2024 House Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.
2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast
A consensus outlook for the 2024 House Elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your won 2024 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.
February 14: NY-03 moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
Crystal Ball 2024 House Ratings
The current 2024 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.
You can also view these ratings in a table.
February 8: IA-02 moves from Likely to Safe R; IL-14 Likely to Safe D; ME-02 Leans D to Toss-up; NE-02 Leans R to Toss-up; OH-01 and WA-08 Leans to Likely D; TX-34 Likely to Leans D. Read the analysis >
February 14: NY-03 moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
Cook Political Report 2024 House Ratings
The current 2024 House ratings from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.
February 14: NY-03 moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
Elections Daily 2024 House Ratings
The current 2024 House ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.
Note that North Carolina has no ratings as additional redistricting - not yet completed - is likely to change boundaries for the 2024 election.
February 10: New Louisiana shapes added after midcycle redistricting. Also updating for these February 5 changes: CA-27 moves from Leans R to Toss-up; LA-06 Safe R to Safe D (redistricting); MI-07 Leans D to Toss-up; MN-02, PA-17 Leans to Likely D; PA-10 Safe to Likely R. Read the analysis >
Separately, New York ratings removed pending expected redistricting.
Inside Elections 2024 House Ratings
The current 2024 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. You can also view these ratings as a table.
Note that no ratings have been set yet for North Carolina where an additional redistricting is expected to change boundaries for the 2024 election.
February 10: New Louisiana shapes added after midcycle redistricting.
Split Ticket 2024 House Ratings
The current 2024 House ratings from Split Ticket, a nonpartisan political content and mapping site. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.
You can also view these ratings in a table.
February 10: New Louisiana shapes added after midcycle redistricting.
Ratings themselves are from October. We have updated GA-06, GA-07, and LA-06 to reflect consensus redistricting ratings.
