2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Information on this page, including primary dates and delegate counts is preliminary and likely to change in a number of locations. The Democratic Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Chicago the week of August 19, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the first primaries. There are an estimated 3,788 pledged delegates; it will take a minimum of 1,895 of these to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot. 774 automatic delegates will not participate on the first ballot (unless the nomination is uncontested). This approach was first used in 2020.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Democratic convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

	AS
	GU
	MP

	PR
	VI
	DA

Early	Super Tuesday March 5	Other March	April	May	June
284	1,666	1,121	784	382	284

Democratic contests allocate pledged delegates proportionately to candidates receiving at least 15% of the popular vote. In most locations, some delegates are awarded on the statewide vote, while others are jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

The 15% threshold is calculated separately at each division. That means, for example, a candidate getting less than 15% statewide but more than 15% in a congressional district may still win one or more delegates. Special thanks to The Greenpapers and FHQ for making it a lot easier to aggregate the data. Visit those sites for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Democratic nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source		Date	Sample	Biden	Williamson	Phillips	Kennedy	Other
Poll Averages†				63.6%	8.0%	3.5%	-	-
	Economist / YouGov	12/06/2023	1,290 RV ±3.1%	42%	-	-	-	58%
	Echelon Insights	11/22/2023	484 LV	67%	6%	5%	-	22%
	Emerson College	11/22/2023	599 RV	66%	5%	2%	-	27%
	McLaughlin & Associates	11/21/2023	440 LV	66%	9%	3%	-	22%
	NBC News	11/19/2023	311 RV ±5.6%	77%	12%	4%	-	7%
	Fox News	11/15/2023	386 RV ±5%	72%	13%	3%	-	12%
	Yahoo / YouGov	11/15/2023	461 RV	64%	4%	4%	-	28%
	Quinnipiac	11/15/2023	666 RV ±3.8%	74%	12%	4%	-	10%
	CNN	11/07/2023	562 RV	71%	8%	11%	-	10%
	Echelon Insights	11/01/2023	472 LV	59%	7%	1%	-	33%
	Quinnipiac	11/01/2023	695 RV ±3.7%	77%	8%	6%	-	9%
	Suffolk University	10/23/2023	289 RV	73%	11%	-	-	16%
	Emerson College	10/20/2023	643 RV	70%	10%	-	-	20%
	Yahoo / YouGov	10/19/2023	509 RV	68%	6%	-	-	26%
	Marquette Law School	10/04/2023	361 RV ±6.3%	53%	3%	-	12%	32%
	Echelon Insights	10/02/2023	499 LV	58%	4%	-	18%	20%
	Emerson College	9/20/2023	457 RV	62%	4%	-	14%	20%
	Yahoo / YouGov	9/19/2023	486 RV	68%	4%	-	7%	21%
	Fox News	9/14/2023	404 RV ±5%	71%	6%	-	17%	6%
	Quinnipiac	9/13/2023	724 RV ±3.6%	73%	8%	-	11%	8%
	TIPP Insights	9/11/2023	606 RV ±4%	68%	5%	-	10%	17%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/08/2023	541 LV	71%	3%	-	9%	17%
	Echelon Insights	9/06/2023	521 LV	57%	6%	-	13%	24%
	Emerson College	8/28/2023	374 LV	61%	4%	-	12%	23%
	Yahoo / YouGov	8/22/2023	495 RV	69%	5%	-	7%	19%
	Emerson College	8/19/2023	392 LV	69%	4%	-	9%	18%
	Fox News	8/16/2023	399 RV ±5%	64%	9%	-	17%	10%
	Quinnipiac	8/16/2023	666 RV ±3.8%	72%	9%	-	13%	6%
	TIPP Insights	8/14/2023	615 RV ±4%	63%	4%	-	15%	18%
	Echelon Insights	8/01/2023	500 LV	62%	5%	-	16%	17%
	NY Times / Siena College	8/01/2023	478 RV	64%	10%	-	13%	13%
	Marquette Law School	7/27/2023	350 RV ±6.7%	54%	6%	-	14%	26%
	Yahoo / YouGov	7/19/2023	494 RV	69%	5%	-	7%	19%
	Quinnipiac	7/19/2023	763 RV ±3.6%	71%	7%	-	14%	8%
	TIPP Insights	7/17/2023	616 RV ±4%	60%	5%	-	16%	19%
	Echelon Insights	7/05/2023	511 LV	65%	4%	-	14%	17%
	Fox News	6/28/2023	394 RV ±5%	64%	10%	-	17%	9%
	Emerson College	6/22/2023	441 LV	73%	3%	-	15%	9%
	Yahoo / YouGov	6/22/2023	485 RV	67%	4%	-	8%	21%
	Quinnipiac	6/14/2023	722 RV ±3.7%	70%	8%	-	17%	5%
	TIPP Insights	6/12/2023	638 RV ±4%	68%	4%	-	12%	16%
	Suffolk University	6/12/2023	293 LV	58%	6%	-	15%	21%
	Yahoo / YouGov	6/01/2023	467 RV	62%	5%	-	12%	21%
	Echelon Insights	5/26/2023	538 LV	60%	5%	-	14%	21%
	CNN	5/25/2023	432 RV	60%	8%	-	20%	12%
	Marquette Law School	5/24/2023	344 RV ±6.3%	53%	7%	-	12%	28%
	Fox News	5/24/2023	390 RV ±5%	62%	8%	-	16%	14%
	Yahoo / YouGov	5/10/2023	480 RV	57%	6%	-	10%	27%
	Echelon Insights	4/28/2023	513 LV	66%	2%	-	10%	22%
	Emerson College	4/27/2023	448 LV	70%	8%	-	21%	1%
	Fox News	4/24/2023	392 RV ±5%	62%	9%	-	19%	10%
	Morning Consult	4/11/2023	827 LV ±3%	70%	4%	-	10%	16%
	Echelon Insights	3/31/2023	530 LV	73%	10%	-	-	17%
	Morning Consult	3/06/2023	829 RV ±3%	77%	4%	-	-	19%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Estimated Delegates Earned

National Polls

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2024 Presidential Election

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