2024 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,215 Delegates Needed to Win Nomination

The Republican Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 15, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned

Trump
110

Haley
20

DeSantis
9

Ramaswamy
3

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on January 15, 2024. A majority of the 2,429 delegates (1,215 or more) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.

Visit the Republican Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Republican convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

	AS
	GU
	MP

	PR
	VI

Early	Super Tuesday March 5	Other March	April	May	June
197	865	719	314	240	94

Republican contests allocate pledged delegates in a variety of ways, ranging from winner-take-all to proportional. Some locations base the allocation on the statewide result only. Others use a combination of statewide and jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

A winner-take-all allocation to a candidate getting a plurality of the popular vote is only permitted for contests scheduled after March 15. For earlier contests, it is allowed with certain threshold conditions attached, such as the example in the next paragraph.

Many states have additional rules based on how the vote turns out. For example, ‘winner-take-all if a candidate gets a majority, otherwise proportional to all candidates getting 20%’. Sometimes these rules are different for statewide delegates, and those allocated by congressional district. Visit The Greenpapers and FHQ for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source		Date	Sample	Ramaswamy	Trump	Haley	DeSantis	Binkley	Other
Poll Averages†				79.0%	78.0%	16.0%	15.0%	-	-
	Marquette Law School	2/22/2024	358 RV ±6.6%	-	73%	-	15%	-	12%
	Quinnipiac	2/21/2024	576 RV ±4.1%	-	80%	17%	-	-	3%
	Economist / YouGov	2/21/2024	564 RV	79%	-	14%	-	-	7%
	Morning Consult	2/20/2024	3,854 RV ±2%	-	81%	18%	-	-	1%
	Echelon Insights	2/16/2024	437 LV	-	79%	18%	-	-	3%
	Emerson College	2/16/2024	524 RV	-	77%	13%	-	-	10%
	Economist / YouGov	2/14/2024	557 RV	-	82%	11%	-	-	7%
	Morning Consult	2/12/2024	3,827 RV ±2%	-	80%	18%	-	-	2%
	Morning Consult	2/07/2024	3,752 RV ±2%	-	80%	18%	-	-	2%
	Economist / YouGov	2/07/2024	559 RV	-	81%	13%	-	-	6%
	TIPP Insights	2/07/2024	587 RV ±4.1%	-	74%	17%	-	-	9%
	NBC News	2/04/2024	349 RV ±5.3%	-	79%	19%	-	-	2%
	McLaughlin & Associates	2/01/2024	456 LV	-	81%	19%	-	-	0%
	CNN	2/01/2024	442 RV	-	70%	19%	-	-	11%
	Quinnipiac	1/31/2024	696 RV ±3.7%	-	77%	21%	-	-	2%
	Economist / YouGov	1/31/2024	609 RV	-	73%	17%	-	-	10%
	Yahoo / YouGov	1/30/2024	451 RV	-	79%	14%	-	-	7%
	Emerson College	1/30/2024	571 RV	-	73%	19%	-	-	8%
	Morning Consult	1/29/2024	4,044 RV ±2%	-	81%	18%	-	-	1%
	Morning Consult	1/22/2024	3,855 RV ±2%	-	75%	12%	12%	-	1%
