2023-24 Governor Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2023-24 Governor forecast.
2023-2024 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map is a composite of ratings by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Split Ticket. Only seats rated safe by all three are shown in the darkest shade.
February 22: Consensus map launched
Crystal Ball 2023-24 Gubernatorial Map
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
January 19, 2023: Initial 2024 ratings. For 2023, Mississippi moves from Safe to Likely Republican. Read the analysis >
Cook Political Report 2023-2024 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the current 2023-2024 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
February 17: Mississippi moves from Safe to Likely Republican. Read the analysis ($) >
Inside Elections 2023-24 Governor Ratings
NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each 2024 race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. We show the 'Battleground' races as toss-up until the forecaster issues an actual rating later this year.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 14 gubernatorial races to be held through 2024.
Split Ticket 2023-24 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats holding office. Three states - Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi - will hold gubernatorial elections in 2023. Another 11 states follow in 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.
This map reflects the initial gubernatorial ratings provided to us by Split Ticket. Use it to create and share your own 2023-24 governor forecast.
