2024 Senate Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.

2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

June 19: New Jersey moves from Likely to Safe Democratic.

Crystal Ball 2024 Senate Ratings

The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

June 13: Pennsylvania moves from Likely to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis >

Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings

The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

May 17: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis ($)

 

Inside Elections 2024 Senate Ratings

This map reflects the current 2024 Senate ratings from Inside Elections. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

May 9: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic.

Split Ticket 2024 Senate Ratings

The current 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

March 20: Ohio moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

Elections Daily 2024 Senate Ratings

The current 2024 Senate ratings from Elections Daily. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

May 4: West Virginia moves from Likely to Safe Republican. Read the analysis >

 

 

cnalysis 2024 Senate Ratings

2024 Senate ratings from cnalysis. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

U.S. News 2024 Senate Ratings

The current 2024 Senate ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is the chief correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.

June 19: Maryland moves from Safe to Likely Democratic; New Jersey Likely to Safe Democratic Read the analysis >