2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of October 8, 2024

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. 

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

October 8: No changes

To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >

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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

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Headlines

Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

October 4, 2024

An appeals court ruling earlier this week set the stage for political betting by U.S. residents

Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election

October 1, 2024

The final special election before the November general election will fill a vacant safely Democratic seat in the Birmingham area.

Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

September 18, 2024

The winner will complete the term of the late Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

September 10, 2024

The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday

Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

September 3, 2024

Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold