2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
The map will update three times daily. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
Peter Meijer Ends Senate Bid in Michigan
Biden Tries to Get Under Trump’s Skin
Maine Could Counter Nebraska Electoral Vote Change
Scott Perry Faces Tough Re-Election Fight
Eric Hovde Repeatedly Criticizes Young People
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primary
Keystone State voters will weigh in on both presidential and downballot contests
Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests
The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory
Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection
His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family
Live Results: Alabama Congressional Primary Runoff, Michigan State House Special Elections
The 2nd Congressional District, open due to redistricting, represents a Democratic pick-up opportunity in the fall
Live Results: Alaska and Wyoming Democratic Presidential Contests
Party run events in these two states will add to President Biden's Delegate Advantage
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