2020 Texas Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 262 (228 pledged, 34 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by State Senatorial Districts

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Pledged Delegate Estimate

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Buttigieg Bloomberg Yang Steyer Bennet Patrick Gabbard Klobuchar Delaney Other
CNN / SSRS 12/11/2019 327 LV ±6.6% 35% 15% 13% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 14%
UT Tyler 11/18/2019 427 RV ±4.7% 28% 18% 19% 8% - 2% 2% 0% - 1% 2% 0% 20%
Univ. of Texas/Texas Tribune 11/04/2019 541 LV ±4.2% 23% 12% 18% 6% - 4% 1% 0% - 2% 2% 0% 32%
UT Tyler 9/19/2019 474 RV ±4.5% 28% 17% 11% 4% - 1% 1% 1% - 0% 0% 1% 36%
Quinnipiac 9/11/2019 456 RV ±5.5% 28% 12% 18% 3% - 1% 0% 0% - 0% 2% 1% 35%
Texas Lyceum 9/05/2019 358 RV ±5.2% 24% 13% 15% 3% - 2% 0% 1% - 1% 3% 0% 38%
Emerson College 8/06/2019 400 RV ±4.9% 28% 16% 14% 7% - 3% 0% 1% - 1% 0% 0% 30%
Texas Opinion Survey 7/30/2019 554 RV 19% 14% 9% 2% - 0% 0% 1% - 1% 0% 0% 54%
YouGov / CBS 7/21/2019 910 LV ±4.2% 27% 12% 16% 4% - 1% 0% 0% - 1% 1% 1% 37%
Univ. of Texas/Texas Tribune 6/17/2019 483 RV ±4.5% 23% 12% 14% 8% - 0% - 0% - 3% 1% 1% 38%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.