2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of September 10, 2024
This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.
Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
September 10: Alaska moves from Likely to Safe Republican; New Hampshire Leans to Likely Democratic.
To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >
You are viewing:
VT |
|
NH |
|
MA |
|
RI |
|
CT |
|
NJ |
|
DE |
|
MD |
|
DC |
Map :
Conspiracy Theorist Joins Trump for 9/11 Ceremony
Trump Allies Don’t Want Him to Debate Harris Again
How Swing Voters Reacted to the Debate
A Catastrophic Debate for Trump
Taylor Swift Registers New Voters
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries
The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday
Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary
Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold
Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election
Top two runoffs are required in 10 state legislative districts where no candidate received a majority in the June 18 primary
538 Forecast Model Relaunches for Harris vs. Trump General Election
The forecast starts with a small lead for Harris, but the site notes a wide range of outcomes are ultimately possible
Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries
Just a handful of 2024 primaries will remain after Tuesday's contests
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: