2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination

1,991 Pledged Delegates Needed to Win on 1st Ballot

Date and delegate information is preliminary and subject to change.The Democratic Party will nominate a 2020 presidential candidate at its rescheduled convention in Milwaukee the week of August 17, 2020. Primary and caucus events, originally scheduled to end by June 9, will continue into August.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
2,392


Sanders
1,058


Warren
63


Bloomberg
49


Buttigieg
21


Klobuchar
7


Gabbard
2

There are 3,979 pledged delegates in 2020; it will take a minimum of 1,991 to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. 771 automatic delegates (superdelegates) will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This is a significant change from 2016.

The map below shows the number of delegates each state will send to the Democratic convention. You can view pledged or total delegates. Click a state to see available polling. See how the number needed is calculated.

MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
DA
February Super Tues March 4-31 April May After May
155 1,357 799 249 153 1,266

Democratic contests allocate delegates in some manner proportional to popular vote, subject to a 15% minimum to receive any delegates. Information is estimated and subject to change. Some states have an extended process for choosing delegates; the time used on the map is generally the start of the process. Select a state on the map for more detail. Special thanks to Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Gabbard Warren Bloomberg Buttigieg Other
Poll Averages* 57.2% 36.6% - - - - -
The Economist/YouGov 4/08/2020 586 RV 62% 32% - - - - 6%
Morning Consult 4/07/2020 13,346 LV ±1% 61% 36% - - - - 3%
The Economist/YouGov 4/01/2020 573 LV 55% 40% - - - - 5%
Morning Consult 3/31/2020 15,101 LV ±1% 61% 36% - - - - 3%
ABC News / Wash. Post 3/29/2020 388 RV ±5.5% 55% 39% - - - - 6%
Yahoo/YouGov 3/27/2020 599 RV 54% 34% - - - - 12%
The Economist/YouGov 3/25/2020 545 LV 47% 34% - - - - 19%
Morning Consult 3/24/2020 16,180 LV ±1% 60% 36% - - - - 4%
Emerson College 3/20/2020 519 LV ±4.3% 54% 42% - - - - 4%
The Economist/YouGov 3/18/2020 551 LV 57% 36% - - - - 7%
Show:

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.