2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of November 4, 2024

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. 

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican.

To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
no 2024 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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