2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
This final update for this map was July 21, the day President Biden withdrew from the race.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primaries
Pittsburgh's Mayor and the Philly DA will need to prevail against credible challengers to win renomination
Live Results: New York State Senate Special Election
A competitive race in this Brooklyn district to replace a conservative Democrat elected to City Council
Romanian Presidential Election Saga Ends Sunday
The election, between a centrist and hard-right nationalist, will have major implications on policy for this NATO and EU member country
Election Recap: May 13, 2025
Democrat John Ewing ousted three-term Republican mayor Jean Stothert
Live Results May 13: Omaha Mayor; Legislative Special Elections
Residents of Omaha will elect a mayor, while special elections in several states will help fill legislative vacancies
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