2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus

Date: February 3, 2020
Delegates: 49 (41 pledged, 8 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Buttigieg
11


Sanders
11


Warren
5

14 delegates have not yet been allocated.

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Biden Warren Buttigieg Klobuchar Yang Steyer Gabbard Bloomberg Bennet Patrick Other
Poll Averages* 22.6% 18.2% 15.6% 15.2% 11.8% 3.8% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% - -
David Binder Research 2/03/2020 300 LV ±5.7% 17% 15% 15% 19% 11% 1% 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 15%
Emerson College 2/02/2020 853 LV ±3.3% 28% 21% 14% 15% 11% 5% 4% 1% - 1% 0% 0%
American Research Group 1/31/2020 400 LV ±4% 23% 17% 15% 9% 16% 5% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0% 8%
Iowa State / Civiqs 1/29/2020 655 LV ±4.8% 24% 15% 19% 17% 11% 5% 4% 2% 1% - - 2%
Monmouth University 1/29/2020 544 LV ±4.2% 21% 23% 15% 16% 10% 3% 4% 1% - 1% 0% 6%
Change Research 1/28/2020 704 LV ±3.7% 26% 15% 13% 19% 9% 4% 4% 1% - 0% 1% 8%
YouGov / CBS 1/26/2020 1,401 RV ±3.9% 26% 25% 15% 22% 7% 1% 1% 0% - 0% 0% 3%
Suffolk University 1/26/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 19% 25% 13% 18% 6% 3% 2% 1% - - - 13%
Emerson College 1/26/2020 450 LV ±4.6% 30% 21% 11% 10% 13% 5% 5% 5% - 0% 0% 0%
NY Times / Siena College 1/25/2020 584 LV ±4.8% 25% 17% 15% 18% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 9%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.