Forecasts in the 2022 Consensus House Map

The Consensus Map aggregates the ratings from the following to come up with a composite forecast for the 2022 House of Representatives elections.

To arrive at the consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.

Only states rated safe by at least four of the forecasts are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.