2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of July 23, 2024
This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.
Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
July 23: Oregon moves from Safe to Likely Democratic.
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Map :
![Taegan Goddard's Political Wire](/images/pol_wire_logo.png)
Trump Calls Harris a ‘Bum’
Harris Seeks Own Voice Without Breaking With Biden
A Dead Heat in the Battlegrounds
Democrats Shift to a Simpler Message
Republicans Are Already Souring on J.D. Vance
Headlines
Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Polls are still limited for the nascent general election match-up, but will become more plentiful in the weeks ahead
Updating the 270toWin Website After Biden's Withdrawal
The site will be updated with tools to reflect an expected contest with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee
Update on U.S. House Vacancies
The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge
Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary
The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.
Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator
Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: