2020 Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

Date:
April 28, 2020
Delegates: 210 (186 pledged, 24 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 186 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Bennet Harris Yang Klobuchar Steyer Gabbard Booker Castro Bullock Other
Poll Averages* 28.3% 17.3% 13.3% 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
 
11/08/2019 304 LV 28% 16% 14% 4% - 1% 2% 1% - 0% 0% - - 34%
 
11/07/2019 246 LV 27% 18% 14% 3% - 4% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 0% - 29%
10/31/2019 226 RV ±8.9% 30% 18% 12% 8% 2% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% - 0% 23%
 
10/08/2019 307 RV ±5.6% 17% 9% 6% 8% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 56%
 
8/08/2019 295 RV ±8.7% 28% 21% 12% 6% 0% 8% - 0% - 1% 2% - 1% 21%
 
5/15/2019 431 RV ±6.2% 39% 8% 13% 6% 0% 8% 0% 1% - 0% 5% 0% - 20%
 
4/12/2019 405 RV ±5.5% 28% 8% 16% 4% - 8% - 3% - - 3% - - 30%
 
3/31/2019 359 RV ±5.1% 39% 11% 20% 6% - 5% 1% 0% - 3% 4% 1% - 10%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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