	Echelon Insights	1/22/2024	832 LV	-	68%	13%	13%	0%	6%
	Redfield & Wilton	1/19/2024	618 LV	-	72%	9%	9%	-	10%
	Economist / YouGov	1/17/2024	588 RV	4%	68%	9%	10%	-	9%
	Morning Consult	1/14/2024	3,926 RV ±2%	5%	59%	12%	11%	-	13%
	CBS / YouGov	1/14/2024	721 LV	4%	69%	12%	14%	-	1%
	TIPP Insights	1/11/2024	497 RV ±4.5%	5%	65%	10%	10%	-	10%
	Noble Predictive Insights	1/10/2024	1,068 LV	7%	61%	13%	12%	0%	7%
	Economist / YouGov	1/10/2024	533 RV	5%	65%	12%	10%	-	8%
	Morning Consult	1/09/2024	3,982 RV ±2%	5%	65%	11%	13%	-	6%
	Morning Consult	1/03/2024	4,206 RV ±2%	6%	66%	11%	11%	-	6%
	Economist / YouGov	1/03/2024	529 RV	5%	63%	8%	14%	-	10%
	Suffolk University	1/02/2024	325 LV	6%	62%	13%	10%	-	9%
	Echelon Insights	12/22/2023	443 LV	5%	70%	10%	9%	-	6%
	McLaughlin & Associates	12/21/2023	454 LV	4%	62%	10%	11%	-	13%
	Economist / YouGov	12/20/2023	544 RV	4%	60%	10%	17%	-	9%
	Quinnipiac	12/20/2023	702 RV ±3.7%	4%	67%	11%	11%	-	7%
	NY Times / Siena College	12/20/2023	380 LV	4%	63%	12%	9%	-	12%
	Yahoo / YouGov	12/19/2023	446 RV	3%	56%	10%	15%	-	16%
	Morning Consult	12/19/2023	3,457 RV ±2%	6%	66%	11%	11%	-	6%
	Fox News	12/17/2023	402 RV ±5%	5%	69%	9%	12%	-	5%
	Economist / YouGov	12/13/2023	520 RV	4%	59%	11%	13%	-	13%
	Morning Consult	12/12/2023	3,527 RV ±2%	6%	67%	10%	13%	-	4%
	Emerson College	12/08/2023	466 RV	4%	64%	14%	7%	-	11%
	Wall Street Journal	12/07/2023	419 RV ±4.8%	4%	59%	15%	14%	-	8%
	Monmouth University	12/06/2023	540 RV ±5.4%	4%	58%	12%	18%	-	8%
	Morning Consult	12/05/2023	3,526 RV ±2%	6%	66%	10%	13%	-	5%
	TIPP Insights	12/04/2023	567 RV ±4.7%	7%	61%	10%	9%	-	13%
	Trafalgar Group	12/03/2023	1,084 LV ±2.9%	4%	54%	16%	17%	-	9%
	Morning Consult	11/28/2023	3,944 RV ±2%	6%	64%	10%	14%	-	6%
	Echelon Insights	11/22/2023	413 LV	8%	61%	12%	12%	-	7%
	Emerson College	11/22/2023	662 RV	5%	64%	9%	8%	-	14%
	McLaughlin & Associates	11/21/2023	453 LV	8%	58%	8%	11%	-	15%
	Morning Consult	11/21/2023	3,619 RV ±2%	7%	66%	9%	13%	-	5%
	NBC News	11/19/2023	317 RV ±5.5%	3%	58%	13%	18%	-	8%
	Marquette Law School	11/16/2023	398 RV ±6.6%	4%	54%	12%	12%	-	18%
	Fox News	11/15/2023	453 RV ±4.5%	7%	62%	11%	14%	-	6%
	Yahoo / YouGov	11/15/2023	454 RV	5%	54%	10%	15%	-	16%
	Economist / YouGov	11/15/2023	546 RV	4%	57%	9%	19%	-	11%
	Quinnipiac	11/15/2023	686 RV ±3.7%	4%	64%	9%	16%	-	7%
	Morning Consult	11/14/2023	3,681 RV ±2%	6%	64%	9%	14%	-	7%
	TIPP Insights	11/09/2023	584 RV ±4.7%	7%	54%	6%	13%	-	20%
	CNN	11/07/2023	608 RV	4%	61%	10%	17%	-	8%
	Morning Consult	11/07/2023	3,873 RV ±2%	7%	63%	8%	15%	-	7%
	CBS / YouGov	11/06/2023	552 LV ±5.5%	5%	61%	9%	18%	-	7%
	Trafalgar Group	11/06/2023	1,089 LV ±2.9%	4%	-	15%	13%	-	68%
	Echelon Insights	11/01/2023	430 LV	6%	62%	7%	12%	-	13%
	Economist / YouGov	11/01/2023	518 RV	5%	56%	8%	17%	-	14%
