2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Information on this page, including primary dates and delegate counts is preliminary and likely to change in a number of locations. The Democratic Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Chicago the week of August 19, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the first primaries. There are an estimated 3,788 pledged delegates; it will take a minimum of 1,895 of these to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. 774 automatic delegates will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This approach was first used in 2020.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Democratic convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
DA
Early Super Tuesday March 5 Other March April May June
284 1,666 1,121 784 382 284

Democratic contests allocate pledged delegates proportionately to candidates receiving at least 15% of the popular vote. In most locations, some delegates are awarded on the statewide vote, while others are jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

The 15% threshold is calculated separately at each division. That means, for example, a candidate getting less than 15% statewide but more than 15% in a congressional district may still win one or more delegates. Special thanks to The Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Biden Williamson Phillips Kennedy Other
Poll Averages† 63.6% 8.0% 3.5% - -
Economist / YouGov 12/06/2023 1,290 RV ±3.1% 42% - - - 58%
Echelon Insights 11/22/2023 484 LV 67% 6% 5% - 22%
Emerson College 11/22/2023 599 RV 66% 5% 2% - 27%
McLaughlin & Associates 11/21/2023 440 LV 66% 9% 3% - 22%
NBC News 11/19/2023 311 RV ±5.6% 77% 12% 4% - 7%
Fox News 11/15/2023 386 RV ±5% 72% 13% 3% - 12%
Yahoo / YouGov 11/15/2023 461 RV 64% 4% 4% - 28%
Quinnipiac 11/15/2023 666 RV ±3.8% 74% 12% 4% - 10%
CNN 11/07/2023 562 RV 71% 8% 11% - 10%
Echelon Insights 11/01/2023 472 LV 59% 7% 1% - 33%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.