Election News

Battle for Senate Control to be Decided in these 11 States

This article highlights those elections expected to decide which party will control the U.S. Senate. Battle for Control Senate Map >>

For more election results, select an office or state from the banner at the top of the page.

Battle for Senate Control

Democrats hold a 51-49 partisan advantage in the U.S. Senate heading into the 2024 elections. The map is doing them no favors; Democrats are defending 23 of 34 seats up this year. 

One of those is is in deep red West Virginia. Held by retiring Democrat turned independent Joe Manchin, it is all but certain to flip to the GOP.

That effectively puts the starting point at 50-50. From there, the party with a net gain of one or more will have at least 51 seats, and control of the Senate.

27 House Races Rated Toss-up or Favored to Change Parties

In the final House Consensus Map, over 350 of 435 seats were rated as safe for the incumbent party. The remaining seats will determine which party controls the House in 2025. See the Battle for Control House Map >>.

This article will track results for 27 House races rated toss-up or that are favored to flip to the other party. There are other competitive races. Choose a state from the banner at the top of the page for more results.

Except where specified, the below have a consensus rating of toss-up. They are ordered by poll closing time and then state. Vote counts and race projections provided by Decision Desk HQ.

State of Play: How 2022's Closest U.S. House Races are Looking in 2024

270toWin contributor Drew Savicki wrote this article. Contact Drew via email or on X @DrewSav

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There were eleven U.S. House races decided by a margin of less than 1% in 2022. This article takes a quick look back at those as well as where things stand for 2024 heading into Election Day.

2024 General Election: Poll Closing Times

Do not rely on this information to determine when to vote. Your polling place may have different hours.

Standard Time returns Sunday, November 3 at 2:00 AM local time. 

While there are some local exceptions, the maps on this page largely reflect the latest in-person poll closing times for the November 5, 2024 general election.

The first map converts all times to Eastern Standard Time. This is useful as a chronological guide to when results will start becoming available through the evening. The second map displays closings in local time.

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

For the first time in about a century, it is legal for U.S. residents to trade election contracts in a regulated prediction market. 

This shift came after a legal battle between Kalshi, a prediction market for event contracts and its regulator, the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 

On Friday morning, Kalshi launched a market allowing users to predict the winner of next month's presidential election. 

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

The vice-presidential debate airs Tuesday at 9:00 PM Eastern Time. It is hosted by CBS News, but will also be available on many other networks.

Tuesday also brings us the final legislative special election before the November 5 general election.

Alabama State House District 52

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

One of four U.S. House vacancies will be filled Wednesday by voters in New Jersey's 10th congressional district. The winner will complete the term of Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who died in April.

As the New Jersey Globe reports, "Democrats nominated LaMonica R. McIver, a two-term Newark city councilwoman, in a special primary election on July 16. She faces Republican Carmen Bucco, a Kenilworth businessman, and two independent candidates, Rayfield Morton and Russell Jenkins."

Payne was reelected in 2022 by a 78% to 20% margin over his Republican challenger in this deep blue Newark-area district. Republicans last won the 10th district in 1946.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

The only currently-scheduled presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place Tuesday in Philadelphia. It will be moderated by ABC News and begins at 9:00 PM Eastern Time.

Coincidentally, the debate begins shortly after voting ends in the final three statewide primaries before the November general election. 

Polls close at 8:00 PM in Delaware and Rhode Island. In New Hampshire, the final polls also close at 8:00 PM. However, many locations close at 7:00 PM. All times are Eastern.

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

Massachusetts has the primary calendar to itself on Tuesday. Next week, the final primaries before the November 5 general election will take place in Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island.

Massachusetts Primary

Per the Associated Press, "Democrats have a lock on the Bay State’s congressional delegation, with both U.S. Senate seats and all nine U.S. House seats firmly in their column. They also hold lopsided supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature, where all seats are up for election in November."

On this page, we've included the only two contested congressional primaries. Visit All Massachusetts Results if you are looking for primary results for the state legislature.

Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.

Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election

Oklahoma requires a majority winner in most primary elections. On Tuesday, there will be runoffs in 10 legislative districts where no candidate crossed that threshold in the June 18 primary. They are all for the Republican nomination.

Separately, there is a mayoral election in Tulsa.

Tulsa Mayor