The 'color chooser' option has been added to the House and gubernatorial interactive maps; this feature was launched on the Senate map in June. Previously, the only option for creating your map was to click or tap a state or district repeatedly until arriving at the desired rating. This can be a bit cumbersome if you are building a map with all seven available ratings.
The new Color Chooser allows you to select a color/rating such that only one click is necessary on a race to get the desired rating. Check it out in the short video below.
More information can be found here.
House Incumbent 'Hover'
We've relocated the information for House incumbents to make it easier to view while you are interacting with the map. This data now appears below the Map Color Palette to the right of the map. You will see the information box as you hover over a district, or tap once on a mobile device. A tablet screen or larger is recommended for a better experience with the House map.
Rep. Martha Roby easily won renomination in the Republican primary runoff in Alabama's 2nd congressional district on Tuesday. She defeated former Rep. Bobby Bright by a 68-32% margin.
Coasting to this easy win, Roby appears to have gotten past the issues around her loyalty to President Trump. Those hindered her re-election campaign in 2016, where she won by only 8% in this very conservative district. Roby will be the prohibitive favorite over Democratic nominee Tabitha Isner in November.
Next Tuesday, there are two runoff elections in Georgia. In the gubernatorial race, Republican Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle faces off against Brian Kemp, the Secretary of State. Cagle received more of the vote (39% to Kemp's 25%) in the May 22nd primary and also led in early runoff polling. However, the race appears to have tightened and could go either way. The winner will meet Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in the general election.
In Georgia's 6th congressional district - one of the only potentially competitive general election districts in the state - gun control advocate Lucy McBath meets businessman Kevin Abel in a runoff for the Democratic nomination. The winner will meet incumbent Republican Karen Handel in November. Handel will be seeking her first full term; she won a high-profile special election over Jon Ossoff in 2017.
If the MLB All-Star Game doesn't hold your attention, there is one interesting election in Alabama Tuesday. Four-term Rep. Martha Roby faces off against former Rep. Bobby Bright for the Republican nomination in the state's second congressional district. No candidate received a majority of the vote in the state's June 5 primary, forcing today's top-two runoff. Roby received about 39% of the vote last month, Bright 28%.
Polls close at 7:00 PM local time (8:00 PM Eastern). Results will appear below after that time; reload the page for the latest.
Roby defeated Bright, who was then a Democrat, in the 2010 election. She was easily re-elected by around 30% in both 2012 and 2014. However, in 2016, after criticizing then-candidate Donald Trump over the 'Access Hollywood' tape, her margin of victory fell to just 8% in a district Trump won by 32%.
Roby has become a supporter of Trump's agenda and was rewarded when the president endorsed her in June.
Congresswoman Martha Roby of Alabama has been a consistent and reliable vote for our Make America Great Again Agenda. She is in a Republican Primary run-off against a recent Nancy Pelosi voting Democrat. I fully endorse Martha for Alabama 2nd Congressional District!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 22, 2018
The Southeastern Alabama second district is solidly Republican; today's winner will be the overwhelming favorite in November against Democratic nominee Tabitha Isner. If Roby were to lose, she would be the fourth House member to be defeated in a primary this year. The first two upsets were GOP incumbents: In May, Rep. Robert Pittenger (NC-9) lost, followed about a month later by Rep. Mark Sanford (SC-1). In late June, Democratic Rep. Joseph Crowley (NY-14) was ousted.
This article was updated on July 18th to reflect that if Roby had lost she would have been the fourth House member to be defeated. The original article omitted the primary loss by Joseph Crowley.
There are just under four months until the 2018 midterm elections on November 6th. On this page, we present two battleground House maps based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. 218 seats are needed to control the House in the 116th Congress that will be seated in January, 2019.
Both maps are interactive - click/tap a map to use it as a starting point to create your own 2018 House forecast.
Consensus Forecast: This first map is based on a calculated average rating of the three forecasters except that the darkest red/blue color is only used for those districts rated safe by all three forecasters. This gives us a broader view of the universe of seats that may be competitive on Election Day. Currently, 324 seats are seen as safe for the incumbent party, with 111 having various levels of competitiveness. Of those, about 90 are currently in GOP hands.
Republicans now hold 236 seats, Democrats 193 with 6 vacancies.
The next special election will be in Ohio's 12th congressional district on August 7th. This opening was created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. This race is seen as toss-up to leans Republican by various pundits, although the two most recent polls (JMC, Monmouth) had the GOP nominee up by about 10 points.
President Trump will nominate Brett Kavanaugh to replace Anthony Kennedy on the Supreme Court. Kavanaugh is a federal appeals court judge for the District of Columbia Circuit.
The U.S. Senate will need to confirm Kavanaugh. Given the importance of this nomination, we've compiled a list of contact information for all 100 U.S. Senators. This includes mailing address, phone, email and social media. We've also included some related election filters.
If you are strongly for or against the president's choice, these are the people that need to hear from you.
President Trump will announce his nominee for the U.S. Supreme Court Monday night. If confirmed by the U.S. Senate, this individual will fill the seat being vacated by the retiring Anthony Kennedy.
As of Monday afternoon, it was being reported that Trump had chosen a nominee. The names that have been getting the most attention are all federal appellate judges: Brett Kavanaugh, Raymond Kethledge, Amy Coney Barrett and Thomas Hardiman.