	Quinnipiac	11/01/2023	666 RV ±3.8%	3%	64%	8%	15%	-	10%
	Morning Consult	10/31/2023	3,912 RV ±2%	7%	61%	7%	13%	-	12%
	McLaughlin & Associates	10/26/2023	449 LV	7%	55%	8%	8%	-	22%
	Morning Consult	10/24/2023	3,876 RV ±2%	6%	62%	7%	13%	-	12%
	Suffolk University	10/23/2023	309 RV	3%	58%	11%	12%	0%	16%
	Harvard Caps/Harris	10/20/2023	768 RV	6%	60%	7%	11%	0%	16%
	Emerson College	10/20/2023	728 RV	3%	59%	8%	8%	-	22%
	Yahoo / YouGov	10/19/2023	486 RV	2%	56%	9%	16%	-	17%
	Morning Consult	10/17/2023	3,600 RV ±2%	7%	59%	7%	14%	-	13%
	CNN	10/12/2023	428 RV ±5.7%	4%	58%	8%	17%	-	13%
	Fox News	10/11/2023	449 RV ±4.5%	7%	59%	10%	13%	-	11%
	Cygnal	10/10/2023	865 LV ±3.3%	10%	58%	5%	9%	0%	18%
	Morning Consult	10/10/2023	3,636 RV ±2%	9%	61%	6%	12%	-	12%
	TIPP Insights	10/06/2023	584 RV ±4.1%	7%	54%	6%	13%	-	20%
	SurveyUSA	10/05/2023	1,055 LV ±3.4%	8%	65%	5%	9%	-	13%
	Marquette Law School	10/04/2023	340 RV ±6.7%	4%	56%	6%	12%	-	22%
	Economist / YouGov	10/04/2023	570 RV	4%	58%	7%	13%	-	18%
	Morning Consult	10/02/2023	3,587 RV ±2%	7%	61%	7%	13%	-	12%
	Echelon Insights	10/02/2023	402 LV ±4%	10%	62%	5%	11%	-	12%
	InsiderAdvantage	10/02/2023	850 LV ±3.4%	3%	50%	14%	15%	0%	18%
	Economist / YouGov	9/27/2023	513 RV	5%	53%	7%	14%	-	21%
	Monmouth University	9/26/2023	514 LV ±5.2%	4%	55%	7%	17%	-	17%
	Morning Consult	9/25/2023	3,552 RV ±2%	9%	58%	7%	15%	-	11%
	NBC News	9/24/2023	321 RV ±5.5%	2%	59%	7%	16%	-	16%
	Wash. Post - ABC News	9/24/2023	474 RV ±5.5%	3%	55%	7%	16%	-	19%
	Trafalgar Group	9/22/2023	1,091 LV ±2.9%	6%	56%	4%	14%	0%	20%
	Emerson College	9/20/2023	518 RV	7%	59%	3%	12%	-	19%
	Yahoo / YouGov	9/19/2023	470 RV	5%	59%	5%	13%	-	18%
	Morning Consult	9/19/2023	3,404 RV ±2%	10%	59%	6%	13%	-	12%
	Fox News	9/14/2023	409 RV ±4.5%	11%	60%	5%	13%	-	11%
	Economist / YouGov	9/13/2023	537 RV	6%	53%	5%	14%	-	22%
	Quinnipiac	9/13/2023	728 RV ±3.6%	6%	62%	5%	12%	-	15%
	Morning Consult	9/12/2023	3,715 RV ±2%	9%	57%	6%	14%	-	14%
	TIPP Insights	9/11/2023	509 RV ±4.4%	9%	60%	3%	11%	-	17%
	Redfield & Wilton	9/08/2023	529 LV	10%	65%	2%	9%	-	14%
	Echelon Insights	9/06/2023	397 LV	12%	52%	4%	15%	-	17%
	Premise Poll	9/06/2023	415 RV	5%	61%	5%	12%	-	17%
	Morning Consult	9/06/2023	3,745 RV ±2%	8%	60%	5%	15%	-	12%
	CNN	9/05/2023	784 RV ±4.4%	6%	52%	7%	18%	-	17%
	Wall Street Journal	9/02/2023	600 LV ±4%	5%	59%	8%	13%	-	15%
	Economist / YouGov	8/30/2023	520 RV	6%	52%	4%	16%	-	22%
	Morning Consult	8/29/2023	3,617 RV	10%	58%	5%	14%	-	13%
	Emerson College	8/28/2023	460 LV	9%	50%	7%	12%	-	22%
	Kaplan Strategies	8/27/2023	868 LV ±3.3%	13%	45%	8%	10%	-	24%
	InsiderAdvantage	8/25/2023	850 LV ±3.4%	7%	45%	11%	18%	0%	19%
	McLaughlin & Associates	8/24/2023	450 LV	13%	51%	3%	9%	-	24%
	Yahoo / YouGov	8/22/2023	482 RV	8%	52%	3%	12%	-	25%
	Premise Poll	8/22/2023	376 RV	6%	60%	3%	16%	-	15%
