2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of May 18, 2024

This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

May 18: ME-02 moves from Leans to Likely Republican; NE-01 Likely to Safe Republican.

For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.

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no 2024 election

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Mother of Hunter’s Biden Child to Publish Book

The co-chairman of a super PAC supporting Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.’s presidential campaign...

North Carolina Governor’s Race Is a Toss Up

Cook Political Report: “Our initial rating of this contest, now set between...

Marco Rubio Doesn’t Want to Audition for Trump

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) “has not visited the courthouse in Manhattan to flaunt...

Top Republicans Push Trump’s Election Fraud Narrative

“Top Republicans are already rushing to buy into a new 2024 election fraud...

DNC Will Nominate Biden Before the Convention

“The Democratic National Committee is preparing to nominate President Biden...


Overview and Live Results: Texas Primary Runoff Elections

May 28, 2024

30 runoffs for U.S. House and State Legislative seats where no candidate received a majority in the March 5 primary

Idaho Democratic Caucus Results

May 24, 2024

Joe Biden received 95%, winning all 23 pledged delegates

Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries

May 21, 2024

Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon

Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election

May 20, 2024

The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.

Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs

May 14, 2024

Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest