2023-24 Governor Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2023-24 Governor forecast.

2024 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

March 15: New Hampshire moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

Crystal Ball 2024 Gubernatorial Map

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

November 13: 2023 elections removed from the interactive map. 

Cook Political Report 2024 Governor Ratings

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

November 13: 2023 elections removed from the interactive map. 

Inside Elections 2024 Governor Ratings

The latest 2024 gubernatorial ratings from Inside Elections. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 11 governors races to be held in 2024.

November 13: 2023 elections removed from the interactive map. 

 

Split Ticket 2024 Governor Ratings

The current 2024 gubernatorial ratings from Split Ticket. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

March 15: New Hampshire moves from Likely Republican to Toss-up.

U.S. News 2024 Gubernatorial Map

The current 2024 governor ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

January 2: New Hampshire moves from Likely Republican to Toss-up. Read the analysis >

Elections Daily 2024 Governor Ratings

The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office as of January, 2024. The table below the map lists the current governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year.

This map reflects the current 2024 governor race ratings from Elections Daily. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.

November 13: 2023 elections removed from the interactive map.