2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls

Current as of Map Timestamp

This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.

States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.

The map will update three times daily. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.


no 2024 election
no 2024 election

Map :

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February 27, 2024

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