2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination

1,968 Pledged Delegates Needed to Win on 1st Ballot

The Democratic Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Chicago the week of August 19, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Biden
206


Uncommitted
2


Phillips
0


Williamson
0

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the South Carolina Primary on February 3, 2024. There are 3,934 pledged delegates; it will take a majority of these (1,968 or more) to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. An additional 738 automatic delegates (more commonly called superdelegates) will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This approach was first used in 2020.

Visit the Democratic Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Democratic convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
DA
Early Super Tuesday March 5 Other March April May June
218 1,420 1,004 697 365 230

Democratic contests allocate pledged delegates proportionately to candidates receiving at least 15% of the popular vote. In most locations, some delegates are awarded on the statewide vote, while others are jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

The 15% threshold is calculated separately at each division. That means, for example, a candidate getting less than 15% statewide but more than 15% in a congressional district may still win one or more delegates. Special thanks to The Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Biden Phillips Williamson Other
Poll Averages† 75.0% 9.2% 6.0% -
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 224 RV 77% 12% - 11%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 356 RV ±6.8% 66% 2% 6% 26%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 624 RV ±3.9% 80% 15% - 5%
Echelon Insights 2/16/2024 484 LV 78% 8% - 14%
Emerson College 2/16/2024 489 RV 74% 9% - 17%
McLaughlin & Associates 2/01/2024 425 LV 67% 2% 9% 22%
Quinnipiac 1/31/2024 693 RV ±3.7% 78% 6% 11% 5%
Yahoo / YouGov 1/30/2024 475 RV 74% 3% 4% 19%
Emerson College 1/30/2024 472 RV 72% 4% 4% 20%
Redfield & Wilton 1/19/2024 614 LV 77% 3% 2% 18%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.