2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 36 (31 pledged, 5 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
19


Sanders
9


Bloomberg
3

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Bloomberg Sanders Buttigieg Warren Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 27.7% 22.3% 18.7% 16.0% 11.3% 0.5% -
Swayable 3/03/2020 714 LV ±6% 28% 25% 17% - 10% 0% 20%
Data for Progress 3/03/2020 300 LV ±5.6% 36% 22% 23% - 15% 1% 3%
Hendrix College 2/12/2020 496 LV ±4.3% 19% 20% 16% 16% 9% - 20%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.