2022 House Simulation
Who will control the House?
Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2022 House election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or based on actual poll closing times. The party with 218 or more seats will be the winner.
There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2022 House election. As a result, any simulation is plausible based on current forecasts, but no individual result is particularly likely to happen. To get a more complete picture, we run 25,000 simulations each afternoon and compile the results.
Heading into the election, Democrats control the House, holding a narrow 222-213 edge over Republicans. To make this calculation, any vacancies are assigned to the previous incumbent’s party. If Republicans gain 5 or more seats, they will take control when the new Congress is seated in January.