2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used.
The map automatically updates three times daily.
States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is up to 8%, Likely up to 12%. Safe is >12%.
The map is interactive. Use it to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.
October 1: Ranges (see above) for each category narrowed. Polling should be more predictive as the election draws near. Prior ranges were <5% for Toss-up, <10% Leaning, <15% Likely.
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Headlines
Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs
San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive
Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina
On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly
Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election
This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber
Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville Announces Gubernatorial Campaign
He'll be the favorite to succeed termed-out Gov. Kay Ivey in this deep red state
Election Recap May 20, 2025: Pittsburgh Mayor Ousted in Primary
Mayor Ed Gainey was defeated by a more centrist Democrat.
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