2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of April 6, 2024

This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

April 6: No changes 

For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

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Headlines

Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections

April 16, 2024

The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall

Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests

April 13, 2024

Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage

Uncontested: 2024 U.S. House Races with Single Major Party Participation

April 11, 2024

These are elections where only one of the two major parties is on the general election ballot

Live Results: Georgia State House Special Election

April 9, 2024

Three Republicans are looking to replace long-time State Rep. Richard Smith, who died in January

No Labels to Abandon Third Party Bid for 2024

April 4, 2024

Decision comes after the death of Joe Lieberman and failure to recruit a credible candidate