2023-24 Governor Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2023-24 Governor forecast.
2024 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by a large majority of them are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
August 28: North Carolina moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Vermont Likely to Safe Republican.
Crystal Ball 2024 Gubernatorial Map
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
August 28: North Carolina moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis >
Cook Political Report 2024 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
August 27: North Carolina moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Washington moves from Leans to Likely Democratic. Read the analysis ($)>>
Inside Elections 2024 Governor Ratings
The latest 2024 gubernatorial ratings from Inside Elections. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 11 governors races to be held in 2024.
August 29: North Carolina moves from Toss-up to Tilts Democratic.
Fox News 2024 Governor Power Rankings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map displays the current 2024 Governor Power Rankings from Fox News.
Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 gubernatorial forecast.
August 14: Initial ratings
Elections Daily 2024 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Elections Daily. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
November 13: 2023 elections removed from the interactive map.
Split Ticket 2024 Governor Ratings
The current 2024 gubernatorial ratings from Split Ticket. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
August 27: Initial ratings (replaces a preliminary forecast previously provided to us). Read the analysis >
U.S. News 2024 Gubernatorial Map
The current 2024 governor ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is the chief correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
June 3: Washington moves from Safe to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis >
