2020 California Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 495 (416 pledged, 79 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 416 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Harris Buttigieg Yang Gabbard Booker Klobuchar Williamson Steyer Castro Messam Bennet Bullock Other
Poll Averages* 25.3% 23.0% 19.3% 8.0% 6.7% 4.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11/18/2019 682 LV ±5.1% 24% 23% 17% 8% 7% 5% - 1% 1% - 1% - - - - 13%
10/24/2019 1631 LV ±2.4% 19% 28% 24% 8% 9% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
10/21/2019 553 LV ±6.9% 33% 18% 17% 8% 4% 4% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 10%
 
10/03/2019 692 LV ±4.9% 22% 23% 21% 8% 6% 3% - 2% 1% - 1% 2% - - - 11%
9/25/2019 2272 LV ±3% 20% 29% 19% 8% 6% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 10%
 
9/19/2019 3325 LV ±1.7% 18% 25% 23% 11% 10% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 3%
 
9/17/2019 424 RV ±4.7% 26% 20% 26% 6% 4% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6%
 
9/17/2019 547 LV ±4.8% 27% 16% 18% 13% 3% 7% - 2% 1% - - 2% - - - 11%
 
7/21/2019 1514 RV ±2.9% 24% 19% 16% 23% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 4%
7/17/2019 519 RV ±5.7% 21% 16% 18% 23% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 15%
 
7/15/2019 1609 RV 17% 22% 20% 23% 8% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% - 3%
 
6/13/2019 2131 LV ±3% 22% 18% 17% 13% 10% 1% - 1% 1% 0% - 1% - - 0% 16%
 
5/31/2019 1649 LV ±2.4% 30% 12% 23% 15% 12% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% - 1% - 0% - 4%
 
4/10/2019 482 LV ±5.9% 26% 7% 18% 17% 7% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% - 2% - - - 17%
 
4/10/2019 2003 LV ±2.2% 21% 8% 22% 19% 9% 1% 1% 3% 1% 0% - 2% - 0% - 13%
 
2/11/2019 1614 RV - 7% 20% 26% 1% 0% 1% 3% 1% 0% - 2% - - 0% 39%
Show: 10 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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