Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District
Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.
Pledged Delegate Estimate
This is an estimate based on statewide polling
Assumes each district vote is equal to statewide vote
Note: There’s a tie in the polling; something extremely unlikely in the actual election. To keep this estimate simple, we’ve split the delegates between those in the tie; any odd delegates that result are unassigned.
Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.