2020 California Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 494 (415 pledged, 79 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Sanders
221


Biden
172


Warren
12


Bloomberg
9

1 delegate has not yet been allocated.

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Biden Bloomberg Warren Buttigieg Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 33.0% 20.0% 15.0% 14.4% 8.0% 1.2% -
Swayable 3/03/2020 3,388 LV ±2% 29% 21% 19% 10% - 0% 21%
Data for Progress 3/03/2020 516 LV ±4.3% 32% 25% 17% 16% - 1% 9%
Emerson College 3/02/2020 545 LV ±4.1% 38% 21% 11% 16% - 1% 13%
YouGov / CBS 3/01/2020 1,411 LV ±4% 31% 19% 12% 18% 9% 1% 10%
Suffolk University 3/01/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 35% 14% 16% 12% 7% 3% 13%
UC Berkeley 2/28/2020 3,002 LV ±2% 34% 8% 12% 17% 11% - 18%
CNN / SSRS 2/28/2020 488 LV ±5.2% 35% 13% 12% 14% 7% 1% 18%
Change Research 2/26/2020 1,822 LV ±2.3% 36% 10% 5% 18% 9% 2% 20%
UMass Lowell 2/21/2020 450 LV ±6.7% 24% 13% 12% 16% 12% 4% 19%
Monmouth University 2/20/2020 408 LV ±4.9% 24% 17% 13% 10% 9% 2% 25%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.