2020 Texas Democratic Primary

Date:
March 3, 2020
Delegates: 262 (228 pledged, 34 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by State Senatorial Districts
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 228 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris Yang Castro Klobuchar Gabbard Steyer Booker Williamson Sestak Bennet Bullock Messam Delaney Other
Poll Averages* 25.5% 18.5% 15.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11/18/2019 427 RV ±4.7% 28% 19% 18% 8% 5% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9%
11/04/2019 541 LV ±4.2% 23% 18% 12% 6% 5% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 23%
 
9/19/2019 474 RV ±4.5% 28% 11% 17% 4% 6% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 6% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 18%
9/11/2019 456 RV ±5.5% 28% 18% 12% 3% 5% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 26%
 
9/05/2019 358 RV ±5.2% 24% 15% 13% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 25%
8/06/2019 400 RV ±4.9% 28% 14% 16% 7% 5% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 20%
 
7/30/2019 554 RV 19% 9% 14% 2% 8% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 40%
 
7/21/2019 910 LV ±4.2% 27% 16% 12% 4% 12% 1% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 21%
 
6/17/2019 483 RV ±4.5% 23% 14% 12% 8% 5% 0% 3% 1% 3% - 1% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 1% 29%
6/07/2019 1218 LV ±2.8% 24% 12% 13% 8% 8% 1% 2% 1% 0% - 1% 0% - 0% - - 0% 30%
 
6/05/2019 407 LV ±5.8% 30% 11% 15% 3% 4% 1% 4% 0% 0% - 1% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 2% 28%
 
4/29/2019 342 LV ±5.3% 23% 7% 17% 8% 3% 3% 4% 3% 0% - 1% 0% - - - 0% 1% 30%
 
4/25/2019 1578 LV ±2.5% 20% 5% 19% 15% 5% 1% 4% 1% 0% - 2% - - - - - - 28%
Show: 10 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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