2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination

1,991 Pledged Delegates Needed to Win on 1st Ballot

Date and delegate information is preliminary and subject to change. The Democratic Party will nominate a 2020 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 13, 2020. Primary and caucus events will go through mid June.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
1,217


Sanders
914


Warren
81


Bloomberg
55


Buttigieg
26


Klobuchar
7


Gabbard
2

There are 3,979 pledged delegates in 2020; it will take a minimum of 1,991 to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. 771 automatic delegates (superdelegates) will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This is a significant change from 2016.

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Democratic convention. You can view pledged or total delegates. Click a state to see available polling. See how the number needed is calculated.

MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
DA
February Super Tues March 4-31 April May June
155 1,357 799 300 293 1,075

Democratic contests allocate delegates in some manner proportional to popular vote, subject to a 15% minimum to receive any delegates. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Select a state on the map for more detail. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 51.8% 36.8% 3.0% -
ABC News / Wash. Post 3/29/2020 388 RV ±5.5% 55% 39% - 6%
The Economist/YouGov 3/25/2020 545 LV 47% 34% - 19%
Morning Consult 3/24/2020 16,180 LV ±1% 60% 36% - 4%
Emerson College 3/20/2020 519 LV ±4.3% 54% 42% - 4%
The Economist/YouGov 3/18/2020 551 LV 57% 36% - 7%
Morning Consult 3/17/2020 8,869 RV ±1% 58% 37% 3% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos 3/17/2020 581 RV ±5.2% 43% 33% 3% 21%
NBC News / WSJ 3/15/2020 438 LV ±4.7% 61% 32% 4% 3%
Morning Consult 3/12/2020 2,072 RV ±2% 59% 35% 3% 3%
The Economist/YouGov 3/11/2020 573 LV 53% 38% 2% 7%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.