2020 South Carolina Democratic Primary

Date:	February 29, 2020
Delegates:	63 (54 pledged, 9 automatic)
Allocation:	Proportional
Threshold:	15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes:	Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is June 9.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Biden
39

Sanders
15

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Sanders	Buttigieg	Warren	Gabbard	Bloomberg	Other
Poll Averages†				37.2%	20.7%	10.0%	7.8%	2.5%	-	-
	Trafalgar Group	2/28/2020	1,081 LV ±3%	44%	23%	10%	6%	2%	-	15%
	Monmouth University	2/27/2020	454 LV ±4.6%	36%	16%	6%	8%	1%	-	33%
	Starboard Communications	2/27/2020	1,102 LV ±2.8%	40%	11%	9%	9%	2%	-	29%
	Change Research	2/27/2020	543 LV ±5.1%	28%	24%	11%	12%	5%	-	20%
	Emerson College	2/27/2020	550 LV ±4.1%	41%	25%	11%	5%	2%	-	16%
	Data for Progress	2/27/2020	1,416 LV ±2.6%	34%	25%	13%	7%	3%	-	18%
	The Clemson Poll	2/26/2020	650 LV ±3.8%	35%	13%	8%	8%	2%	-	34%
	East Carolina Univ.	2/26/2020	1,142 LV ±3.4%	31%	23%	6%	8%	2%	-	30%
	Public Policy	2/24/2020	866 LV ±3.3%	36%	21%	7%	8%	6%	-	22%
	NBC News/ Marist	2/24/2020	539 LV ±6%	27%	23%	9%	8%	3%	-	30%
	YouGov / CBS	2/23/2020	1,238 LV ±5.5%	28%	23%	10%	12%	1%	-	26%
	Winthrop Poll	2/20/2020	443 LV ±4.7%	24%	19%	7%	6%	1%	-	43%
	Change Research	2/19/2020	1,015 LV	23%	23%	15%	9%	1%	-	29%
	UMass Lowell	2/19/2020	400 LV ±7.5%	23%	21%	11%	11%	4%	-	30%
	East Carolina Univ.	2/14/2020	703 LV ±4.3%	28%	20%	8%	7%	1%	6%	30%
	East Carolina Univ.	2/06/2020	469 LV ±5.3%	37%	14%	4%	8%	2%	1%	34%
	Change Research	2/02/2020	651 LV ±4%	24%	19%	6%	10%	3%	-	38%
	Fox News	1/09/2020	808 LV ±3.5%	36%	14%	4%	10%	1%	2%	33%
	Change Research	12/12/2019	392 LV ±4.9%	27%	20%	9%	19%	4%	3%	18%
	Univ. of North Florida	11/18/2019	426 LV ±4.7%	36%	10%	3%	10%	1%	1%	39%
	Quinnipiac	11/18/2019	768 LV ±4.8%	33%	11%	6%	13%	1%	-	36%
	YouGov / CBS	11/17/2019	933 RV ±4.2%	45%	15%	8%	17%	1%	-	14%
	Change Research	10/25/2019	731 LV ±3.6%	30%	13%	9%	19%	3%	-	26%
	Monmouth University	10/23/2019	402 LV ±4.9%	33%	12%	3%	16%	1%	-	35%
	Gravis Marketing	10/15/2019	516 LV ±4.3%	34%	10%	0%	9%	1%	-	46%
	Firehouse / 0ptimus	10/14/2019	607 LV ±3.7%	32%	8%	4%	16%	-	-	40%
	YouGov / CBS	10/13/2019	915 RV ±3.9%	43%	16%	4%	18%	0%	-	19%
	Fox News	10/06/2019	803 LV ±3.5%	41%	10%	2%	12%	1%	-	34%
	Winthrop Poll	10/01/2019	462 RV ±4.6%	37%	8%	4%	17%	1%	-	33%
	CNN / SSRS	9/29/2019	406 LV ±5.9%	37%	11%	4%	16%	1%	-	31%
	YouGov / CBS	9/08/2019	849 RV ±4.3%	43%	18%	4%	14%	1%	-	20%
	Change Research	8/14/2019	521 LV ±4.3%	36%	16%	5%	17%	2%	-	24%
	Monmouth University	7/25/2019	405 LV ±4.9%	39%	10%	5%	9%	0%	-	37%
	YouGov / CBS	7/21/2019	997 LV ±3.8%	39%	17%	5%	12%	0%	-	27%
	Change Research	7/11/2019	421 RV	27%	16%	6%	15%	2%	-	34%
	Fox News	7/11/2019	701 LV ±3.5%	35%	14%	2%	5%	0%	-	44%
	Change Research	6/25/2019	308 LV	39%	13%	11%	15%	0%	-	22%
	Change Research	6/16/2019	933 LV ±3.2%	32%	9%	11%	17%	1%	-	30%
	YouGov / CBS	6/16/2019	644 RV ±4.9%	45%	18%	6%	8%	0%	-	23%
	Tel Opinion Research	5/28/2019	600 LV ±4%	37%	10%	3%	8%	-	-	42%
	Crantford Research	5/20/2019	381 LV ±5%	42%	7%	8%	8%	-	-	35%
	Change Research	5/12/2019	595 LV ±4%	46%	15%	8%	8%	0%	-	23%
	Change Research	4/08/2019	744 LV ±3.6%	32%	14%	7%	6%	0%	-	41%
	Emerson College	3/02/2019	291 RV ±5.7%	37%	21%	1%	5%	2%	-	34%
	Change Research	2/20/2019	600 LV ±4%	36%	14%	-	9%	-	-	41%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2020 South Carolina Democratic Primary

Estimated Delegates Earned

Polls

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