Republican: Ted Cruz won the Iowa caucuses, with about 28% of the vote. In a close three-way race, Donald Trump and Marco Rubio were next at 24% and 23%, respectively. Cruz and Rubio outperformed the polling average by several points, while Trump underperformed slightly.
Delegates are allocated proportionately in Iowa so delegates were pretty evenly split among the top three finishers. Cruz received 8, with Trump and Rubio getting 7 each. A few delegates remain unallocated at this point.
Ted Cruz has won the Iowa Republican caucus, edging Donald Trump and Marco Rubio. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee has suspended his campaign.
After a poor showing in Iowa, former Maryland governor Martin O'Malley is expected to suspend his campaign.
We've added delegate state maps to our Republican and Democratic nomination pages. These maps let you see how many delegates each state will send to the respective party's national convention. You can choose to view the map based on time, contest type or allocation method, and from there look at any slice of those three elements.
Each state can be clicked or tapped to get a little more detail on the state's contest as well as a polling average (if enough recent polls are available) and individual poll detail.
This Republican map, for example, is based on allocation methods, and shows how the 689 delegates up on Super Tuesday will be allocated.
The polling is (should be) done, and the vote takes place tonight at the Iowa caucuses.
Republicans: Donald Trump has led in all recent polls, averaging a four point margin over Ted Cruz in the last five polls. Rubio has been gaining some momentum in recent surveys, although the 'gold star' Iowa poll out over the weekend had him well back of Cruz and Trump. It wouldn't be terribly surprising if there was a very close 3-way battle tonight; perhaps with Trump, Cruz and Rubio finishing within 5% of each other.
Third term Republican Reid Ribble (WI-08) announced his retirement over the weekend, turning a safe Republican district into a toss-up race for 2016.
37 House members have announced they are not running this year, 22 Republicans and 15 Democrats. Of those, eight Republican seats are highly competitive (toss-up or lean per Sabato's Crystal Ball). Four are competitive on the Democratic side.
Seven members of each party are leaving to run for the U.S. Senate; a single Democrat is running for governor with another running for local office. The remaining six Democrats and 15 Republicans are retiring (or have not announced plans to run for another public office).
The final pre-caucus Iowa poll released tonight showed Donald Trump with a 28% to 23% lead over Ted Cruz, with Marco Rubio at 15%. This is a 6 point improvement for Trump over the prior poll in mid-January, turning a 3 point deficit into the 5 point lead.
The New York Times has endorsed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination while giving the nod to Ohio Governor John Kasich for the Republican nomination.
The Times says that, in Clinton, the Democrats "have the chance to nominate one of the most broadly and deeply qualified presidential candidates in modern history." While complimentary of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, the Times says that he "does not have the breadth of experience or policy ideas that Mrs. Clinton offers."
As might be expected, the paper was not as glowing about the Republican field, finding businessman Donald Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz "equally objectionable for different reasons." In a lesser-of-evils pick, the times gives the nod to Kasich: "...though a distinct underdog, is the only plausible choice for Republicans tired of the extremism and inexperience on display in this race."
Donald Trump has leads ranging from 7 to 19 points over Ted Cruz in three early voting states, a new set of polls from NBC News / Wall Street Journal / Marist shows. On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton have huge leads in New Hampshire and South Carolina, respectively, while Iowa is essentially tied four days in advance of the February 1 caucuses.
Donald Trump and Ted Cruz remain locked in a tight battle six days before the February 1 Iowa caucuses, a new Quinnipiac University poll found. These results are virtually unchanged from Quinnipiac's prior poll released two weeks ago.
Overall, Trump holds about a five point leader in the 270toWin Iowa average, with much higher volatility across pollsters, ranging from a two point lead for Cruz to an eleven point lead for Trump. Rubio has been consistent in the low teens, and looks likely to finish third.
