2024 House Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.

2024 House Election: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2024 House Elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your won 2024 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

 

 

Crystal Ball 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. 

You can also view these ratings in a table.

February 28: After approved midcycle redistricting, NY-03 moves from Leans to Likely Democratic. NY-04 and NY-22 Toss-up to Leans Democratic. 

Note that new district shapes are not yet on the map.

Cook Political Report 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. 

February 29: After approved midcycle redistricting, NY-03 moves from Leans to Likely Democratic; NY-22 Toss-up to Leans Democratic.

Note that new district shapes are not yet on the map.

Elections Daily 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage.

Note that North Carolina has no ratings as additional redistricting - not yet completed - is likely to change boundaries for the 2024 election.

February 29: New York ratings added after midcycle redistricting finalized. Note that new shapes are not yet on the map. Read the analysis >

 

Inside Elections 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast.  You can also view these ratings as a table.

Note that no ratings have been set yet for North Carolina where an additional redistricting is expected to change boundaries for the 2024 election.

February 10: New Louisiana shapes added after midcycle redistricting. 

Split Ticket 2024 House Ratings

The current 2024 House ratings from Split Ticket, a nonpartisan political content and mapping site. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 House forecast. 

You can also view these ratings in a table.

February 10: New Louisiana shapes added after midcycle redistricting. 

Ratings themselves are from October. We have updated GA-06, GA-07, and LA-06 to reflect consensus redistricting ratings.