2020 Florida Democratic Primary

Date: March 17, 2020
Delegates: 248 (219 pledged, 29 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Pledged Delegate Estimate

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Klobuchar Yang Buttigieg Steyer Bennet Gabbard Delaney Patrick Other
Poll Averages* 42.0% 16.0% 10.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% - -
Florida Atlantic Univ. 1/15/2020 494 LV ±4.4% 42% 16% 10% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 6%
NY Times / Siena College 11/08/2019 236 LV 27% 13% 19% - 2% 0% 5% - - 1% - - 33%
Florida Atlantic Univ. 9/18/2019 407 LV ±4.9% 34% 14% 24% - 0% 2% 5% 0% 1% 1% 0% - 19%
St. Pete Polls 6/23/2019 2,022 RV ±2.2% 47% 8% 12% - - - 8% - - - - - 25%
Change Research 6/19/2019 1,130 RV ±2.9% 33% 20% 15% - 2% 3% 15% - 0% 0% 0% - 12%
Quinnipiac 6/18/2019 417 RV ±5.8% 41% 14% 12% - 1% 0% 8% - 0% 0% 0% - 24%
Florida Atlantic Univ. 5/22/2019 403 LV ±4.9% 39% 12% 12% - 1% 1% 9% - - 0% 0% - 26%
Tel Opinion Research 5/08/2019 800 LV ±3.4% 39% 16% 5% - 1% - 3% - - - - - 36%
Tel Opinion Research 3/21/2019 800 LV ±4.8% 37% 13% 6% - 1% - - - - - - - 43%
Bendixen & Amandi 3/06/2019 300 LV ±4% 26% 11% 4% - 1% - - - - - - - 58%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.