2020 Massachusetts Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 114 (91 pledged, 23 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is September 1.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
45


Sanders
29


Warren
17

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Warren Biden Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 25.4% 21.0% 15.0% 13.6% 13.3% 1.8% -
Swayable 3/03/2020 917 LV ±4% 27% 15% 17% 18% - 1% 22%
Data for Progress 3/03/2020 301 LV ±5.6% 26% 28% 26% 15% - 2% 3%
Suffolk | Boston Globe 2/29/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 24% 22% 11% 13% 12% 1% 17%
WBUR 2/28/2020 426 LV ±4.9% 25% 17% 9% 13% 14% 1% 21%
UMass Amherst 2/27/2020 400 LV ±5.9% 25% 23% 12% 9% 14% 4% 13%
UMass Lowell 2/21/2020 450 LV ±6.1% 21% 20% 14% 12% 15% 3% 15%
Falchuk & DiNatale 2/18/2020 453 LV 17% 16% 13% 13% 13% 3% 25%
Falchuk & DiNatale 2/06/2020 334 LV ±5.3% 12% 23% 16% 8% 6% - 35%
WBUR 10/23/2019 456 LV ±4.6% 13% 33% 18% - 7% 2% 27%
Suffolk | Boston Globe 9/07/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 8% 24% 26% - 5% 2% 35%
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* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.