2020 Michigan Democratic Primary

Date:
March 10, 2020
Delegates: 147 (125 pledged, 22 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 125 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris Yang Booker Gabbard Klobuchar Williamson Bullock Delaney Sestak Bennet Steyer Castro Other
Poll Averages* 27.7% 21.7% 20.0% 6.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
 
11/08/2019 203 LV 30% 21% 17% 3% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% - - - - - - - 26%
 
11/07/2019 208 LV 19% 25% 15% 7% 2% 1% 1% - 1% - - - - - 0% 0% 29%
11/03/2019 454 LV ±4.6% 34% 19% 28% 8% 3% 2% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
 
3/10/2019 317 RV ±5.5% 40% 11% 23% 0% 12% - 3% 0% 5% - - - - - - 0% 6%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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