2020 Florida Democratic Primary

Date: March 17, 2020
Delegates: 248 (219 pledged, 29 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is August 18.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
162


Sanders
57

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 65.5% 23.0% 1.8% -
Swayable 3/17/2020 4,035 LV ±2% 64% 25% 2% 9%
Univision 3/16/2020 531 RV ±4.3% 63% 25% 2% 10%
Gravis Marketing 3/13/2020 956 LV ±4.3% 66% 25% - 9%
Univ. of North Florida 3/12/2020 1,339 LV ±2.5% 66% 22% 1% 11%
St. Pete Polls 3/12/2020 2,480 LV ±2% 69% 14% - 17%
Emerson College 3/12/2020 434 LV ±4.7% 65% 27% 2% 6%
Florida Atlantic Univ. 3/10/2020 399 LV ±4.9% 61% 25% 3% 11%
St. Pete Polls 3/05/2020 1,882 LV ±2.3% 61% 12% - 27%
St. Pete Polls 2/26/2020 2,788 LV ±1.9% 34% 13% - 53%
Florida Southern College 2/24/2020 313 LV ±5.4% 22% 18% 0% 60%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.