2020 California Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 494 (415 pledged, 79 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Pledged Delegate Estimate

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Biden Warren Buttigieg Klobuchar Other
Poll Averages* 27.0% 24.0% 23.0% 6.0% 4.0% -
PPIC 1/13/2020 530 LV ±6.5% 27% 24% 23% 6% 4% 16%
Change Research 12/16/2019 862 LV ±3.3% 26% 19% 23% 12% 1% 19%
CNN / SSRS 12/11/2019 508 LV ±5.2% 20% 21% 17% 9% 2% 31%
UC Berkeley 12/05/2019 1,694 LV ±4% 24% 14% 22% 12% 2% 26%
SurveyUSA 11/26/2019 558 LV ±4.8% 18% 28% 13% 8% 1% 32%
PPIC 11/18/2019 682 LV ±5.1% 17% 24% 23% 7% 1% 28%
Change Research 10/24/2019 1,631 LV ±2.4% 24% 19% 28% 9% 2% 18%
SurveyUSA 10/21/2019 553 LV ±6.9% 17% 33% 18% 4% 1% 27%
PPIC 10/03/2019 692 LV ±4.9% 21% 22% 23% 6% 1% 27%
UC Berkeley 9/25/2019 2,272 LV ±3% 19% 20% 29% 6% 2% 24%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.