Election News

Live Results: CT-145 State House Special Election, AL-73 GOP Primary

April 27, 2021

On Tuesday, Connecticut holds a State House special election. There's also a GOP primary runoff in Alabama for an open State House seat. Polls in both close at 8:00 PM ET.

State House Special General Election

Connecticut District 145

There are 151 State House districts in Connecticut. Currently, the chamber has 96 Democrats and 54 Republicans. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.  Earlier this month, a vacancy in District 112 was won by Republican Tony Scott. Scott was seated on April 19. 

The District 145 vacancy was created by the resignation of Democrat Patricia Miller on March 8. Miller had won a special election for an open State Senate seat the prior week.

The major party candidates are Democrat Corey Paris and Republican J.D. Ospina. 

State House Special Primary Election Runoff

Alabama District 73 (GOP)

Leigh Hulsey and Kenneth Paschal advanced by being the top two finishers in the March 30 primary. Neither received the majority needed to avoid the runoff.  The winner will meet Democrat Sheridan Black in the July 13 special general election.

Upcoming May 1

  • Five Texas mayoral elections: Arlington, Fort Worth, Garland, Plano and San Antonio
  • Special election for the vacant 6th congressional district in Texas

Rep. Tim Ryan Announces 2022 Run for U.S. Senate in Ohio

April 27, 2021

Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan announced Monday that he will run for U.S. Senate in 2022. He becomes the first prominent Democrat to enter the race, hoping to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Rob Portman.

Ryan posted a campaign announcement video on Twitter. 

Ryan is in his 10th term in the House, the last five of which have been representing the Youngstown area 13th district. His 2020 reelection margin of victory was 7.5%, the smallest of his congressional career.  Earlier in that 2020 cycle, he was a candidate for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination but gained little traction. 

Ohio will lose a congressional district in upcoming redistricting, giving it 15 for the next decade. After reaching a peak of 24 districts during the 1960s, the state has lost at least one in each subsequent Census.

Census Apportionment Results Released; 13 States See a Change in Congressional Seats

April 26, 2021

The Census Bureau announced Monday that the resident population of the U.S. on April 1, 2020 - the official date of the Census - was 331,449,281. The Bureau also released apportionment results for the 50 states.  This updates the number of congressional districts that each state will have over the next decade. That in turn updates the electoral map that will be used for the 2024 and 2028 presidential election.

We've updated the interactive electoral map to include both 2020 and 2024 numbers, as well as the ability to see the change associated with the apportionment. For example, taking the actual results of the 2020 election, the change map looks like this:

If the 2024 election were to mirror that of 2020, the result would be 303-235 instead of 306-232. 

In the end, only 13 states saw a shift in congressional districts. Texas gained 2, and Florida 1. Earlier estimates had those states gaining 3 and 2, respectively. 11 other states gained or lost a district. Three states expected to lose a district - Alabama, Minnesota and Rhode Island - did not. Likewise, Arizona did not gain a district.

Overview & Live Results: Louisiana Congressional Special Election

April 24, 2021

The vacancy in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district will be filled Saturday.  There is also a special election to fill an opening in the State House. Both races feature two candidates of the same party, so there's no suspense from that perspective. 

Polls close at 9:00 PM ET; live results will be available below.

Congressional District 2

This New Orleans area seat has been empty since Democrat Cedric Richmond resigned in January to join the Biden administration. In the all-party primary held March 20, no candidate received a majority of the vote, forcing today's election. Democratic State Sens. Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson (no relationship) were the top two finishers: Carter received 36% support to 23% for Peterson. 

Carter has won the endorsement of Richmond as well as a number of current members of Congress. Peterson has seen more endorsements from the progressive wing of the party, including Stacey Abrams and Elizabeth Warren. We've seen no polling for this runoff.

 

There are currently 218 Democrats and 212 Republicans in the House, with five vacancies. The newest member, Republican Julia Letlow, assumed office on April 14. She won Louisiana's 5th district special election outright - with 65% of the vote - on March 20.  Once the District 2 winner is seated, the Democratic edge will grow by one.

The next congressional special election is on May 1 in TX-6. It is an all-party primary for the vacancy created when Republican Ron Wright died in February. That is likely to result in a top two runoff on a date to be announced. An additional vacancy will occur on May 15, when Republican Steve Stivers (OH-15) resigns

State House District 82

The 105 member Louisiana State House has 67 Republicans, 35 Democrats and 2 independents. The next regularly scheduled election is 2023. The District 82 vacancy occurred with the resignation of Republican Charles Henry on January 12. Two Republicans, Edwin Connick and Laurie Schlegel, advanced in the March 20 all-party primary.

