Election News

New York Republican Rep. John Katko Will Retire

Rep. John Katko announced Friday that he won't seek reelection this year. Katko's 24th district is currently located in the central part of the state, bordered by Lake Ontario to the north. The largest city in the district is Syracuse.

In 2020, Katko won his 4th term by a 10% margin. He ran 19 points ahead of Donald Trump here, as Joe Biden carried the district by 9%.  That differential was the largest across any of the 16 total crossover districts that year. 

Katko is one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach former president Donald Trump last January. He becomes the third of that group to retire; all 10 have suffered some political repercussions within the party as a result of their vote. After Katko's announcement, Trump released a statement that read "Great news, another one bites the dust. Katko, from Upstate New York, is gone!"

Even if Katko was successful in fending off a primary challenger, he was looking at an uphill battle in November. While redistricting in the state isn't complete, Democrats ultimately control the process, and it is likely that his district will become more difficult for a Republican to win. 

Katko is the 13th Republican, out of 39 total House members that have announced they are retiring or seeking another office. Click or tap the map for a detailed list.

Ohio Supreme Court Invalidates State's New Congressional Map

The Ohio Supreme Court struck down the state's new congressional map Friday, labeling it a Republican gerrymander in violation of the state constitution. The 4-3 decision returned the process to the state legislature with instructions to draw a new that is "not dictated by partisan considerations."

Republicans currently hold a 12-4 edge in the state's congressional delegation. The new map, with one district lost after the 2020 Census, positioned the party to win as many as 13 of 15 seats this year. The consensus house forecast, as of the time the map was voided, is below. 

 

Ohio's map has been removed from the 2022 House Interactive Map.

Indiana Republican Rep. Trey Hollingsworth Not Running for Reelection

Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (IN-09) said Tuesday that he won't seek reelection this year. He is the 12th Republican to retire or seek another office. 26 Democrats have also made that decision.

Hollingsworth is in his third term representing Indiana's 9th district which is located in the southcentral part of the state, from south of Indianapolis to the Kentucky border. It has been a safely Republican district. In 2020, Hollingsworth won by a 27% margin, while Donald Trump bested Joe Biden by 24%. 

Redistricting in Indiana has made the 9th district slightly redder, as it removes areas of suburban Indianapolis and expands to cover the entire southeastern part of the state. Using the reformulated district, Trump's margin of victory would be 28%.

Overview and Live Results: First Elections of 2022

The first special elections of 2022 are taking place Tuesday. A longstanding vacancy in Congress will be filled. There are also several state legislative special general and primary elections.

Congressional Special General Election

Florida District 20

This seat - one of two House vacancies - has been open since long-time Democratic Rep. Alcee Hastings died in April, 2021. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick won the special Democratic primary by just 5 votes over Dale Holness and she is a heavy favorite against Republican Jason Mariner. 

Polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern Time.

This election, for the remaining months of Hasting's term, is being contested using the current boundaries of District 20, which is in the southeastern part of the state. Largely inland, it stretches toward the coast to include portions of Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale. Hastings won his final term with 79% of the vote in 2020.

As is the case with every House seat, District 20 will be up for election this November for a full two-year term. Holness has already filed for a rematch against Cherfilus-McCormick in the Democratic primary, which will take place on August 23. That primary will be contested using redistricted borders. Although a number of proposals have been made, the process is still underway. Regardless of what maps are ultimately passed, it is likely the district will remain safely Democratic.

State Legislative Special General Elections

These races will complete terms in districts that will likely have different boundaries - due to redistricting - when they are next contested for a full term.

Maine State House District 27

Democrats hold 80 of the 151 seats in the Maine State House. There are 64 Republicans and five with other affiliations. Districts 27 and 145 are vacant. Terms are for two years; the next regular elections are in November.

District 27 sits west of Portland. Democrat Kyle Bailey resigned in October, after less than a year on the job. He won the seat by 59% to 41% in 2020; Democrats have controlled the district since the last redistricting a decade ago. 

The major party nominees are James Boyle (D) and Timothy Thorsen (R). Independent Suzanne Phillips is also on the ballot.

Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.

Massachusetts State Senate 1st Suffolk & Middlesex District

Democrats have overwhelming control of the Massachusetts State Senate, holding 36 of the 40 seats. There are three Republicans. Terms are for two years; the next regular elections are in November.

The vacancy in this Boston area district occurred in September, when incumbent Democrat Joseph Boncore resigned to take a private sector job. Boncore was in his third term. 

Lydia Edwards won the Democratic primary. She will be the only candidate named on the ballot as no Republicans or others entered the race. While there could be write-in votes, Edwards is all but certain to be elected. 

Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.

Virginia House of Delegates District 89

Republicans wrested control of the House of Delegates in the November, 2021 elections. Democrats held a 55-45 edge heading in to the elections. Republicans gained seven seats, which will give them 52 when the 2022 session gets underway Wednesday. District 15 Delegate Todd Gilbert (R) is expected to be elected as Speaker.

Although he easily won reelection in November with 81% of the vote, Democrat Jay Jones resigned the District 89 seat in December. The nominees are Democrat Jackie Glass and Republican Giovanni Dolmo. 

Polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern Time.

Due to delays in the release of Census data, Virginia's redistricting was only recently approved. Delegates normally serve two year terms, with the next elections currently scheduled for 2023. However, because the 2021 elections were conducted using old district boundaries, there is litigation underway to force a new set of elections this November. If that happens, there will still be elections in 2023. 

State Legislative Special Primary Elections

Arkansas State Senate District 7 (Republican Runoff)

No candidate received a majority in the December 14 primary, necessitating this runoff. Colby Fulfer (47% of the vote) and Steve Unger (32%) were the top two finishers. 

The winner will meet Democrat Lisa Parks in the February 8 general election for this seat in the northwest corner of the state. It has been vacant since Republican Lance Eads resigned in October.

Polls close at 8:30 PM Eastern Time.

Florida

All three of these districts partially overlap with Congressional District 20, which holds a special general election Tuesday - see the top of this page for results. All three of the incumbents announced their resignations under Florida's 'resign to run' law - to seek the Democratic nomination for that vacancy. None were successful. While the decision to resign was irrevocable, the incumbents were able to hold the seats until as late as Tuesday's special election.  

Polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern Time. 

Senate District 33: The previous incumbent, Perry Thurston (D) finished 4th in the Congressional District 20 primary, earning 15% of the vote. His resignation was effective January 10.

Terry Edden and Rosalind Osgood will compete for the Democratic nomination. Joseph Carter was the only Republican to qualify, so he will be the nominee. The general election is March 8.

House District 88: The previous incumbent, Omari Hardy (D) finished 6th in the Congressional District 20 primary, earning 6% of the vote. His resignation was effective January 10.

Democrats Jervonte Edmonds and Clarence Williams are seeking the nomination. Guarina Torres was the only Republican to qualify; she will be the nominee. The general election is March 8.

State House District 94: The previous incumbent, House Minority Leader Bobby DuBose (D) finished 5th in the Congressional District 20 primary, earning 7% of the vote. His resignation was effective January 11.

Four Democrats are seeking the nomination here. Republicans can vote in this primary since no candidates from their party entered the race. As a result, the candidate that finishes first on Tuesday is elected by default.

Upcoming

  • January 18
    • NY State Assembly District 68 Special Election
  • January 25
    • Connecticut State House District 144 Special Election
    • South Carolina State Senate District 31 Special Primary
  • February 8
    • Arkansas State Senate District 7 Special Election
    • Oklahoma City Mayor
  • February 15
    • California State Assembly Districts 17 and 49 Special Primaries
    • Milwaukee Mayor (All Party Special Primary)
  • February 22
    • Kentucky State House District 42 Special Election

The 2022 Election Calendar (statewide primaries) kicks off in Texas on March 1. Separately, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has set April 5 as the date for the all-party primary in the 22nd Congressional District special election. If no candidate gets a majority, the top two finishers will meet on June 7, which is the same date as the state's 2022 statewide primary.

Colorado Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter Won't Run for Reelection

Rep. Ed Perlmutter of Colorado announced Monday that he won't run for reelection this year. He is the 26th Democrat - out of 37 total House members - to announce they are retiring or seeking another office.

Perlmutter represents Colorado's 7th district. This has been a solidly Democratic district, covering the northern and western sections of the Denver area. Joe Biden won here by a 23% points in 2020. With redistricting, the 7th shifts west and south, becoming much larger geographically as it incorporates more sparsely populated mountain counties.

