Election News

Federal prosecutors indicted Rep. Christopher Collins on Wednesday, charging the third term Republican with securities fraud, wire fraud and making false statements. The charges relate to insider trading associated with a biotech firm.

Collins represents New York's 27th congressional district, a conservative district between Buffalo and Rochester. Collins won reelection by 34% in 2016, and was unopposed in the state's primary in late June. Sabato's Crystal Ball has modified its 2018 election rating from safe to likely Republican on news of the indictment.

Results overview for the four state primaries and the Ohio special election held Tuesday August 7th.

Ohio 12th District Special Election

Republican Troy Balderson has a narrow lead over Democrat Danny O'Connor, with several thousand provisional and absentee ballots still to be counted. Balderson - and President Trump - have claimed victory, but the Associated Press says the race remains too close to call as of Wednesday morning. Oddly, the provisional ballots won't be counted for 10 days. If the final margin is less than 0.5%, there will be an automatic recount. The table below will show the latest results.

Primaries (and special election) for August 7, 2018. Choose one for an overview and results:

Ohio 12th District Special Election

Voters in Ohio's 12th district will fill the vacancy created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. Despite the Republican lean of the district, recent polls have shown very little separation between the nominees, Republican Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O'Connor. This is an extremely tight race for Ohio, where the closest margin of victory in a 2016 U.S. House race was over 18%*. Regardless of who wins, the two will meet again in the November general election. 

Ohio Special Election

The final congressional special election before the 2018 midterms takes place this Tuesday and it is shaping up to be a nail-biter. Voters in Ohio's 12th district will fill the vacancy created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. The most recent poll of the race showed just one point separating the nominees, Republican Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O'Connor. This is an extremely tight race for Ohio, where the closest margin of victory in a 2016 U.S. House race was over 18%*. Regardless of who wins, the two will meet again in the November general election. 

Polls close at 7:30 PM Eastern. If you live in the 12th district, find your polling location.

A few highlights from Thursday's Tennessee primaries. For the vote totals for all congressional and gubernatorial primaries, go here.

Governor

Businessman Bill Lee emerged from a crowded field to win the Republican nomination. Rep. Diane Black finished 3rd, becoming the fifth House member to lose* in a bid for higher office. Lee will start out as the favorite against the Democratic nominee, former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean. The current governor, Republican Bill Haslam, is termed-out.

We don't usually see Thursday primaries, but Tennessee holds one this week. The state has both a Senate and gubernatorial race this year, along with elections in its 9 congressional districts. Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time, which is 7:00 PM local time for those in the Central Time Zone. Unlike many Southern states, there is no runoff - whomever gets the most votes moves on to the general election.

Results will appear below after the polls close. Reload the page for the latest numbers.

Tennessee Gubernatorial Primaries

A new Monmouth University poll indicates another competitive special election is coming up next Tuesday, this time in Ohio's 12th congressional district. The Republican nominee, State Senator Troy Balderson leads by just one point over Democratic nominee Danny O'Connor, who is the Franklin County Recorder. Monmouth's prior poll of the race had Balderson up by 10%. Other recent polling has also shown a close race, although 

The seat has been vacant since January, when former Rep. Pat Tiberi resigned his seat. This Central Ohio district leans Republican - Tiberi won reelection by 36% in 2016, while Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 11%. It has not elected a Democrat since 1980. 

Regardless of who wins on Tuesday, these two will meet again in the November general election for a full two-year term in the 116th Congress that begins in January.

We've added a new 'tilt' ratings option on the interactive maps. It is currently available on the gubernatorial maps, with Senate and House to follow in the near future.

The tilt rating sits between toss-up and leans. The forecaster Inside Elections uses this designation for races that are highly competitive, but where one party has a slight edge. Among the 36 gubernatorial contests in 2018, they currently rate Michigan and Nevada as Tilt Democratic, with Alaska and Ohio Tilt Republican.

The current Inside Elections map follows. Use it as a starting point to create your own 2018 gubernatorial forecast:

Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp moved on to the general election after easily defeating the state's Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle in Tuesday's Republican gubernatorial runoff election. Recent polling had indicated that Kemp had moved ahead in the race, but none foresaw Kemp's 39% margin of victory. 

Kemp will meet Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in the general election. Abrams is attempting to become the first black female governor in the nation's history. The most recent poll of the race, conducted by SurveyUSA, showed Kemp with a two point lead, well within the margin of error. It will be interesting to see if/how that margin changes now that the GOP nomination has been decided.

There are three runoff elections of note in Georgia Tuesday. Republicans will choose a nominee in the gubernatorial race, while Democrats will go to the polls to do the same in the state's 6th and 7th congressional districts. 

Polls close at 7:00 PM. Results will begin to appear on this page shortly thereafter. Reload for the latest updates.

In the gubernatorial race, Republican Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle faces off against Brian Kemp, the Secretary of State. Cagle received more of the vote (39% to Kemp's 25%) in the May 22nd primary and also led in early runoff polling. However, two of the most recent polls have Kemp well ahead by 18 points, while a third has him up by 6%. Kemp was also endorsed by President Trump in a tweet last week.