Election News

Nebraska Special Election Winner Mike Flood is Sworn In; Democratic Margin Narrows to 220-211

The newest member of the U.S. House is Republican Mike Flood, now representing Nebraska's First Congressional District. He was sworn in Tuesday evening.  

Flood won the June 28 special election by a 53% to 47% margin over Democratic State Sen. Patty Brooks. He will complete the term of fellow Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who resigned at the end of March. Flood and Brooks will have a rematch in November for a full two-year term; both were nominated by their respective parties in the state's May 10 primary.

Vulnerable U.S. House Incumbents in Remaining Primaries

The 2022 Election Calendar picks back up on July 19 with the Maryland primary. From that date through mid-September, 20 states - with 155 total congressional districts - will hold their U.S. House nominating contests. 

Thus far, eight incumbents - five Republicans and three Democrats - have been defeated. Half of those were in 'double-bunking' situations: two incumbents forced to compete in a primary due to redistricting.

Our friends at Split Ticket have published an article discussing the prospects of vulnerable incumbents in the remaining primaries. With their permission, we've reprinted it below.

Interactive Maps for FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast

FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions.

For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast (watch or listen) from June 30. You can also read the model methodology.

In each map, the Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).

Three More Incumbents Lose in Primary; Total House Retirements Grows to 58

With three incumbents going down to defeat in primaries earlier this week, the total number of U.S. House retirements has grown to 58 current members. That's over 13% of the 435 seat chamber. 

The list includes 34 Democrats and 24 Republicans. 17 of those are seeking another office, while eight - five Republicans and three Democrats - lost renomination. 

Click or tap the image for more details.

Live Results: Seven States Hold Primaries or Runoffs; There's a U.S. House Special Election as Well

Five states hold their primaries this Tuesday, while two others conduct runoff elections. There is also a special election to fill the vacancy in Nebraska's 1st Congressional District. 

After Tuesday, there is an extended break on the election calendar. July is limited to the Maryland primaries on the 19th and North Carolina runoffs on the 26th. This is followed by a very busy August where most of the remaining states will hold their contests.

On this page, we'll provide an overview of some of the more interesting races. Use the links below to see all results. Latest poll closing (Eastern Time) appears below the state name. If you are voting in one of these states, check with your polling place as the hours may differ.

Live Results: Virginia Primary; Runoffs in Alabama, Arkansas, and Georgia

Virginia holds its statewide primaries Tuesday. These are limited to contested primaries for U.S. House, as state offices are up in odd-numbered years, and the next U.S. Senate election is in 2024.

There are also runoff elections in Alabama, Arkansas, and Georgia for those offices where no candidate received a majority of the vote in the primary election. In addition, the District of Columbia is holding primaries for mayor and its non-voting delegate to the U.S. House.

Use the links below to see all results. Latest poll closing (Eastern Time) appears below the state name. If you are voting in one of these locations, check with your polling place as the hours may differ.

House Update: Partisan Composition, Retirements, Redistricting

Partisan Composition of the U.S. House

Republican Connie Conway (CA-22), who won a recent special election, was sworn in earlier this week. Democrats now hold a 220-209 edge over Republicans. There are six vacancies.

Create your own election forecast with the 2022 House Interactive Map.

Live Results: TX-34 Special Election; Primaries in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina

Four states hold primaries this Tuesday, and there is also a special general election to fill a congressional vacancy in Texas. On this page, we'll provide an overview and live results for several key races.

Use the links below to see all results. Latest poll closing (Eastern Time) appears below the state name. If you are voting in one of these states, check with your polling place as the hours may differ.

Maine >> Nevada >> North Dakota >> South Carolina >> 
8:00 PM  10:00 PM 8:00 PM* 7:00 PM

*Mountain Time Zone locations close at 9:00 PM Eastern

We're also following three mayoral primaries in Nevada and a State Senate special election in Maine

U.S. House Special Election

Texas Congressional District 34

Democrat Filemon Vela resigned in March. Republicans are spending heavily to flip the vacant seat, as a win would signal continued momentum with Latino voters, which could help the party's prospects both here and in neighboring competitive South Texas districts 15 and 28 this fall. 

The special election is being contested using the existing district lines, while those for the fall use the map created in redistricting.

Live Results: Mayoral Primaries in Three Nevada Cities

Coinciding with the statewide primary, voters in three Nevada cities, all among the nation's 100 most populous,1 1City rankings are based on July 1, 2021 Census Bureau population estimates. They are for the city itself, not the associated metropolitan area will cast their ballots in mayoral elections Tuesday.

These are nonpartisan contests (NPA in the results tables).  Polls close at 10:00 PM Eastern Time.


Overview and Live Results: Alaska At-Large Congressional Special Primary

Voters in Alaska have a lot of options from which to choose as they cast their ballot in the all-party primary for the state's at-large congressional district. The seat became open for the first time in nearly half a century when Republican Don Young died in March.

The primary has been conducted largely by mail, with ballots sent to registered voters in late April. Those must be postmarked on or before Election Day, Saturday, June 11. Any ballots that meet that criteria that are received by June 21 will be counted.

There are in-person polling places available on Election Day. The latest of these close at 8:00 PM Alaska Time (midnight Eastern). Live results will appear below after that time, although with the extended window to receive mail ballots, it may be a while before the outcome is known.