2020 House Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2020 House forecast.

2020 House Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2020 House elections based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections as well as the probabilistic FiveThirtyEight model. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the darkest shade.Only congressional districts rated safe by all three are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view this forecast as a table.


October 21: FL-26 moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; IL-13, MI-3 Leans Republican to Toss-up; KS-3 Likely to Safe Democratic.

FiveThirtyEight House Forecast

Updated every four hours, this is an interactive House map derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 House Election Forecast

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House election forecast.

Crystal Ball 2020 House Ratings

The current 2020 House forecast from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

October 20: CA-1 and FL-18 move from Safe to Likely Republican. Read the analysis.

Cook Political Report 2020 House Ratings

The current 2020 House forecast from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

October 21: CA-50, NC-9, WA-3 move from Likely to Leans R; FL-26, VA-2 Toss-up to Leans D; GA-6, MN-2 Leans to Likely D; IL-13, MI-3, MN-1 Leans R to Toss-up; IL-17 Likely to Leans D; KS-3 Likely to Safe D.

Inside Elections 2020 House Ratings

The current 2020 House forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can view this forecast as a table.

October 16: 22 ratings changes

Politico 2020 House Forecast

The current 2020 House forecast from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.

October 12: 14 changes (scroll to 'Latest rating changes')

Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Forecast

Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection derived from the Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Election Model

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House election forecast.