2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus

Date: February 3, 2020
Delegates: 49 (41 pledged, 8 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Pledged Delegate Estimate

Polls

Source Date Sample Sanders Biden Buttigieg Warren Klobuchar Yang Steyer Gabbard Bloomberg Delaney Bennet Patrick Other
Poll Averages* 22.8% 22.4% 16.8% 14.4% 9.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% - -
YouGov / CBS 1/26/2020 1,401 RV ±3.9% 26% 25% 22% 15% 7% 1% 1% 0% - 1% 0% 0% 2%
Suffolk University 1/26/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 19% 25% 18% 13% 6% 3% 2% 1% - - - - 13%
Emerson College 1/26/2020 450 LV ±4.6% 30% 21% 10% 11% 13% 5% 5% 5% - 1% 0% 0% -1%
NY Times / Siena College 1/25/2020 584 LV ±4.8% 25% 17% 18% 15% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 9%
David Binder Research 1/20/2020 500 LV ±4.4% 14% 24% 16% 18% 11% 3% 4% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 7%
Monmouth University 1/13/2020 405 LV ±4.9% 18% 24% 17% 15% 8% 3% 4% 2% - 0% 0% 0% 9%
Selzer & Co. 1/10/2020 701 LV ±3.7% 20% 15% 16% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 16%
YouGov / CBS 1/05/2020 953 RV ±3.8% 23% 23% 23% 16% 7% 2% 2% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 3%
Iowa State / Civiqs 12/19/2019 632 LV ±4.9% 21% 15% 24% 18% 4% 3% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% - 10%
Emerson College 12/11/2019 325 LV ±5.4% 22% 23% 18% 12% 10% 2% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 6%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.