2020 Texas Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 262 (228 pledged, 34 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by State Senatorial Districts
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 228 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren O'Rourke Sanders Harris Castro Buttigieg Klobuchar Yang Booker Bullock Delaney Ryan Williamson Bennet Gabbard Messam Steyer Sestak de Blasio Other
Poll Averages* 26.0% 16.5% 15.0% 12.5% 4.5% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9/11/2019 456 RV ±5.5% 28% 18% 12% 12% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14%
 
9/05/2019 358 RV ±5.2% 24% 15% 18% 13% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6%
8/06/2019 400 RV ±4.9% 28% 14% 19% 16% 5% 2% 7% 0% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
 
7/30/2019 554 RV 19% 9% 38% 14% 8% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2%
 
7/21/2019 910 LV ±4.2% 27% 16% 17% 12% 12% 4% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%
 
6/17/2019 483 RV ±4.5% 23% 14% 15% 12% 5% 3% 8% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% - - 0% 14%
6/07/2019 1218 LV ±2.8% 24% 12% 27% 13% 8% 2% 8% 1% 1% 1% - 0% - 0% 0% 0% - - - 0% 3%
 
6/05/2019 407 LV ±5.8% 30% 11% 16% 15% 4% 4% 3% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 11%
 
4/29/2019 342 LV ±5.3% 23% 7% 22% 17% 3% 4% 8% 3% 3% 1% - 1% 0% 0% - 0% 0% - - - 8%
 
4/25/2019 1578 LV ±2.5% 20% 5% 25% 19% 5% 4% 15% 1% 1% 2% - - 0% - - 0% - - - - 3%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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