Cook Political Report Publishes Initial 2020 Electoral College Ratings

January 12, 2019

The Cook Political Report is out with their first look at the 2020 electoral map. Click or tap it to create your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

Seems to be a reasonable baseline map based on 2016 and the midterms, but the political environment could be completely different by 2020 - if not sooner. We do note the toss-up states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. These were previously 'blue wall' states that Donald Trump flipped in 2016 on his way to victory. The margin in each of those states was under 1%. If the 2020 election is competitive, those states - as well as Minnesota - will go a long way to determining Trump's reelection prospects.

comments powered by Disqus


The Road to 270: Washington

An increasingly blue state overall, the Cascade mountain range marks both a physical and political separation between largely liberal and conservative populations.

The Road to 270: Mississippi

At the presidential level, the Magnolia State has voted for only one Democratic nominee since 1960. The population demographics drive remarkably consistent results every four years.

Hawaii Democratic Primary Results

Rescheduled from April 4, this party primary was conducted exclusively by mail

House Ratings Changes from Inside Elections

15 seats were updated, 7 of which moved to safe for the November elections

2020 Electoral Map Based on Polling Averages

This far out, polling may be of limited predictive value, but it will become more and more relevant as November draws closer