2023-24 Governor Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2023-24 Governor forecast.
2023-2024 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
July 19: New Hampshire moves from Likely Republican to toss-up after Gov. Chris Sununu passes on running for reelection. (Note that some forecasters have not yet updated their rating for the race, but this is where we expect it to settle.)
Crystal Ball 2023-24 Gubernatorial Map
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
July 13: New Hampshire moves from Likely Republican to toss-up after Gov. Chris Sununu passes on running for reelection.
Cook Political Report 2023-2024 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the current 2023-2024 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
July 21: Washington moves from Safe to Leans Democratic. Earlier this week, New Hampshire moved from Safe Republican to toss-up after Gov. Chris Sununu passed on running for reelection.
Inside Elections 2023-24 Governor Ratings
The latest 2023-24 gubernatorial ratings from Inside Elections. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 14 gubernatorial races to be held through 2024.
September 1: 2024 'Battleground' ratings are replaced by more granular ones. Toss-up: NC; Likely D: WA. For 2023 elections, Kentucky moves from Toss-up to Tilts D; Louisiana Leans to Likely R; Mississippi Likely to Leans R.
Split Ticket 2023-24 Governor Ratings
The current 2023-24 gubernatorial ratings from Split Ticket. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
July 29: Mississippi moves from Safe to Likely Republican. Read the Analysis >
U.S. News 2023-24 Gubernatorial Map
The current 2023-24 governor ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
September 22: Kentucky moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Louisiana from Likely to Safe Republican. Analysis >
Elections Daily 2023-24 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
July 12: Initial ratings
