2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of November 4, 2024

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. 

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican.

To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
no 2024 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Headlines

Sen. Thom Tillis Will Not Seek Reelection Next Year

June 29, 2025

He had come under attack from Trump after voting "no" to advance the president's signature legislation

Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon Not Seeking Reelection in 2026

June 28, 2025

A formal announcement will come Monday; Bacon was seen as among the more endangered Republicans next year

Overview and Live Results: New York City Mayoral Primary

June 24, 2025

Several other city offices are on the ballot

Live Results: Buffalo Mayoral Primary and Legislative Special Elections

June 24, 2025

Buffalo's acting mayor seeks renomination for a full term; a FL special features the ultimate sibling rivalry

Overview and Live Results: 2025 Virginia Primary

June 17, 2025

Statewide offices and seats in the House of Delegates are on the ballot this year