Note: This cycle - starting from today - 270toWin will carry live election night results for state legislative and select mayoral elections. For 2021, this includes:
New Jersey State Senate and State House
Virginia State Senate
About three dozen mayoral elections, including New York City
State legislative special elections
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Virginia Senate District 38 Special Election
There are 40 State Senate districts in Virginia. Currently, the chamber has 21 Democrats and 18 Republicans. The next regularly scheduled election is in 2023.
Republican Mo Brooks of Alabama said Monday that he would vie for the state's open U.S. Senate seat in 2022. Incumbent Richard Shelby (R) is retiring after six terms.
This is the second Senate run for Brooks. He finished third in the GOP primary for the 2017 special election, earning 20% of the vote. Due to the timing of that election, Brooks was able to defend his House seat in 2018.
Brooks, a strong supporter of Donald Trump, will be leaving the House after six terms. He represents the very conservative 5th district, which runs across the northern border of the state, including Huntsville. Brooks had no Democratic challenger in 2020; Donald Trump won the district by 27% over Joe Biden.
Rep. Fileman Vela (TX-34) announced Monday that he will not seek a 6th term in 2022. Vela becomes the third member in the past day to announce their departure at the end of this term. Jody Hice (R, GA-10) is running for Secretary of State; Tom Reed (R, NY-23) is not seeking any office.
Vela's South Texas district - oddly shaped like many in the state - runs from the Mexican border up to east of San Antonio, bypassing Corpus Christi along the way. Vela won reelection by about 14% in 2020, running well ahead of Joe Biden, who won by just five points.
Four-term Rep. Jody Hice announced Monday that he will look to unseat Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger in 2022. Hice is expected to secure an endorsement from Donald Trump, as the former president seeks revenge against Raffensperger for defying him in the aftermath of Joe Biden's narrow win in the state's 2020 presidential election.
Hice's move creates a 2022 open seat in Georgia's 10th district, a safely GOP district that runs eastward from the outskirts of the Atlanta area to west of Augusta. Hice and Donald Trump both won by over 20 points here in 2020. Note that after Census-driven redistricting, the boundaries of the district will likely change for 2022.
Responding to a recent accusation of groping, GOP Rep. Tom Reed of New York put out a statement Sunday saying that he would not run for any elected office in 2022. Reed will not seek a 7th term in the House, nor will he run for governor, a possibility he had been seriously considering. Ironically, it is Democratic Gov. Mario Cuomo's own issues with harassment that created an opening for Reed to consider what would otherwise be an extremely long-shot challenge in this deep blue state.
Reed represents the largely rural 23rd district that borders Pennsylvania from Lake Erie to west of Binghamton. Reed won reelection by nearly 17% in 2020, while Donald Trump won here by 11% over Joe Biden.
There are currently five vacancies in the U.S. House of Representatives. Elections for the two open seats in Louisiana are Saturday. These are in the form of a 'jungle primary', where all candidates from all parties appear on a single ballot. If no candidate gets a majority of the vote, the top two - even if of the same party - will advance to an April 24 runoff.
Polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern Time. Live results will appear below after that time.
District 2: Former Rep. Cedric Richmond won a 5th term, with 64% of the vote, in this safely Democratic district that includes most of New Orleans. Richmond resigned January 15 to join the Biden administration. A field of 15 is vying to succeed him in Saturday's primary. Democratic State Sens. Troy Carter and Karen Peterson appear to be the frontrunners. Carter has scored most of the political and newspaper endorsements, while the more progressive Peterson has gotten the support of Stacey Abrams and Emily's List. Activist Gary Chambers, also a Democrat, is the only other candidate seeing notable support in limited polling. In a recent poll, Carter received 35% support, Peterson 24% and Chambers 11%.
Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona announced Friday that she will not seek reelection in 2022. Kirkpatrick has served her five terms across three separate spans. She was first elected in 2008 in District 1, a sprawling region that covered most of the eastern half of the state. Kirkpatrick lost reelection in 2010 to Republican Paul Gosar. After the Census, District 1 became more favorable to Democrats and Kirkpatrick successfully ran for her old seat in 2012. (Gosar ran in District 4 where he still serves today).
Sabato's Crystal Ball is out with an overview of the 2022 gubernatorial landscape. 36 seats will be contested next year, of which 20 are held by Republicans. There are an additional two elections in Democratic-held seats this year. Sabato reviewed the New Jersey and Virginia contests last week.
The map below includes ratings for all 38 contests to be held through 2022. Click/tap it for an interactive version.
A summary of some content changes to the 270toWin website in recent weeks:
2024 Electoral Map There will be a revised electoral map for the next presidential election, based on each state's population as reported in the 2020 Census. The release of that information - usually in December of the Census year - has been delayed until April largely due to the coronavirus. While we don't have the official 2024 map yet, the changes are still expected to be largely the same as those projected at the end of 2019. The interactive electoral map has been updated to reflect that. Using the buttons above the map, you can see how things will change. For example, the 306-232 result in the actual 2020 election becomes 302-236 if repeated in 2024.