2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of February 6, 2024
This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
February 6: No changes
For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
Trump Has a Small Donor Problem
Trump Aides Seek to Secure McConnell Endorsement
Trump Still Has Nikki Haley on His Mind
Hunter Biden Sees His Sobriety as Key to Defeating Trump
Trump’s Primary Results Are Not Matching Expectations
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: South Carolina Republican Primary
The winner of this primary has been the GOP nominee in all but one cycle since 1980
Overview and Live Results: Milwaukee Mayoral Primary
Mayor Cavalier Johnson is seeking reelection to a full four-year term
Overview and Live Results: Special Election Tuesday to Fill the Congressional Seat Held by George Santos
Several legislative special elections are also being held Tuesday
Wisconsin Republican Rep. Mike Gallagher Won't Seek Reelection
The move comes just days after he bucked his party, voting against the impeachment of Homeland Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas
Rosendale to Run for Senate in Montana; Hogan Announces Candidacy in Maryland
Both have an uphill challenge - Rosendale is not the candidate favored by his party, while Hogan would face a difficult general election in a deep blue state
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: