2020 North Carolina Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 122 (110 pledged, 12 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 110 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Buttigieg Harris Steyer Booker Klobuchar Gabbard Yang Bennet Bullock Williamson Delaney Castro Sestak Messam Other
Poll Averages* 33.0% 15.0% 14.3% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
 
11/14/2019 669 LV ±3.5% 37% 14% 15% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
 
11/14/2019 347 RV ±6.4% 33% 18% 13% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% - - - - - - - 17%
 
11/08/2019 324 LV 29% 13% 15% 1% 1% - 1% 0% 1% 0% - - - - - - - 39%
 
10/14/2019 415 LV ±4.9% 29% 19% 17% 4% 8% - 1% 3% - 9% - - - - 1% - - 9%
 
10/09/2019 410 RV 39% 6% 22% 9% 3% - 2% - - 3% - - - - 1% - - 15%
 
8/08/2019 534 LV ±6.1% 36% 15% 13% 5% 8% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 19%
 
6/04/2019 397 RV ±4.9% 39% 22% 15% 8% 5% - 1% 1% 0% 1% - 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 8%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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