2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus

Date:
February 3, 2020
Delegates: 49 (41 pledged, 8 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 41 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Buttigieg Warren Sanders Biden Klobuchar Steyer Yang Harris Gabbard Booker Bloomberg Castro Bennet Bullock Messam Sestak Williamson Delaney Other
Poll Averages* 20.4% 19.6% 15.4% 15.4% 5.2% 3.6% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11/16/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 25% 16% 15% 15% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% - 0% 0% 0% 5%
11/15/2019 715 LV 20% 21% 14% 13% 9% 6% 3% 3% - 1% - - - - - - - - 10%
11/12/2019 451 LV ±4.6% 22% 18% 13% 19% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 8%
 
11/12/2019 465 LV ±4.6% 16% 23% 18% 15% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 0% - 1% 0% 0% - - - 0% 15%
 
11/06/2019 698 LV ±4.5% 19% 20% 17% 15% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7%
 
11/01/2019 439 LV ±4.7% 18% 22% 19% 17% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 7%
10/24/2019 598 LV ±5% 20% 28% 18% 12% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% - 0% 1% 0% - - 0% 0% 6%
10/21/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 13% 17% 9% 18% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 29%
10/17/2019 317 LV ±5.5% 16% 23% 13% 23% 1% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% - 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 0% 4%
 
10/14/2019 548 LV ±3.6% 17% 25% 5% 22% - - 1% 3% - 2% - - - - - - - - 25%
10/13/2019 729 RV ±4.6% 14% 22% 21% 22% 2% 3% 0% 5% 1% 2% - 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 6%
 
9/21/2019 602 LV ±4% 9% 22% 11% 20% 3% 2% 2% 6% 2% 3% - 1% 0% 1% - 0% 0% 1% 17%
 
9/18/2019 572 LV ±5.2% 13% 24% 16% 16% 3% 2% 3% 5% 4% 2% - 0% 0% 0% - - 1% 0% 11%
9/17/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 12% 23% 9% 25% 8% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% - 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 7%
 
9/08/2019 835 RV ±4.3% 7% 17% 26% 29% 2% 2% 1% 6% 1% 2% - 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5%
8/15/2019 621 LV ±3.9% 13% 28% 17% 17% 2% 2% 1% 8% 2% 3% - 1% 1% 2% 0% - 0% 0% 3%
 
8/08/2019 401 LV ±4.9% 8% 19% 9% 28% 3% 3% 2% 11% 1% 1% - 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 13%
 
7/21/2019 706 LV ±4.4% 7% 17% 19% 24% 4% 2% 0% 16% 0% 3% - 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 4%
 
7/11/2019 420 RV 25% 18% 16% 16% 1% - 1% 16% 1% 1% - 1% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 3%
 
7/02/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 6% 13% 9% 24% 2% - 1% 16% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 23%
 
7/02/2019 600 LV ±4% 10% 20% 12% 17% 4% - 1% 18% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 0% - 1% 1% 10%
 
6/25/2019 308 LV 17% 20% 18% 27% 2% - 1% 4% 1% 5% - 1% - 0% 0% - 0% 2% 2%
 
6/16/2019 587 RV ±4.8% 11% 12% 22% 30% 4% - 0% 5% 1% 3% - 0% 0% 1% 0% - 0% 2% 9%
 
6/08/2019 600 LV ±4% 14% 15% 16% 24% 2% - 1% 7% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 0% 0% - 0% 1% 16%
 
5/20/2019 615 LV ±3.9% 14% 12% 24% 24% 2% - 2% 10% 1% 1% - 0% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 9%
 
4/22/2019 590 RV ±4% 14% 6% 19% 19% 4% - 1% 6% 1% 4% - 0% - - - - - 2% 24%
 
4/11/2019 351 LV ±5.2% 9% 7% 16% 27% 4% - 1% 7% 0% 3% - 2% 0% 0% - - 0% 1% 23%
 
3/28/2019 500 LV ±4.4% 6% 8% 17% 25% 6% - 1% 9% 1% 7% - 1% 0% 0% - - 0% 3% 16%
 
3/24/2019 249 RV ±6.2% 11% 9% 24% 25% 2% - 0% 10% 1% 6% - 1% - - - - - - 11%
 
3/20/2019 678 LV - 8% 15% 29% 6% - - 5% - 4% - - - - - - - - 33%
 
3/09/2019 401 LV ±4.9% 1% 9% 25% 27% 3% - 0% 7% 0% 3% - 1% 1% 1% - - 0% 1% 21%
 
2/02/2019 260 LV ±6% 0% 11% 15% 29% 3% - 0% 18% 0% 4% - 2% - - - - - 1% 17%
 
12/15/2018 455 LV ±4.6% - 8% 19% 26% 3% - 0% 5% - 4% - 1% - 0% - - - 1% 33%
Show: 10 All

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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