 

Live Results: New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 GOP Special Primary Election

April 20, 2021

The GOP primary for New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 is Tuesday.  The candidates are Christopher Lins and John Martin. Polls close at 7:00 PM.

The only Democrat to qualify was Muriel Hall. She will face off against the GOP nominee in the general special election on June 8.

The 400 member New Hampshire House is the largest one in the United States. There are currently 212 Republicans, 186 Democrats, with the GOP gaining a majority this past November. There are also two vacancies. Republican Bill Boyd won one of the vacancies last week; he has not yet been seated. The next regularly scheduled election is 2022.

The 23rd Merrimack District is a multi-member district with 3 representatives. Both incumbents are Democrats. The vacancy was previously held by Democrat Samantha Fox. She resigned on January 12. 

Upcoming April 27

  • Alabama State House District 73 Special GOP Primary Runoff
  • Connecticut State House District 145 Special Election 

Ohio GOP Rep. Steve Stivers to Resign in May

April 19, 2021

Six term Republican Rep. Steve Stivers will resign from Congress effective May 16.  Stivers, who had been viewed as a possible candidate for retiring Sen. Rob Portman's seat in 2022, will instead serve as President and CEO of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce. 

Stivers represents Ohio's 15th district, located in the southcentral part of the state. It has been safely Republican turf since the last redistricting. Most recently, Stivers was reelected with 63% of the vote last November, while Donald Trump beat Joe Biden by 56% to 42%.

Stivers' departure will create a second vacancy in the Ohio delegation; Democrat Marcia Fudge (OH-11) resigned March 10 after being confirmed as HUD Secretary. Although it won't affect special elections for either of these seats, the state is expected to lose one of its 18 districts in the upcoming Census apportionment. This will likely change the boundaries for all the state's 2022 House elections.   

Texas GOP Rep. Kevin Brady Not Running in 2022

April 14, 2021

Texas Republican Rep. Kevin Brady said Wednesday that this term, his 13th in Congress, will be his last

Brady represents the 8th district in Texas, which extends northward from the northern Houston suburbs. Although the district boundaries have changed somewhat through the years, he has been reelected with at least 70% of the vote since 2008. In 2020, he earned 72.5% of the vote.

This brings to 8 the number of House retirements announced thus far this cycle.

Overview & Live Results: State House Special Elections in Connecticut and New Hampshire

April 13, 2021

Connecticut and New Hampshire hold State House special elections on Tuesday, April 13.

State House Special General Elections

Connecticut District 112

There are 151 State House districts in Connecticut. Currently, the chamber has 96 Democrats and 53 Republicans, with two vacancies. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. 

The District 112 special general election will fill the vacancy created by the resignation of Republican J.P. Sredzinski in February. Sredzinski was in his fourth term, and had been unopposed for reelection since first winning the seat in 2014. 

The major party candidates are Republican Tony Scott and Democrat Nick Kapoor. Polls close at 8:00 PM ET. 

New Hampshire Hillsborough District 21

The 400 member New Hampshire House is the largest one in the United States. There are currently 212 Republicans and 186 Democrats, with the GOP gaining a majority this past November. There are also two vacancies. The next regularly scheduled election is 2022.

The 21st Hillsborough District is a multi-member district with 8 representatives, currently including six Republicans and one Democrat. The vacancy was previously held by Republican Dick Hinch. He died on December 9, just one week after taking over as House Speaker in the new Republican majority.

The major party candidates are Republican Bill Boyd and Democrat Wendy Thomas. Polls close at 7:00 PM ET.

Upcoming April 20

  • New Hampshire State House Merrimack District 23 Special Primary Election

GOP Rep. Lee Zeldin to Run for New York Governor

April 8, 2021

Rep. Lee Zeldin said Thursday that he is running for governor of New York in 2022. After first making the announcement on "Fox and Friends", he released an introductory video on Twitter. 

Zeldin is the first prominent Republican to formally declare for the race. Others who have expressed interest include Andrew Giuliani, son of the former New York City mayor, and Rob Astorino, the party's 2014 nominee. Gov. Mario Cuomo won his second term that year, defeating Astorino by 14%.

Cuomo won a third term by 23% over Republican Mark Molinaro in 2018. However, his prospects for a fourth term in 2022 have been clouded by numerous allegations of sexual harassment. 

The last Republican to be elected New York governor was George Pataki, who won a third term in 2002. 

New York District 1

Zeldin represents New York's first congressional district, which encompasses the eastern half of Long Island. He was first elected here in 2014, and won his fourth term by about 10% this past November. The state is likely to lose one (perhaps two) congressional districts after the Census results are known. The boundaries of the district for the 2022 election are likely to change in redistricting. This will affect how competitive the district is, and thus the prospects of any Republican looking to succeed Zeldin here. 

