2020 California Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 495 (416 pledged, 79 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 416 pledged delegates allocated based on most recent poll
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Harris Sanders Warren Buttigieg O'Rourke Yang Gabbard Booker Castro Klobuchar Steyer Bennet Williamson Sestak de Blasio Messam Bullock Delaney Ryan Other
 
7/21/2019 1514 RV ±2.9% 24% 23% 16% 19% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%
7/17/2019 519 RV ±5.7% 21% 23% 18% 16% 3% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14%
7/15/2019 1609 RV 17% 23% 20% 22% 8% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - 0% 0% 1%
 
6/13/2019 2131 LV ±3% 22% 13% 17% 18% 10% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - 0% - - - 0% 0% 0% 13%
 
5/31/2019 1649 LV ±2.4% 30% 15% 23% 12% 12% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% - 0% 0% - - - - - 0% 1%
 
4/10/2019 482 LV ±5.9% 26% 17% 18% 7% 7% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% - - 0% - - - - 0% - 13%
 
4/10/2019 2003 LV ±2.2% 21% 19% 22% 8% 9% 10% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% - 0% 0% - - - - 0% 0% 3%
 
2/11/2019 1614 RV - 26% 20% 7% 1% 8% 0% 1% 3% 2% 1% - - 0% - - - 0% 0% - 31%


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