2020 Nevada Democratic Caucus

Date:
February 22, 2020
Delegates: 48 (36 pledged, 12 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Delegate Calculator
  • This is a rough estimate based on statewide polling
  • 36 pledged delegates allocated based on polling average
  • Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
  • An interactive delegate calculator to follow later in 2019
Polls
  Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Warren Harris Buttigieg Steyer Booker Castro de Blasio O'Rourke Yang Gabbard Sestak Ryan Delaney Bennet Klobuchar Williamson Bullock Messam Other
Poll Averages* 26.0% 19.5% 16.5% 7.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
 
9/08/2019 624 RV ±4.9% 27% 29% 18% 6% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
 
8/20/2019 382 RV ±5% 25% 10% 15% 9% 5% 6% 3% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2% - 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% - 12%
8/09/2019 439 LV ±4.7% 26% 22% 23% 10% 7% 3% 0% 1% - 2% 1% 1% - - - 0% 1% 0% 0% - 3%
 
6/12/2019 370 LV ±5.1% 36% 13% 19% 6% 7% - 2% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% - 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 9%
 
5/14/2019 389 LV ±4.4% 29% 24% 12% 11% 13% - 2% 1% - 4% 1% 1% - 0% - - 1% - - - 1%
 
3/31/2019 310 RV ±5.5% 26% 23% 10% 9% 5% - 2% 1% - 10% 3% 2% - - - - 2% - - - 7%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.



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