stivers will resign from Congress effective May 16.  Stivers, who had been viewed as a possible candidate for retiring Sen. Rob Portman's seat in 2022, will instead serve as President and CEO of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce. 

Stivers represents Ohio's 15th district, located in the southcentral part of the state. It has been safely Republican turf since the last redistricting. Most recently, Stivers was reelected with 63% of the vote last November, while Donald Trump beat Joe Biden by 56% to 42%.

Stivers' departure will create a second vacancy in the Ohio delegation; Democrat Marcia Fudge (OH-11) resigned March 10 after being confirmed as HUD Secretary. Although it won't affect special elections for either of these seats, the state is expected to lose one of its 18 districts in the upcoming Census apportionment. This will likely change the boundaries for all the state's 2022 House elections.   

Texas GOP Rep. Kevin Brady Not Running in 2022

Texas Republican Rep. Kevin Brady said Wednesday that this term, his 13th in Congress, will be his last

Brady represents the 8th district in Texas, which extends northward from the northern Houston suburbs. Although the district boundaries have changed somewhat through the years, he has been reelected with at least 70% of the vote since 2008. In 2020, he earned 72.5% of the vote.

This brings to 8 the number of House retirements announced thus far this cycle.

Overview & Live Results: State House Special Elections in Connecticut and New Hampshire

Connecticut and New Hampshire hold State House special elections on Tuesday, April 13.

State House Special General Elections

Connecticut District 112

There are 151 State House districts in Connecticut. Currently, the chamber has 96 Democrats and 53 Republicans, with two vacancies. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. 

The District 112 special general election will fill the vacancy created by the resignation of Republican J.P. Sredzinski in February. Sredzinski was in his fourth term, and had been unopposed for reelection since first winning the seat in 2014. 

The major party candidates are Republican Tony Scott and Democrat Nick Kapoor. Polls close at 8:00 PM ET. 

New Hampshire Hillsborough District 21

The 400 member New Hampshire House is the largest one in the United States. There are currently 212 Republicans and 186 Democrats, with the GOP gaining a majority this past November. There are also two vacancies. The next regularly scheduled election is 2022.

The 21st Hillsborough District is a multi-member district with 8 representatives, currently including six Republicans and one Democrat. The vacancy was previously held by Republican Dick Hinch. He died on December 9, just one week after taking over as House Speaker in the new Republican majority.

The major party candidates are Republican Bill Boyd and Democrat Wendy Thomas. Polls close at 7:00 PM ET.

Upcoming April 20

  • New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 Special Primary Election