2020 New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Date:
February 11, 2020
Delegates: 33 (24 pledged, 9 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 24 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Harris Buttigieg Yang Gabbard Williamson Booker Klobuchar Hickenlooper Gillibrand O'Rourke Bennet Delaney Steyer Castro Ryan de Blasio Moulton Inslee Other
Poll Averages* 21.3% 19.3% 16.3% 14.0% 11.7% 2.3% 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
 
7/16/2019 386 LV ±5% 24% 19% 19% 9% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 9%
7/15/2019 351 LV ±5.2% 21% 17% 10% 18% 12% 5% 1% 2% 1% 3% - 1% 0% - - - - - - - 0% 9%
7/12/2019 1084 LV 19% 22% 20% 15% 13% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
 
7/11/2019 420 RV 13% 24% 26% 13% 14% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% 1% -1%
 
6/25/2019 308 LV 24% 21% 28% 3% 14% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 4% - 1% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%
 
6/16/2019 502 RV ±4.9% 33% 17% 20% 7% 10% 1% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
 
5/23/2019 600 RV ±4% 33% 11% 12% 7% 7% - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - 29%
 
5/09/2019 376 LV ±5.1% 36% 8% 18% 6% 9% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% - 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 14%
 
5/07/2019 864 LV ±3.3% 26% 9% 30% 8% 12% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2% - 0% 1% - 1% 0% 2%
 
4/30/2019 800 LV ±3.5% 20% 8% 12% 6% 12% 1% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 32%
4/22/2019 241 LV ±6.3% 18% 5% 30% 4% 15% 2% 1% - 3% 2% - 1% 3% - 0% - 0% 2% - - 0% 14%
 
4/11/2019 326 LV ±5.4% 23% 9% 16% 7% 11% - 1% - 4% 2% 1% 1% 6% - 1% - - - - - 0% 18%
 
2/28/2019 240 LV ±6.3% 22% 7% 26% 10% 1% - 1% - 3% 4% 0% 1% 5% - 0% - - - - - - 20%
 
2/23/2019 405 RV ±4.8% 25% 9% 27% 12% 1% - 0% - 5% 8% - 1% 5% - 1% - 0% - - - - 6%
 
2/20/2019 337 LV ±6.4% 28% 9% 20% 14% - - - - 3% 1% - 3% 6% - - - 1% - - - - 15%
 
1/06/2019 1162 LV 24% 11% 26% 4% - - - - 3% 2% 1% 1% 9% - 0% - 0% - - - 0% 19%
Show: 10 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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