2020 California Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 495 (416 pledged, 79 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 416 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Harris Biden Sanders Warren Buttigieg Yang O'Rourke Gabbard Booker Castro Inslee Klobuchar Bullock Moulton Ryan Delaney Bennet Gillibrand Hickenlooper Sestak de Blasio Messam Gravel Steyer Williamson Other
Poll Averages* 23.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 5.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7/17/2019 519 RV ±5.7% 23% 21% 18% 16% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
7/15/2019 1609 RV 23% 17% 20% 22% 8% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
 
6/13/2019 2131 LV ±3% 13% 22% 17% 18% 10% 1% 3% - 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% 0% - - - - - 0% 13%
 
5/31/2019 1649 LV ±2.4% 15% 30% 23% 12% 12% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% - 0% 0% - 0% 0% 0% - - - 0% - 0% 1%
 
4/10/2019 482 LV ±5.9% 17% 26% 18% 7% 7% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% - - - 0% - 0% 0% - - - - - 0% 12%
 
4/10/2019 2003 LV ±2.2% 19% 21% 22% 8% 9% 1% 10% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% - - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - - - - - 0% 2%
 
2/11/2019 1614 RV 26% - 20% 7% 1% 0% 8% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% - - 0% - 1% 0% - - - - - 0% 30%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



Copyright © 2004-2019 270towin.com All Rights Reserved