2024 Senate Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.
2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
September 7: New Mexico moves from Likely to Safe Democratic.
Crystal Ball 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
September 6: Montana moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican. Read the analysis >
Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
August 15: Nevada moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Read the analysis ($)
Inside Elections 2024 Senate Ratings
This map reflects the current 2024 Senate ratings from Inside Elections. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
August 29: No changes
Fox News 2024 Senate Power Rankings
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
These are the current 2024 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News. Use them as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.
August 12: Initial ratings released
Split Ticket 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
September 7: Florida moves from Likely to Leans R; Nebraska (regular) moves from Safe to Likely R; Nevada Leans to Likely D; Pennsylvania Likely to Leans D; Virginia Likely to Safe D. Read the analysis >>
Elections Daily 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Elections Daily. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
August 9: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Virginia Likely to Safe Democratic. Read the analysis >
cnalysis 2024 Senate Ratings
2024 Senate ratings from cnalysis. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
Updated September 6, 2024
U.S. News 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is the chief correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
June 19: Maryland moves from Safe to Likely Democratic; New Jersey Likely to Safe Democratic Read the analysis >