In the new configuration, Biden would have had a 15% winning margin. While Democrats start out favored to hold the seat, it could potentially be in play with these new boundaries and no incumbent on the ballot.

Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson Will Seek Reelection This Year

Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson will seek a third term this year. He made the announcement via an opinion piece published Sunday at WSJ.com. The move comes a day after his fellow Republican, South Dakota Sen. John Thune said he too will run in November. 

Unlike South Dakota, where Thune should have little trouble winning a 4th term, the Wisconsin race is expected to be one of the most fiercely-contested in the country. About a dozen Democrats have already entered the race; the early frontrunner appears to be Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes.  

Despite being loathed by Democrats, many in the party hoped Johnson would seek another term. As The Hill reported last week: "Democrats view him as vulnerable, pointing to provocative comments on the coronavirus, 2020 election, racial justice protests and more, and are eager to take another crack at him."

All 34 Senate incumbents holding seats up in 2022 have now made their reelection intentions known. Five Republicans and one Democrat are retiring:  Roy Blunt (R-Missouri), Richard Burr (R-North Carolina), Patrick Leahy (D-Vermont), Rob Portman (R-Ohio), Richard Shelby (R-Alabama), Pat Toomey (R-Pennsylvania). The remaining 15 Republicans and 13 Democrats are running. The Senate is currently evenly split at 50-50; Democrats control by virtue of Vice-President Kamala Harris' ability to break ties.

 

 

Michigan Democratic Rep. Brenda Lawrence Not Seeking Reelection

Michigan Rep. Brenda Lawrence (D, MI-14) announced late Tuesday that she will not run for a 5th term. She is the 25th House Democrat to retire or seek another office this year.

Lawrence represents the Detroit-area 14th district. Numerically, it is being eliminated as the state is losing a district this year. After Lawrence made her decision known, Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D, MI-13) announced she would move to run in the new 12th district - where Lawrence might have run - leaving the new 13th district open. In any case, both districts are safely Democratic.

Long-time Democratic Rep. Bobby Rush Announces his Retirement

Rep. Bobby Rush, the dean of Illinois' U.S. House delegation, will not seek a 16th term in this year's midterm elections. He becomes the 24th Democrat to announce they are retiring or seeking another office this year. 11 Republicans have made that decision. 

Rush has represented the state's 1st congressional district for the entirety of his 30 years in the House. In its current form, it extends southwest from the south side of Chicago. While the boundaries are changing in redistricting, it will remain a safely Democratic district. He won his final term by a 48% margin in 2020.

Rush has the distinction of being the only person to defeat former President Barack Obama in an election. Obama, then a state Senator, challenged him in the 2000 Democratic primary.

GOP Rep. Devin Nunes Resigns; Democrats Hold 221-212 Margin in House

Devin Nunes officially resigned from Congress Monday. The move comes four weeks after he announced his intention to depart. Nunes is leaving to helm Trump Media & Technology Group, which is preparing to launch TRUTH Social, a new social media platform.

There are now two vacancies in the U.S. House, with Democrats holding a narrow 221-212 edge. The other open seat, in Florida's 20th congressional district, will be filled via a special election next Tuesday. That safely Democratic district was previously represented by Alcee Hastings, who died in April, 2021. 

The image links to the House Interactive Map; choose 'Current House' view to see the current composition: 

California District 22 Special Election

Within two weeks, Gov. Gavin Newsom will set the date for a special election to complete Nunes' term. Under California law, the election will be an all-party primary. If a candidate gets a majority of the vote, they are elected. Otherwise, the top two finishers will advance to the general election runoff.

The special election will be contested within the current boundaries of District 22, which is situated in the San Joaquin Valley. Nunes was reelected by about 8.5% in 2020. While the GOP will likely be favored in the special election, the district - now CA-21 - became significantly more Democratic-leaning in recent redistricting, which may make things difficult for a Republican incumbent should they choose to run again in November.  

Michigan and Virginia Added to 2022 House Interactive Map

Michigan and Virginia's recently-approved congressional districts have been added to the 2022 House Interactive Map. Initial ratings, from The Cook Political Report, are available for those states as well as Georgia, where Gov. Brian Kemp signed redistricting into law on Thursday.

Read the full Cook Political analysis ($)>>

The map now includes shapes for 283 out of the 435 congressional districts. Click/tap the image below for an interactive version of the Cook Political forecast.