2020 Virginia Democratic Primary

Date: March 3, 2020
Delegates: 124 (99 pledged, 25 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District. The state primary for offices other than president is June 9.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
66


Sanders
31


Warren
2

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Bloomberg Warren Buttigieg Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 28.8% 20.8% 18.3% 10.3% 9.5% 0.7% -
Data for Progress 3/03/2020 327 LV ±5.4% 39% 24% 18% 17% - 1% 1%
Swayable 3/03/2020 1,435 LV ±4% 36% 20% 20% 11% - 0% 13%
Christopher Newport U. 2/28/2020 561 LV ±4.3% 22% 17% 13% 8% 8% - 32%
Data for Progress 2/26/2020 499 LV ±4.5% 19% 28% 17% 17% 12% 1% 6%
Monmouth University 2/18/2020 400 LV ±4.9% 18% 22% 22% 5% 11% 1% 21%
Hampton University 6/19/2019 1,126 RV ±4.3% 36% 17% - 13% 11% 0% 23%
Change Research 5/03/2019 551 LV ±4.2% 41% 20% - 10% 12% 0% 17%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.