	Echelon Insights	8/21/2023	1,017 LV	15%	57%	3%	12%	-	13%
	Morning Consult	8/21/2023	3,608 RV ±2%	10%	58%	3%	14%	-	15%
	InsiderAdvantage	8/20/2023	750 LV ±3.6%	6%	51%	5%	10%	0%	28%
	CBS / YouGov	8/20/2023	538 LV ±5.7%	7%	62%	2%	16%	-	13%
	Emerson College	8/19/2023	465 LV	10%	56%	2%	10%	-	22%
	Victory Insights	8/18/2023	825 LV ±3.5%	4%	61%	2%	12%	-	21%
	JMC Analytics	8/17/2023	100 LV ±3%	5%	52%	3%	13%	-	27%
	Trafalgar Group	8/17/2023	1,082 LV ±2.9%	4%	55%	4%	17%	0%	20%
	Fox News	8/16/2023	413 RV ±4.5%	11%	53%	4%	16%	-	16%
	Quinnipiac	8/16/2023	681 RV ±3.8%	5%	57%	3%	18%	-	17%
	Economist / YouGov	8/16/2023	527 RV	4%	55%	3%	16%	-	22%
	Morning Consult	8/15/2023	3,064 RV ±2%	9%	57%	3%	16%	-	15%
	Kaplan Strategies	8/14/2023	800 LV ±3.5%	11%	48%	4%	10%	-	27%
	TIPP Insights	8/14/2023	529 RV ±4.3%	8%	57%	4%	12%	-	19%
	Cygnal	8/10/2023	841 LV ±3.4%	11%	53%	3%	10%	0%	23%
	Fairleigh Dickinson	8/10/2023	806 LV ±3.5%	3%	58%	3%	15%	-	21%
	Premise Poll	8/08/2023	401 RV	7%	54%	4%	18%	-	17%
	Morning Consult	8/08/2023	3,486 RV ±2%	8%	59%	3%	16%	-	14%
	Echelon Insights	8/01/2023	399 LV	11%	56%	2%	16%	-	15%
	Morning Consult	8/01/2023	3,176 RV ±2%	9%	58%	3%	15%	-	15%
	Siena College	7/31/2023	932 LV ±4%	2%	54%	3%	17%	-	24%
	Marquette Law School	7/27/2023	348 RV ±5.8%	1%	46%	6%	22%	-	25%
	Premise Poll	7/26/2023	368 RV	5%	58%	2%	17%	-	18%
	McLaughlin & Associates	7/26/2023	452 LV	8%	52%	3%	13%	-	24%
	Economist / YouGov	7/26/2023	498 RV	6%	54%	3%	18%	-	19%
	Morning Consult	7/25/2023	3,576 RV ±2%	8%	59%	4%	16%	-	13%
	Monmouth University	7/25/2023	681 LV ±5.9%	5%	54%	3%	22%	-	16%
	JMC Analytics	7/23/2023	1,100 LV ±3%	3%	53%	3%	17%	-	24%
	Yahoo / YouGov	7/19/2023	468 RV	3%	48%	3%	23%	-	23%
	Quinnipiac	7/19/2023	727 RV ±3.6%	2%	54%	4%	25%	-	15%
	Morning Consult	7/18/2023	3,630 RV ±2%	8%	55%	4%	20%	-	13%
	Premise Poll	7/17/2023	355 RV	4%	55%	3%	20%	-	18%
	TIPP Insights	7/17/2023	486 RV ±4.6%	7%	53%	3%	14%	-	23%
	Economist / YouGov	7/12/2023	502 RV	2%	48%	3%	22%	-	25%
	Morning Consult	7/11/2023	3,616 RV ±2%	8%	56%	3%	17%	-	16%
	Echelon Insights	7/06/2023	413 LV	10%	49%	5%	16%	-	20%
	Fox News	6/28/2023	391 RV ±5%	5%	56%	3%	22%	-	14%
	Premise Poll	6/28/2023	478 RV	1%	59%	3%	21%	-	16%
	Morning Consult	6/27/2023	3,650 RV ±2%	6%	57%	3%	19%	-	15%
	NBC News	6/25/2023	500 RV ±4.4%	3%	51%	4%	22%	-	20%
	Yahoo / YouGov	6/22/2023	466 RV	2%	48%	2%	24%	-	24%
	Emerson College	6/22/2023	362 LV	2%	59%	4%	21%	-	14%
	Morning Consult	6/21/2023	3,521 RV ±2%	3%	57%	3%	20%	-	17%
	McLaughlin & Associates	6/20/2023	454 LV	2%	52%	4%	19%	-	23%
	CNN	6/20/2023	561 RV	1%	47%	5%	26%	-	21%
	Premise Poll	6/14/2023	576 RV	1%	54%	3%	24%	-	18%
	Economist / YouGov	6/14/2023	488 RV	1%	51%	4%	21%	-	23%
	Quinnipiac	6/14/2023	700 RV ±3.7%	3%	53%	4%	23%	-	17%
	Suffolk University	6/13/2023	245 LV	-	48%	4%	23%	-	25%
