Election News

CNN Poll: Biden Gains; Castro Qualifies for Next Debate

Joe Biden is well out in front in a new national CNN poll. His 29% equals the combined total of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris are tied for fourth at 5%. These results are in line with the overall national polling averages for recent polls.

Comparing these results to the prior CNN poll - taken just after the first debate - shows that the bump Harris received from her performance has evaporated, with Biden regaining much of the share he lost. The support for Warren and Sanders is essentially unchanged.

Rep. Lujan, Number 4 House Democrat, Comes Out in Support of Impeachment Inquiry

New Mexico Rep. Ben Ray Luján announced his support for an impeachment inquiry against President Trump. Luján, who is the Assistant Speaker and a close ally of Speaker Nancy Pelosi, becomes the highest-ranking Democrat to back impeachment thus far. He becomes the 125th member to support an inquiry. Click the map for a full list.

John Hickenlooper Drops Presidential Bid

John Hickenlooper announced Thursday that he is ending his campaign for the 2020 Democratic nomination. The former Colorado governor had struggled to gain traction in a very crowded field.

Democrats Not Currently Supporting an Impeachment Inquiry Against President Trump

Rep. Debra Haaland (NM-1) today became the 121st Democrat in the House to support an impeachment inquiry against Donald Trump.  114 members do not currently support that action.  Here's a map tracking those with the 2020 consensus rating for each district. Click or tap the map for more info, including the full list.

As might be expected, a significantly larger number of Democrats from swing districts are on this list, including 30 of the 31 districts that voted for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016. 43 of the 114 Democrats are from seats seen as at least somewhat competitive next year.   Also on the list are most of the top leadership in the House, including Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Democratic Delegate Map Updated with Bonus Delegates

The Democratic Party awards bonus delegates as a reward to locations that wait until later in the calendar to hold their primary or caucus. With the 2020 election calendar mostly set, a pretty good estimate of those bonus delegates can be calculated. 

The following remains subject to change should any calendar dates change. 

24 locations (21 states, DC, Guam and Virgin Islands) will receive a total of 211 bonus delegates for holding their 2020 nominating contest after March 31.  These are pledged delegates, bringing that total to 3,979. As such, the 'magic number' for winning on the first ballot is increased from 1,885 to 1,990. The total number of delegates, including 766 automatic delegates^, is now 4,745.

Rep. Kenny Marchant to Retire; 4th Open Texas GOP Seat in Recent Weeks

Rep. Kenny Marchant said Monday that he would not seek reelection in 2020. He becomes the 4th member of the GOP Texas delegation to retire since July 25th. Overall, 11 Republicans and 3 Democrats have announced plans to retire or run for another office in 2020.

Marchant's 24th congressional district is situated between Dallas and Fort Worth, and has become increasingly competitive in recent years. In 2014, Marchant won by 33% over his Democratic opponent; that dropped to 17% in 2016 and just 3% in 2018. At the presidential level, Mitt Romney won here by 22% in 2012, while Donald Trump's margin was just 6%.

Democrats' 2020 Primary/Caucus Calendar Nears Completion

Guam Democrats have chosen May 2, 2020 for their territorial caucuses. With this selection, each state and territory now has a Democratic primary or caucus date on the 2020 election calendar, although a few of the dates remain tentative. Delegate information on the map below is also preliminary. Locations holding their primaries on April 1 or later will receive bonus pledged delegates

Update: On August 2, in one of his last acts before leaving office, the governor of Puerto Rico signed a law moving the 2020 primary to March 29. The content below has been changed to reflect this.

Rep. Will Hurd of Texas, Only Black GOP House Member, to Retire

Rep. Will Hurd, the only black GOP member in the U.S. House, announced he won't seek a 4th term in 2020.  He is also the only Republican representative of a district bordering Mexico. He indicated he would pursue opportunities "to solve problems at the nexus between technology and national security."  Hurd becomes the 5th GOP retirement in the last eight days.  

Related: Map of 2020 House Retirements

Texas GOP Rep. Mike Conaway to Retire

Another Republican House member is calling it quits in 2020.  Michael Conaway, the eight-term representative of Texas's 11th district is not seeking another term.

Conaway is the 4th GOP retirement in the past week. His west-central Texas district is very conservative - Donald Trump won by nearly 60 points over Hillary Clinton in 2016 and the district is likely to remain in Republican hands in the 2020 election.

12 current House members have decided to retire or run for another office in 2020. Click or tap the map below for details.

111 House Members Now Support Impeachment Inquiry

111 members of the House of Representatives now support an impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump. The list has grown by at least 15 since the testimony of special counsel Robert Mueller last Wednesday.

The latest to call for an inquiry are Reps. Grace Meng (NY-6) and Jennifer Wexton (VA-10)The list includes 110 Democrats and independent Justin Amash (MI-3), who left the GOP earlier this summer. 

Click or tap the map below for the current list of those supporting impeachment.