Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection derived from the Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Election Model

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (90%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House election forecast.

 

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up
         
       

Note: This color is used for Libertarian (MI-3)

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As of Oct. 21, 2020 Details >>

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House Elections 2020

Current 232 197 1 5*
Consensus Forecast 230 181 0 24
Forecast

Forecast: Totals on interactive map
* Vacant Seat(s)

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions Margin of Victory
Consensus Map House(a) President(b)
AK-AL Don Young
1973 24th
6.5% 15.2%
AR-2 French Hill
2015 3rd
6.3% 10.7%
AZ-6 David Schweikert
2011 5th
10.3% 10.0%
CA-21 TJ Cox
2019 1st
0.5% 15.5%
CA-25 Mike Garcia
2020 1st
8.7% 6.7%
CA-39 Gil Cisneros
2019 1st
3.1% 8.6%
CA-48 Harley Rouda
2019 1st
7.1% 1.7%
CO-3 Scott Tipton
2011 5th
7.9% 12.0%
Incumbent defeated in Republican primary for 2020 election.
FL-15 Ross Spano
2019 1st
6.0% 10.0%
Incumbent defeated in Republican primary for 2020 election.
FL-26 Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
2019 1st
1.7% 16.3%
GA-6 Lucy McBath
2019 1st
1.0% 1.5%
GA-7 Rob Woodall
2011 5th
0.1% 6.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
IA-1 Abby Finkenauer
2019 1st
5.0% 3.5%
IA-2 David Loebsack
2007 7th
12.1% 4.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
IA-3 Cindy Axne
2019 1st
2.1% 3.5%
IL-13 Rodney Davis
2013 4th
1.1% 5.5%
IN-5 Susan Brooks
2013 4th
13.5% 11.8%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
MI-3 Justin Amash
2011 5th
11.2% 9.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
MI-6 Fred Upton
1987 17th
4.5% 8.4%
MN-1 Jim Hagedorn
2019 1st
0.4% 14.9%
MN-7 Collin Peterson
1991 15th
4.2% 30.8%
MO-2 Ann Wagner
2013 4th
3.9% 10.3%
MT-AL Greg Gianforte
2017 2nd
4.6% 20.6%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
NC-2 George Holding
2013 4th
N/A 24.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
NC-6 Mark Walker
2015 3rd
N/A 21.5%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
NC-8 Richard Hudson
2013 4th
N/A 9.1%
NE-2 Don Bacon
2017 2nd
1.9% 2.2%
NJ-2 Jeff Van Drew
2019 1st
7.6% 4.6%
NJ-7 Tom Malinowski
2019 1st
5.0% 1.1%
NM-2 Xochitl Torres Small
2019 1st
1.8% 10.2%
NY-1 Lee Zeldin
2015 3rd
6.0% 12.3%
NY-2 Peter King
1993 14th
6.7% 9.1%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
NY-11 Max Rose
2019 1st
5.9% 9.8%
NY-22 Anthony Brindisi
2019 1st
1.2% 15.5%
NY-24 John Katko
2015 3rd
6.2% 3.6%
OH-1 Steve Chabot
2011 5th
4.2% 6.6%
OK-5 Kendra Horn
2019 1st
1.3% 13.4%
OR-4 Peter DeFazio
1987 17th
15.0% 0.1%
PA-1 Brian Fitzpatrick
2017 2nd
2.5% 2.0%
PA-10 Scott Perry
2013 4th
2.6% 8.9%
SC-1 Joe Cunningham
2019 1st
1.3% 13.1%
TX-10 Michael McCaul
2005 8th
3.9% 9.0%
TX-21 Chip Roy
2019 1st
2.8% 10.0%
TX-22 Pete Olson
2009 6th
4.9% 7.9%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
TX-23 Will Hurd
2015 3rd
0.4% 3.4%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
TX-24 Kenny Marchant
2005 8th
3.2% 6.2%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
UT-4 Ben McAdams
2019 1st
0.2% 6.7%
VA-2 Elaine Luria
2019 1st
2.2% 3.4%
VA-5 Denver Riggleman
2019 1st
6.5% 11.1%
Incumbent defeated in Republican primary for 2020 election.
VA-7 Abigail Spanberger
2019 1st
1.9% 6.5%