	Morning Consult	6/13/2023	3,419 RV ±2%	3%	59%	3%	19%	-	16%
	TIPP Insights	6/12/2023	482 RV ±4.6%	2%	55%	3%	19%	-	21%
	CBS / YouGov	6/11/2023	586 LV	1%	61%	3%	23%	-	12%
	Morning Consult	6/06/2023	3,545 RV ±2%	3%	56%	3%	22%	-	16%
	Yahoo / YouGov	6/01/2023	432 RV	3%	53%	3%	25%	-	16%
	Premise Poll	6/01/2023	563 RV	1%	54%	3%	23%	-	19%
	Morning Consult	5/31/2023	3,485 RV ±2%	4%	56%	4%	22%	-	14%
	Echelon Insights	5/26/2023	390 LV	8%	49%	5%	19%	-	19%
	Marquette Law School	5/24/2023	377 RV ±6.1%	3%	46%	5%	25%	-	21%
	CNN	5/24/2023	476 RV	1%	53%	6%	26%	-	14%
	Quinnipiac	5/24/2023	669 RV ±3.8%	1%	56%	3%	25%	-	15%
	Fox News	5/24/2023	410 RV ±4.5%	4%	53%	4%	20%	-	19%
	McLaughlin & Associates	5/24/2023	446 LV	4%	54%	3%	16%	-	23%
	Rasmussen Reports	5/17/2023	996 LV ±3%	2%	62%	5%	17%	-	14%
	Premise Poll	5/16/2023	612 RV	1%	57%	3%	22%	-	17%
	TIPP Insights	5/15/2023	469 RV ±5%	4%	55%	4%	17%	-	20%
	Yahoo / YouGov	5/10/2023	451 RV	4%	48%	4%	28%	-	16%
	Wash. Post - ABC News	5/07/2023	438 RV ±5.5%	0%	45%	1%	20%	-	34%
	Premise Poll	5/02/2023	583 RV	1%	57%	4%	22%	-	16%
	CBS / YouGov	5/01/2023	587 LV	5%	58%	4%	22%	-	11%
	Echelon Insights	4/28/2023	418 LV	4%	50%	5%	23%	-	18%
	Emerson College	4/27/2023	445 LV ±4.6%	3%	62%	3%	16%	-	16%
	Fox News	4/26/2023	412 RV ±4.5%	3%	53%	4%	21%	-	19%
	NBC News	4/23/2023	292 LV ±6%	2%	46%	3%	31%	-	18%
	Yahoo / YouGov	4/21/2023	444 RV	3%	49%	6%	25%	-	17%
	Wall Street Journal	4/21/2023	600 LV ±4%	2%	48%	5%	24%	-	21%
	InsiderAdvantage	4/02/2023	550 LV ±4.2%	1%	57%	5%	24%	-	13%
	Trafalgar Group	4/02/2023	1,123 LV ±2.9%	1%	56%	4%	23%	-	16%
	Echelon Insights	3/31/2023	370 LV	1%	49%	4%	26%	-	20%
	Yahoo / YouGov	3/31/2023	318 RV	1%	52%	5%	21%	-	21%
	Quinnipiac	3/29/2023	671 RV ±3.8%	1%	47%	4%	33%	-	15%
	Fox News	3/29/2023	423 RV ±4.5%	1%	54%	3%	24%	-	18%
	Monmouth University	3/21/2023	521 LV ±6.6%	-	41%	3%	27%	-	29%
	Quinnipiac	3/15/2023	677 LV ±3.8%	0%	46%	5%	32%	-	17%
	CNN	3/14/2023	963 RV ±3.8%	-	40%	6%	36%	-	18%
	Emerson College	2/28/2023	465 LV	-	55%	5%	25%	-	15%
	Fox News	2/26/2023	412 RV ±4.5%	-	43%	7%	28%	-	22%
	Echelon Insights	2/24/2023	419 LV	0%	46%	6%	31%	-	17%
	McLaughlin & Associates	2/23/2023	441 LV	1%	42%	6%	26%	-	25%
	Quinnipiac	2/16/2023	592 RV ±4%	-	42%	5%	36%	-	17%
	Public Policy	2/14/2023	446 LV	-	42%	6%	36%	-	16%
	Yahoo / YouGov	2/10/2023	453 RV	-	37%	5%	35%	-	23%
	Monmouth University	2/09/2023	566 RV ±6.1%	-	33%	1%	33%	-	33%
	North Star Opinion Research	1/31/2023	1,000 LV ±3.1%	-	28%	4%	39%	-	29%
	Echelon Insights	1/27/2023	413 LV	-	36%	2%	34%	-	28%
	McLaughlin & Associates	1/24/2023	457 RV	-	43%	3%	31%	-	23%
	Yahoo / YouGov	1/18/2023	450 RV	-	37%	1%	36%	-	26%
	UMass Amherst	1/14/2023	346 RV	-	37%	3%	34%	-	26%

Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included.

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