2020 Arizona Democratic Primary

Date: March 17, 2020
Delegates: 78 (67 pledged, 11 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is August 4.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
39


Sanders
28

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Gabbard Warren Buttigieg Other
Poll Averages* 50.6% 29.4% 1.0% - - -
Swayable 3/17/2020 1,167 LV ±5% 53% 29% 1% - - 17%
Monmouth University 3/16/2020 373 LV ±5.1% 51% 31% 1% - - 17%
NBC News/ Marist 3/16/2020 523 LV ±6% 53% 36% 1% - - 10%
Univision/ASU 3/13/2020 541 RV ±4.2% 51% 34% 1% - - 14%
OH Predictive Insights 3/09/2020 398 LV ±4.9% 45% 17% - - - 38%
OH Predictive Insights 11/19/2019 260 LV ±6.1% 29% 16% 1% 18% 9% 27%
NY Times / Siena College 11/08/2019 209 LV 24% 16% 0% 15% 5% 40%
Emerson College 10/29/2019 339 LV ±5.3% 28% 21% 2% 21% 12% 16%
Change Research 10/03/2019 396 LV ±4.9% 15% 19% 1% 35% 13% 17%
Bendixen & Amandi 9/17/2019 250 RV 29% 18% - 24% 5% 24%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.