2020 Democratic Delegate Calculator

1,991 pledged delegates needed for nomination

This three-part calculator allows you to monitor the progress of the leading Democratic candidates as they pursue the 1,991 pledged delegates required to win the 2020 Democratic nomination on the first ballot.

The Estimated Actual button will look back at completed contests. The Polling Average button projects where each candidate will end up based on polling. The Custom Calculator button lets you create your own forecast for each state, with the option to set withdrawal dates.

See Using the Delegate Calculator for more detailed instructions. See the notes below the table on this page for limitations on projecting delegates with polling averages.

Totals based on your forecast
(not polling average)
Biden
Sanders
Warren
Bloomberg
Buttigieg
Klobuchar
Gabbard

National Poll Average 62.0% - - - - - -
Delegate Estimate
Withdrawal Date
04/08/2020
03/05/2020
03/04/2020
03/01/2020
03/02/2020
03/19/2020

Iowa (41)
February 3
Actual
February 11
Actual
Nevada (36)
February 22
Actual
February 29
Actual
Alabama (52)
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual No territory polling available
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual No polling available
Maine (24)
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
Texas (228)
March 3
Actual
Utah (29)
March 3
Actual
Vermont (16)
March 3
Actual
March 3
Actual
Idaho (20)
March 10
Actual
Michigan (125)
March 10
Actual
March 10
Actual
March 10
Actual
March 10
Actual
March 10
Actual
March 14
Actual No territory polling available
Arizona (67)
March 17
Actual
Florida (219)
March 17
Actual
Illinois (155)
March 17
Actual
April 7
Actual
Alaska (15)
April 10
Actual No state polling available
Wyoming (14)
April 17
Actual No state polling available
Ohio (136)
April 28
Actual
Kansas (39)
May 2
Actual
May 12
Actual No state polling available
Oregon (61)
May 19
Actual No state polling available
Hawaii (24)
May 22
Actual No state polling available
June 2
Actual No district polling available
Indiana (82)
June 2
Actual No recent state polling available
June 2
Actual
Montana (19)
June 2
Actual No state polling available
June 2
Actual No recent state polling available
June 2
Actual
June 2
Actual No state polling available
June 2
Actual No state polling available
Guam (7)
June 6
Actual No territory polling available
June 6
Actual No territory polling available
Georgia (105)
June 9
Actual
June 9
Actual No state polling available
June 23
Actual No state polling available
New York (274)
June 23
Actual No recent state polling available
July 7
Actual No recent state polling available
July 7
Actual No recent state polling available
July 11
Actual No state polling available
July 12
Actual No territory polling available
August 11
Actual No state polling available

A note about ties and fractional delegates: A tied result is extremely unlikely in the real world – the Democratic party calculates results to 3 decimal places (one thousandth of a percentage point). It is more likely to occur in polling, where results are generally reported to the nearest percentage point. In situations where there is a tie involving an odd number of delegates, the calculator will split the final delegate between those in the tie. This may lead to fractional delegate totals. You can remove any ties in the Custom Calculator.

Estimates based on polling are directionally useful, but there are a couple notable reasons why the delegate count will vary.

  • Some delegates are awarded based on the statewide vote but the majority are based on the outcome in each congressional district (or other local jurisdiction). Our calculator evaluates each district independently - expand any row for detail - but we are limited to using statewide polling. District-to-district differences in voting will affect the accuracy of the estimate. In addition, the party’s 15% threshold also applies in each district. For example, a candidate that gets 14% statewide will likely exceed 15% in one or more districts, thus earning some delegates.
  • Polling assumes each candidate will still be in the race when that state’s primary or caucus is held. However, the reality is that early nominating contests will almost certainly reduce the field. In addition, those early contests will affect voter perception of the viability of each remaining candidate. This sequencing will significantly affect the allocation of delegates.