2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus

Date: February 3, 2020
Delegates: 49 (41 pledged, 8 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is June 2.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Buttigieg
9


Sanders
12


Warren
5


Biden
14


Klobuchar
1

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Biden Warren Buttigieg Gabbard Bloomberg Other
Poll Averages* 22.6% 18.2% 15.6% 15.2% 1.8% 1.3% -
David Binder Research 2/03/2020 300 LV ±5.7% 17% 15% 15% 19% 3% 1% 30%
Emerson College 2/02/2020 853 LV ±3.3% 28% 21% 14% 15% 1% - 21%
American Research Group 1/31/2020 400 LV ±4% 23% 17% 15% 9% 2% 2% 32%
Iowa State / Civiqs 1/29/2020 655 LV ±4.8% 24% 15% 19% 17% 2% 1% 22%
Monmouth University 1/29/2020 544 LV ±4.2% 21% 23% 15% 16% 1% - 24%
Change Research 1/28/2020 704 LV ±3.7% 26% 15% 13% 19% 1% - 26%
YouGov / CBS 1/26/2020 1,401 RV ±3.9% 26% 25% 15% 22% 0% - 12%
Suffolk University 1/26/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 19% 25% 13% 18% 1% - 24%
Emerson College 1/26/2020 450 LV ±4.6% 30% 21% 11% 10% 5% - 23%
NY Times / Siena College 1/25/2020 584 LV ±4.8% 25% 17% 15% 18% 1% 1% 23%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.