2020 Senate Election Forecasts

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

2020 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast

A consensus outlook for the 2020 Senate elections based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all three of these forecasters are shown in the darkest shade.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

July 23: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Georgia (regular) and Iowa move from Leans Republican to Toss-up.

2020 Senate Map Based on Polls

Updated three times daily, this map looks at this year's 35 Senate races based purely on polling.  The consensus rating is used where there are no polls as well as for the Georgia special election.

States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.

Keep in Mind: Polling is quite limited in most states and not all nominees have been determined. Most importantly, polling is a snapshot in time. This far from November, it may be of limited predictive value.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

Crystal Ball 2020 Senate Ratings

The current 2020 Senate race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use their map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

August 5: Georgia (special) moves from Leans to Likely Republican; Iowa moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up. Related Article: Top 12 Senate Flip Targets

Cook Political Report 2020 Senate Ratings

The current 2020 Senate forecast from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

July 23: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Iowa and Georgia (regular) from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Minnesota and New Mexico from Likely to Safe Democratic.  Read the analysis.

Inside Elections 2020 Senate Ratings

The current 2020 Senate forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

July 10:  Alaska, South Carolina move from Safe to Likely Republican; Georgia (special), Texas move from Likely to Leans Republican, Georgia (regular) moves from Likely to Tilt Republican; Iowa, Montana move from Leans Republican to Toss-up. Arizona moves from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic

Politico 2020 Senate Forecast

The current 2020 Senate forecast from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

July 6: Arizona moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Iowa and Montana from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Oregon from Likely to Safe Democratic

Niskanen Center Senate Forecast

The current 2020 Senate forecast from Rachel Bitecofer of the Niskanen Center. Read the full analysis here

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 Senate forecast.

July 26: Georgia (special) moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; Maine from Leans to Likely Democratic; Texas from Likely to Leans Republican.