Election News

Overview & Live Results: St. Louis, Anchorage Mayoral Races Highlight Eight April 6 Elections

April 6, 2021

April 6 is headlined by 2 mayoral general elections. There are also 4 legislative general elections and two primaries.  Live results will appear after the polls close in each location.

Mayoral General Elections

City rankings are based on July 1, 2019 Census Bureau population estimates. They are for the city itself, not the associated metropolitan area.

St. Louis, Missouri

St. Louis is the 65th largest city in the United States, with a population of about 300,000. The current mayor is Democrat Lyda Krewson. She was elected with about 68% of the vote in 2017. Republican Andrew Jones was second with 17%. Krewson is not seeking a second term.

In a change approved by St. Louis voters, a single nonpartisan primary determined the nominees (vs. partisan primaries in 2017). The top two finishers based on approval percentage advanced. They are St. Louis City Treasurer Tishaura Jones and Alderwoman Cara Spencer.  

This election is officially nonpartisan (NPA). However, both Jones and Spencer are Democrats. This suggests the outcome will be much closer than in 2017.

Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time (ET).

Anchorage, Alaska

Anchorage is the 69th largest city in the United States, with a population of about 288,000. The acting mayor is independent Austin Quinn-Davidson. She was appointed by the Assembly after the elected mayor, Ethan Berkowitz (D) resigned in October of 2020. 

Quinn-Davidson is not seeking a full term.

Anchorage mayors serve three-year terms. If no candidate gets 45% of the vote - which seems likely with such a large field - the top two finishers will move on to a May 11 runoff.

This election is officially nonpartisan (NPA). In terms of the more prominent candidates on the ballot, Forrest Dunbar is a Democrat, while David Bronson and Mike Robbins are Republican. Bill Evans and George Martinez are independents. The affiliation of Bill Falsey is unknown.

This is a vote-by-mail election, with an option to return the ballot via drop box. The deadline is 8:00 PM local time (midnight ET). 

Mayoral Primary

Omaha, Nebraska

Omaha is the 40th largest U.S. city, with a population of 478,000.  The mayor is Republican Jean Stothert. She is seeking a third four-year term. 

This is a nonpartisan all-party primary, although the four other candidates on the ballot are all Democrats. The top two finishers will advance to the general election on May 11.

Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Legislative Special General Elections

Missouri State House District 45

There are 163 State House districts in Alabama. Currently, the chamber has 114 Republicans and 48 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.

The District 45 special general election will fill the vacancy created by the resignation of Democrat Kip Kendrick in November. Kendrick announced his departure just days after winning reelection unopposed

The election pits Democrat David Smith against Libertarian Glenn Nielson. It is the first time someone other than a Democrat has contested the seat since 2016.

Polls close at 8:00 PM ET.

Oklahoma State Senate District 22

The Oklahoma State Senate has 38 Republicans and 9 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.  The District 22 special election will fill the vacancy created after Republican Stephanie Bice was elected to Congress (OK-5). She resigned at the end of 2020.  

Bice won a 2nd term with about 73% of the vote in 2018. 

The nominees are Republican Jake Merrick and Democrat Molly Ooten. Polls close at 8:00 PM ET.

Wisconsin State Assembly District 89

The 99 person Wisconsin Assembly has 60 Republicans and 38 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 80 special election will fill the vacancy created when Republican John Nygren resigned in December, 2020.  This was one month after he had won reelection with 69% of the vote.

The nominees are Republican Elijah Behnke and Democrat Karl Jaeger. Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Wisconsin State Senate District 13

The Wisconsin State Senate has 22 Republicans and 10 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 13 special election will fill the vacancy created after Republican Scott Fitzgerald was elected to Congress (WI-5). He resigned on January 1. 

Fitzgerald was reelected with 59% of the vote in 2018.

The major party nominees are Republican John Jagler and Democrat Melissa Winkler. Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Legislative Special Primary

California State Assembly District 79

The 80 person California Assembly has 59 Democrats, 19 Republicans and 1 independent. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 79 special election will fill the vacancy created when Shirley Weber resigned after being confirmed as California Secretary of State in January. That position opened up after Alex Padilla was appointed to fill Vice-President Kamala Harris' Senate seat.

Weber was reelected with 65% of the vote in 2020. 

As is typically the case in California, there is a single primary ballot featuring all candidates from all parties. Because it is a special election, if one candidate receives a majority of the vote, they are the winner. Otherwise, the top two finishers will advance to the June 8 general election.  Four Democrats are on the ballot, including Akilah Weber, daughter of the former incumbent. They are joined by Republican Marco Contreras.

Polls close at 11:00 PM ET.

Upcoming April 13

  • State House special general elections in CT-112 and NH-21

Florida Congressman Alcee Hastings Dies at 84

April 6, 2021

Rep. Alcee Hastings of Florida has died at age 84. The long-serving Democrat had been diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in 2018. 

Hastings represented Florida's 20th district, which is in the southeastern part of the state. Largely inland, it stretches toward the coast to include portions of Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale.  Hastings won his 15th and final term with 79% of the vote in 2020.

House Composition and Vacancies

There are currently 218 Democrats and 211 Republicans in the House, with six vacancies.  A special election will be scheduled to fill Hastings' seat.

Republican Julia Letlow recently won a special election in LA-5 but has not yet been seated.

The other four vacancies:

  • LA-2 vacated by Cedric Richmond (D) to join the Biden administration. On March 20, Democrats Troy Carter and Karen Peterson finished 1-2 in the all-party primary and will face off in an April 24 special election.
  • NM-1 vacated by Deb Haaland (D) after she was confirmed to be Secretary of the Interior.  Special election June 1.
  • OH-11 vacated by Marcia Fudge (D)after she was confirmed to be Secretary of HUD. A primary will be held August 3, with the general special election November 2. 
  • TX-6 vacated upon the death of Ron Wright (R) on February 7. An all-party primary will be held May 1. If no candidate receives a majority, a top two runoff will follow with a date TBA.

Democrat Rita Hart Drops Challenge in Iowa Congressional Race

March 31, 2021

Democrat Rita Hart has abandoned her effort to unseat Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Hart lost November's election in Iowa's Second District by just 6 votes. Miller-Meeks was seated in January with the new Congress. However, Hart appealed to the House Administration Committee, asking that she be declared the winner based on 22 ballots that were not counted by election officials. 

 

March 30 Election Overview and Live Results

March 30, 2021

On March 30, there is a legislative general special election in Massachusetts, along with two GOP primary special elections in Alabama. Polls in all locations close at 8:00 PM ET. Live results will appear on this page after that time.

Massachusetts House District 19th Suffolk Special Election

There are 160 State House districts in Massachusetts. Currently, the chamber has 128 Democrats, 30 Republicans and 1 independent. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.

The 19th Suffolk District special election will fill a vacancy created by the resignation of Robert DeLeo in December, 2020. This will be the first contested election in the district since 2014; DeLeo ran unopposed in 2016, 2018 and 2020.

Alabama State Senate District 14 GOP Special Primary Election

There are 35 State Senate districts in Alabama. Currently, the chamber has 26 Republicans and 8 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.

The District 14 special general election on July 13 will fill a vacancy created when Republican Cam Ward was appointed Director of the Alabama Bureau of Pardons and Paroles effective December 7, 2020.  In 2018, Ward was reelected with about 73% of the vote.

Virginia Teague Applebaum was the only Democrat to qualify. As a result, she is the nominee. In the GOP primary, if no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a top-two runoff will take place April 27. 

Alabama State House District 73 Special GOP Primary Election

There are 105 State House districts in Alabama. Currently, the chamber has 76 Republicans and 27 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.

The District 73 special general election on July 13 will fill one of two vacancies. In this case, the seat became open after Republican Matt Fridy was elected to the Alabama Court of Civil Appeals in November, 2020. Fridy resigned from the Senate effective December 30. In 2018, Fridy was reelected with about 69% of the vote.

Sheridan Black was the only Democrat to qualify. As a result, Black is the nominee. In the GOP primary, if no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a top-two runoff will take place April 27. 

Upcoming April 6:

  • Mayoral general elections in Anchorage, AK and St. Louis, MO
  • Mayoral primary election in Omaha, NE
  • State Senate special general elections in OK-22 and WI-13
  • State House (or equivalent) special general elections in MO-45 and WI-89
  • State Assembly special primary election in CA-79

Live Results: Virginia Senate District 38 Special Election

March 23, 2021

Note: This cycle - starting from today - 270toWin will carry live election night results for state legislative and select mayoral elections. For 2021, this includes:

  • New Jersey State Senate and State House
  • Virginia State Senate
  • About three dozen mayoral elections, including New York City
  • State legislative special elections

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Virginia Senate District 38 Special Election

There are 40 State Senate districts in Virginia. Currently, the chamber has 21 Democrats and 18 Republicans. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2023.

The District 38 special election will fill a vacancy created by the death of Republican Ben Chafin in January.  The GOP is very likely to hold the seat. According to CNalysis, a site that projects state legislative races, this "is the second most Republican-leaning district in the state."

Read the CNalysis overview here >>

Polls close at 7:00 PM. Live results will appear below after that time.

 

Alabama Rep. Mo Brooks to Run for Senate in 2022

March 23, 2021

Republican Mo Brooks of Alabama said Monday that he would vie for the state's open U.S. Senate seat in 2022.  Incumbent Richard Shelby (R) is retiring after six terms.

This is the second Senate run for Brooks. He finished third in the GOP primary for the 2017 special election, earning 20% of the vote. Due to the timing of that election, Brooks was able to defend his House seat in 2018.

Brooks, a strong supporter of Donald Trump, will be leaving the House after six terms. He represents the very conservative 5th district, which runs across the northern border of the state, including Huntsville. Brooks had no Democratic challenger in 2020; Donald Trump won the district by 27% over Joe Biden.  

He is the sixth member to retire this cycle; four of those announcements have come since Sunday.  

 

Rep. Filemon Vela of Texas Will Not Seek Reelection

March 22, 2021

Rep. Fileman Vela (TX-34) announced Monday that he will not seek a 6th term in 2022. Vela becomes the third member in the past day to announce their departure at the end of this term.  Jody Hice (R, GA-10) is running for Secretary of State; Tom Reed (R, NY-23) is not seeking any office

Vela's South Texas district - oddly shaped like many in the state - runs from the Mexican border up to east of San Antonio, bypassing Corpus Christi along the way. Vela won reelection by about 14% in 2020, running well ahead of Joe Biden, who won by just five points.

Texas has seen rapid population growth in recent decades, gaining from 2-4 congressional seats after each of the last four Census reapportionments. It is expected to gain three more this year, bringing the total to 39.

Rep. Jody Hice to Primary Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger

March 22, 2021

Four-term Rep. Jody Hice announced Monday that he will look to unseat Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger in 2022. Hice is expected to secure an endorsement from Donald Trump, as the former president seeks revenge against Raffensperger for defying him in the aftermath of Joe Biden's narrow win in the state's 2020 presidential election.

Hice's move creates a 2022 open seat in Georgia's 10th district, a safely GOP district that runs eastward from the outskirts of the Atlanta area to west of Augusta. Hice and Donald Trump both won by over 20 points here in 2020. Note that after Census-driven redistricting, the boundaries of the district will likely change for 2022.

Hice is the 2nd Republican in as many days to say they will not run for reelection in 2022. NY-23 Rep. Tom Reed made his announcement Sunday.

 

New York Rep. Tom Reed Not Running for Office in 2022

March 22, 2021

Responding to a recent accusation of groping, GOP Rep. Tom Reed of New York put out a statement Sunday saying that he would not run for any elected office in 2022. Reed will not seek a 7th term in the House, nor will he run for governor, a possibility he had been seriously considering. Ironically, it is Democratic Gov. Mario Cuomo's own issues with harassment that created an opening for Reed to consider what would otherwise be an extremely long-shot challenge in this deep blue state.

Reed represents the largely rural 23rd district that borders Pennsylvania from Lake Erie to west of Binghamton. Reed won reelection by nearly 17% in 2020, while Donald Trump won here by 11% over Joe Biden.

Reed is the first Republican to announce a retirement this cycle. New York will lose at least one - possibly two - House seats (as of January, 2023) when the results of the delayed 2020 Census are finally released. After peaking at 45 districts in the 1940s, the state has lost at least two in each of the last seven Census reapportionments.

Louisiana Congressional Special Elections: Overview and Live Results

March 20, 2021

There are currently five vacancies in the U.S. House of Representatives.  Elections for the two open seats in Louisiana are Saturday. These are in the form of a 'jungle primary', where all candidates from all parties appear on a single ballot. If no candidate gets a majority of the vote, the top two - even if of the same party - will advance to an April 24 runoff.

Polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern Time. Live results will appear below after that time.

District 2: Former Rep. Cedric Richmond won a 5th term, with 64% of the vote, in this safely Democratic district that includes most of New Orleans. Richmond resigned January 15 to join the Biden administration. A field of 15 is vying to succeed him in Saturday's primary.  Democratic State Sens. Troy Carter and Karen Peterson appear to be the frontrunners. Carter has scored most of the political and newspaper endorsements, while the more progressive Peterson has gotten the support of Stacey Abrams and Emily's List. Activist Gary Chambers, also a Democrat, is the only other candidate seeing notable support in limited polling. In a recent poll, Carter received 35% support, Peterson 24% and Chambers 11%.

An April 24 runoff is likely between two of these three candidates.

District 5: The largest by area, this district encompasses the northeast part of the state. It is safely GOP territory, represented for three terms by Ralph Abraham, who was first elected in 2014. Abraham did not run in 2020. Republican Luke Letlow won this seat in a December runoff against fellow Republican Lance Harris. Letlow died on December 29, just days before he would have been seated.  Julia Letlow, Luke's widow, is the heavy favorite in this field of 12. The only real question is whether she wins the race outright on Saturday (by getting a majority of the vote) or whether she wins in an April 24 runoff. 

House Composition and Vacancies

There are currently 219 Democrats and 211 Republicans in the House, with five vacancies.  In addition to the two Louisiana seats discussed above:

  • NM-1 vacated by Deb Haaland (D) earlier this week after she was confirmed to be Secretary of the Interior.  Party committees will select nominees for the June 1 special election. Likely to Safe Democratic
  • OH-11 vacated by Marcia Fudge (D) on March 10 after she was confirmed to be Secretary of HUD. A primary will be held August 3, with the general election November 2. Safe Democratic
  • TX-6 vacated upon the death of Ron Wright (R) on February 7. An all-party primary will be held May 1. If no candidate receives a majority, a top two runoff will follow with a date TBA. Lean to Likely Republican