Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

We've created a Harris vs. Trump polling map. This will replace the Biden vs. Trump polling map that is no longer being updated.

The polling map does not consider forecasts of how the election will go in November. It is best thought of as an 'if the election was today' view of things.

State-level polling for the nascent general election match-up is extremely limited to this point, but should become more plentiful in the weeks ahead.

Given the lack of polling, each state on the map is rated based on the following methodology:

  1. The calculated Harris vs. Trump polling average (if multiple qualifying polls) or most recent poll (if only one)
  2. If nothing available in #1, we use the Biden vs. Trump average (or most recent poll if only one) as of July 21, the date of the president's withdrawal
  3. If nothing available in #2, we use the 2020 margin between Trump and Biden
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Headlines

House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled

Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin

Republicans Retain House Majority

The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 10

One Senate seat remains undecided, along with ten House seats. Control of the House remains undetermined