Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Pledged Delegate Estimate
This is an estimate based on statewide polling
Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
Note: There’s a tie in the polling; something extremely unlikely in the actual election. To keep this estimate simple, we’ve split the delegates between those in the tie; any odd delegates that result are unassigned.
Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster