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2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
This final update for this map was July 21, the day President Biden withdrew from the race.
Democrats
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Headlines
Rep. Andy Barr Running to Succeed Sen. Mitch McConnell
April 23, 2025
Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections
April 22, 2025
Three vacancies will be filled across these two states
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate
April 22, 2025
She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters
Live Results: April 15 State Legislative and Oakland Mayoral Special Elections
April 15, 2025
Oakland voter will select a new mayor after the prior one was recalled in November
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