2020 Florida Democratic Primary

Date:
March 17, 2020
Delegates: 248 (219 pledged, 29 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 219 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Buttigieg Harris Booker O'Rourke Yang Klobuchar Castro Messam de Blasio Inslee Bullock Moulton Williamson Bennet Gillibrand Delaney Hickenlooper Gabbard Ryan Gravel Other
Poll Averages* 40.3% 14.0% 13.0% 10.3% 6.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
 
6/23/2019 2022 RV ±2.2% 47% 8% 12% 8% 6% 3% 2% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 14%
 
6/19/2019 1130 RV ±2.9% 33% 20% 15% 15% 7% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% - - - 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -2%
 
6/18/2019 417 RV ±5.8% 41% 14% 12% 8% 6% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
 
5/22/2019 403 LV ±4.9% 39% 12% 12% 9% 7% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2% 0% - 0% - 1% 0% - 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 8%
5/08/2019 800 LV ±3.4% 39% 16% 5% 3% 5% 1% 1% - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 29%
 
3/21/2019 800 LV ±4.8% 37% 13% 6% - 4% 2% 5% - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 32%
 
3/06/2019 300 LV ±4% 26% 11% 4% - 9% 1% 1% - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 47%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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