2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
This final update for this map was July 21, the day President Biden withdrew from the race.

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Headlines
Live Results: San Antonio and Garland Texas Mayoral Runoffs
San Antonio hasn't elected a GOP mayor in 30 years, but this race looks competitive
Election Recap June 3, 2025: Dems Hold State House Seat in South Carolina
On a related note, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin has scheduled the special election to succeed the late Gerry Connolly
Live Results: South Carolina State House District 50 Special Election
This will fill the one vacancy in the Republican-dominated chamber
Alabama Sen. Tommy Tuberville Announces Gubernatorial Campaign
He'll be the favorite to succeed termed-out Gov. Kay Ivey in this deep red state
Election Recap May 20, 2025: Pittsburgh Mayor Ousted in Primary
Mayor Ed Gainey was defeated by a more centrist Democrat.
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