Overview & Live Results: St. Louis, Anchorage Mayoral Races Highlight Eight April 6 Elections

April 6, 2021

April 6 is headlined by 2 mayoral general elections. There are also 4 legislative general elections and two primaries.  Live results will appear after the polls close in each location.

Mayoral General Elections

City rankings are based on July 1, 2019 Census Bureau population estimates. They are for the city itself, not the associated metropolitan area.

St. Louis, Missouri

St. Louis is the 65th largest city in the United States, with a population of about 300,000. The current mayor is Democrat Lyda Krewson. She was elected with about 68% of the vote in 2017. Republican Andrew Jones was second with 17%. Krewson is not seeking a second term.

In a change approved by St. Louis voters, a single nonpartisan primary determined the nominees (vs. partisan primaries in 2017). The top two finishers based on approval percentage advanced. They are St. Louis City Treasurer Tishaura Jones and Alderwoman Cara Spencer.  

This election is officially nonpartisan (NPA). However, both Jones and Spencer are Democrats. This suggests the outcome will be much closer than in 2017.

Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time (ET).

Anchorage, Alaska

Anchorage is the 69th largest city in the United States, with a population of about 288,000. The acting mayor is independent Austin Quinn-Davidson. She was appointed by the Assembly after the elected mayor, Ethan Berkowitz (D) resigned in October of 2020. 

Quinn-Davidson is not seeking a full term.

Anchorage mayors serve three-year terms. If no candidate gets 45% of the vote - which seems likely with such a large field - the top two finishers will move on to a May 11 runoff.

This election is officially nonpartisan (NPA). In terms of the more prominent candidates on the ballot, Forrest Dunbar is a Democrat, while David Bronson and Mike Robbins are Republican. Bill Evans and George Martinez are independents. The affiliation of Bill Falsey is unknown.

This is a vote-by-mail election, with an option to return the ballot via drop box. The deadline is 8:00 PM local time (midnight ET). 

Mayoral Primary

Omaha, Nebraska

Omaha is the 40th largest U.S. city, with a population of 478,000.  The mayor is Republican Jean Stothert. She is seeking a third four-year term. 

This is a nonpartisan all-party primary, although the four other candidates on the ballot are all Democrats. The top two finishers will advance to the general election on May 11.

Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Legislative Special General Elections

Missouri State House District 45

There are 163 State House districts in Alabama. Currently, the chamber has 114 Republicans and 48 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.

The District 45 special general election will fill the vacancy created by the resignation of Democrat Kip Kendrick in November. Kendrick announced his departure just days after winning reelection unopposed

The election pits Democrat David Smith against Libertarian Glenn Nielson. It is the first time someone other than a Democrat has contested the seat since 2016.

Polls close at 8:00 PM ET.

Oklahoma State Senate District 22

The Oklahoma State Senate has 38 Republicans and 9 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022.  The District 22 special election will fill the vacancy created after Republican Stephanie Bice was elected to Congress (OK-5). She resigned at the end of 2020.  

Bice won a 2nd term with about 73% of the vote in 2018. 

The nominees are Republican Jake Merrick and Democrat Molly Ooten. Polls close at 8:00 PM ET.

Wisconsin State Assembly District 89

The 99 person Wisconsin Assembly has 60 Republicans and 38 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 80 special election will fill the vacancy created when Republican John Nygren resigned in December, 2020.  This was one month after he had won reelection with 69% of the vote.

The nominees are Republican Elijah Behnke and Democrat Karl Jaeger. Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Wisconsin State Senate District 13

The Wisconsin State Senate has 22 Republicans and 10 Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 13 special election will fill the vacancy created after Republican Scott Fitzgerald was elected to Congress (WI-5). He resigned on January 1. 

Fitzgerald was reelected with 59% of the vote in 2018.

The major party nominees are Republican John Jagler and Democrat Melissa Winkler. Polls close at 9:00 PM ET.

Legislative Special Primary

California State Assembly District 79

The 80 person California Assembly has 59 Democrats, 19 Republicans and 1 independent. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2022. The District 79 special election will fill the vacancy created when Shirley Weber resigned after being confirmed as California Secretary of State in January. That position opened up after Alex Padilla was appointed to fill Vice-President Kamala Harris' Senate seat.

Weber was reelected with 65% of the vote in 2020. 

As is typically the case in California, there is a single primary ballot featuring all candidates from all parties. Because it is a special election, if one candidate receives a majority of the vote, they are the winner. Otherwise, the top two finishers will advance to the June 8 general election.  Four Democrats are on the ballot, including Akilah Weber, daughter of the former incumbent. They are joined by Republican Marco Contreras.

Polls close at 11:00 PM ET.

Upcoming April 13

  • State House special general elections in CT-112 and NH-21