Kennedy has been the swing vote in recent years for many court decisions that have split the four more liberal and four more conservative justices. As Trump's nominee will almost certainly be more conservative than Kennedy, the elevation of this nominee may well shift the court to the right.
Given the importance of this nomination, we've compiled a list of contact information for all 100 U.S. Senators. This includes mailing address, phone, email and social media. We've also included some related election filters.
If you are strongly for or against the president's choice, these are the people that need to hear from you.
Despite the difficult math associated with 8 other candidates on the ballot, Republican Michael Cloud won an outright victory in the Texas 27th Congressional District special election on Saturday. By getting over 50% of the vote, Cloud avoided a runoff with 2nd place finisher, Democrat Eric Holguin.
Cloud will serve the remainder of former Rep. Blake Farenthold's term. Cloud and Holguin will face each other again in the November midterms, as both were nominated in the Texas primary runoff earlier this year.
Once Cloud is seated, Republicans will hold a 236-193 margin in the House, with six vacancies. The full list of vacancies is in the table below.
The next special election, on August 7, will fill the vacancy in Ohio's 12th District. This opening was created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. This race is seen as toss-up to leans Republican by various pundits, although the two most recent polls (JMC, Monmouth) had the GOP nominee up by about 10 points.
This Saturday before Independence Day offers up a special election to fill one of seven current Congressional vacancies. It is in Texas' 27th Congressional District. The seat became vacant in April when former Rep. Blake Farenthold resigned while under investigation by the House Ethics Committee.
The winner of the election will serve the remainder of Farenthold's term. However, with 9 candidates on the ballot - there was no primary - nobody is likely to achieve a majority of the vote. Under Texas law, the top two finishers would then move on to a runoff, most likely in September.
Polls close at 7:00 PM Central Time (8:00 Eastern). Results will appear in the table below, in partnership with Decision Desk HQ. Reload the page for the latest.
Texas has already held their 2018 midterm primaries. Michael Cloud won the Republican nomination, while Eric Holguin won the Democratic nomination. Regardless of who wins the seat in this special election (or subsequent runoff), those two plus Libertarian Daniel Tinus will be the only three of today's nine candidates also on the November ballot.
This Corpus Christi-area district is heavily Republican. Both President Trump and Farenthold won here by about 24% in 2016. Michael Cloud will be a large favorite in November. He's most likely to win the special election as well, although lighter turnout - not to mention a pre-holiday weekend - will add some uncertainty to today's vote.
Highlights from last night's five state primaries and runoff elections in two states. Click a state name for all results.
14th District (Democratic Primary): Ten-term incumbent Rep. Joe Crowley was ousted by political novice Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. At 28, she will become the youngest woman ever elected to Congress if, as expected, she wins in this heavily Democratic district in November. Crowley is one of the most prominent members of the Democratic caucus and had been in the narrative to become Speaker of the House should the Democrats take back that body in November.
9th District (Democratic): A close call for six-term incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke who narrowly defeated another young challenger, 30 year old Adem Bunkeddeko.
11th District (Republican): Rep. Dan Donovan easily fended off former Rep. Michael Grimm, who wanted his old seat back. This is expected to be a competitive district in the fall; The win by the more moderate Donovan will make it slightly easier for Republicans in this competitive district, the only GOP-held one in New York City. (Donovan will face yet another political newcomer, former U.S. Army combat veteran Max Rose, who won the Democratic primary).
25th District (Democratic): Assembly Majority Leader Joseph Morelle got past several opponents for this safely Democratic seat that became vacant upon the death of Rep. Louise Slaughter earlier this year.
Governor: New York has a split calendar; the primary for statewide offices will be September 13th.
Governor (Democratic): Former NAACP head Ben Jealous emerged victorious from a large field. He will take on popular Republican Gov. Larry Hogan in November.
6th District (Democratic): Businessman David Trone won the primary for this seat being vacated by Rep. John Delaney, who is running for president in 2020. This seat is fairly safe for the Democrats, so Trone will likely be a member of Congress in 2019.
South Carolina (Runoffs)
Governor (Republican): Gov. Henry McMaster won a competitive runoff with businessman John Warren. McMaster, who took over when Nikki Haley became U.N. Ambassador, will be favored to win his first full term in November
4th District (Republican): William Timmons won the runoff for this deep red seat being vacated by the retiring Rep. Trey Gowdy. He will be a strong favorite to win in the general election.
3rd District (Republican): Michael Guest won the runoff for this deep red seat being vacated by the retiring Rep. Gregg Harper. He will be a heavy favorite to win in November.
Governor: Both parties held contested primaries to replace Gov. Mary Fallin who is term-limited. On the Democratic side, former Attorney General Drew Edmondson easily won. The Republican nominee will be determined in an August 28th runoff between former Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett and Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt.
1st District (Republican): This seat was vacated when Rep. Jim Bridenstine was confirmed to head NASA. Per state law, the winner of the general election in November will be appointed to serve the final couple months of Bridenstine's term. The runoff between Tim Harris and Kevin Hern on August 28th will likely determine the next member of Congress in this deep red district.
Senator (Republican): As expected, Mitt Romney easily won the nomination and will be a prohibitive favorite in the November election. Sen. Orrin Hatch is retiring.
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