2020 North Carolina Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 122 (110 pledged, 12 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
68


Sanders
37


Warren
2


Bloomberg
3

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Bloomberg Warren Buttigieg Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 27.8% 25.8% 17.0% 11.6% 5.5% 0.8% -
Swayable 3/03/2020 1,209 LV ±3% 36% 23% 18% 10% - 0% 13%
Data for Progress 3/03/2020 334 LV ±5.3% 36% 27% 18% 14% - 1% 4%
High Point University 3/02/2020 274 LV 14% 28% 20% 12% - 1% 25%
NBC News/ Marist 3/01/2020 568 LV ±5.1% 24% 26% 15% 11% 7% 1% 16%
East Carolina Univ. 3/01/2020 499 LV ±5.1% 29% 25% 14% 11% 4% 1% 16%
Civitas 2/28/2020 587 LV ±4.1% 27% 19% 16% 11% 4% - 23%
Data for Progress 2/28/2020 536 LV 25% 27% 18% 11% 10% 1% 8%
Meredith Poll 2/27/2020 430 LV 18% 20% 17% 11% 10% 1% 23%
Public Policy 2/25/2020 852 LV ±3.4% 23% 20% 17% 11% 9% 1% 19%
Civitas 2/25/2020 561 LV ±3.8% 20% 20% 20% 9% 3% - 28%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.