2020 Illinois Democratic Primary

Date: March 17, 2020
Delegates: 184 (155 pledged, 29 super)
Allocation: Proportional
Threshold: 15% (minimum vote to win delegates)
Notes: Some delegates allocated statewide and some by Congressional District

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
94


Sanders
60

1 delegate has not yet been allocated.

Interactive Delegate Calculator: Track total delegates earned and projections; create your own forecast.

Polls

Source Date Sample Biden Sanders Gabbard Other
Poll Averages* 58.6% 30.2% 2.0% -
Swayable 3/17/2020 1,861 LV ±3% 63% 28% 3% 6%
Victory Research 3/16/2020 1,200 LV ±2.8% 55% 36% 1% 8%
Gravis Marketing 3/13/2020 549 LV ±4.2% 63% 25% - 12%
Emerson College 3/12/2020 567 LV ±4.1% 57% 36% 2% 5%
Ogden & Fry 3/08/2020 457 LV ±4.6% 55% 26% 2% 17%
Victory Research 2/21/2020 1,200 LV ±2.8% 20% 26% 1% 53%
Simon Poll 2/20/2020 475 LV ±4.5% 14% 22% - 64%
Victory Research 12/02/2019 1,200 LV ±2.8% 23% 15% 1% 61%

* The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.