2020 Arizona Democratic Primary

Date:
March 17, 2020
Delegates: 78 (67 pledged, 11 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 67 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris Yang Klobuchar Sestak Castro Gabbard Booker Steyer Bennet Bullock Delaney Williamson Other
Poll Averages* 27.0% 18.0% 17.7% 8.7% 4.0% 3.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
 
11/19/2019 260 LV ±6.1% 29% 18% 16% 9% 5% 4% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 10%
 
11/08/2019 209 LV 24% 15% 16% 5% 3% 1% 1% - - 0% 0% - - - - - 35%
 
10/29/2019 339 LV ±5.3% 28% 21% 21% 12% 4% 5% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4%
 
10/03/2019 396 LV ±4.9% 15% 35% 19% 13% 4% 8% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 0% - - - - 2%
 
9/17/2019 250 RV 29% 24% 18% 5% 4% 2% 1% - 1% - - - - - - 1% 15%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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