Election News

Indiana Sen. Mike Braun has filed paperwork to run for governor in 2024. Braun will be looking to succeed fellow Republican Gov. Eric Holcomb, who is ineligible to run for a third consecutive term.

An official announcement of Braun's candidacy is expected soon, per the Senator's Chief of Staff.  Should that happen, a crowded Senate GOP primary field may evolve. 

Indiana is one of just 10 GOP-held seats up in 2024. Democrats will be defending 21 seats. Two seats held by Senate independents that caucus with the Democrats are also on the ballot.

Rep. Donald McEachin died Monday, following a long battle with cancer. He was 61. The Virginia Democrat had been reelected for a fourth term earlier this month.

pic.twitter.com/ev2jRb5Gwr

— Rep. Donald McEachin (@RepMcEachin) November 29, 2022

Virginia District 4 includes the state capital, Richmond. It is a safely Democratic district. Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) will set a special election to fill the vacancy.

If there are no further changes, the partisan composition of the House for the final month of this Congress will be 219 Democrats and 213 Republicans, along with three vacancies. The open seats were all previously held by Democrats. The other two are in Florida, where Reps. Charlie Crist (FL-13) and Ted Deutch (FL-22) resigned earlier this year. 

Republicans will take control of the House January 3 - five weeks from today - having won at least 220 seats in the midterm elections. The most likely final outcome is a 222-213 GOP margin, an exact mirror of the Democratic 222-213 edge after the 2020 election.

On Wednesday, the Alaska Division of Elections will conduct the ranked choice tabulation to determine the winner of its U.S. Senate and U.S. House races. This process takes place where no candidate gets a majority of the first choice general election votes.

In the gubernatorial race, incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is currently just over 50%; he is likely to win outright once the final vote is certified.

Watch the tabulation livestream here at 4:00 PM Alaska Time (8:00 PM Eastern).

U.S. House

Republicans clinched the House earlier this week and will enjoy a narrow majority when the new Congress is seated in January. Currently, the party has won 219 seats, while Democrats have won 212. The Democratic total includes California 34, where one of two Democrats on the ballot will prevail.

Four seats remain uncalled. Of those, Democrats are expected to win Alaska's At-Large District, while Republicans are almost certain to win Colorado 3. That will bring the tally to 220-213. The remaining two Districts, California 13 and California 22, could break either way.

Colorado District 3

U.S. House

Republicans clinched the House majority late Tuesday. CA-03, called by Decision Desk for Kevin Kiley, put the GOP over the top. The Associated Press made a similar call Wednesday evening, with CA-27 the decisive call there. 

Based on Decision Desk calls, Republicans now have 219 seats, Democrats 208. The Democratic number includes CA-34, where two Democrats are on the ballot. Of the remaining eight seats, Democrats are likely to win in AK, CA-06, CA-13, and OR-06. That will make the total 219-212. The other four are up in the air, although Republican Lauren Boebert may be slightly favored at this point in CO-03.  See the current map>

Alaska: This is expected to be decided in the Ranked Choice tabulation on November 23.

The Latest

• Democrat Katie Hobbs wins hotly-contested Arizona gubernatorial race. 
• Republicans reach 217 House seats; the next call in their favor will give them the majority. 
• Maine ranked choice tabulation today will determine winner of Congressional District 2. Update: This will be finalized on Wednesday.  Watch Live> 

U.S. House

Republicans have won 217 seats, just one shy of the 218 needed to win control of the House in the next Congress. Democrats have won 205. This includes two seats in California where both candidates on the ballot are Democrats, although the specific winner is not yet known. 

Of the 13 remaining seats to be decided, nine are in California. The others are in Alaska, Colorado, Maine, and Oregon. See the live map here >

Alaska: This is expected to be decided in the Ranked Choice tabulation on November 23.

Governor

34 of the 36 gubernatorial races have been called. There have been three flips thus far. Democrats won in both Maryland and Massachusetts as popular GOP governors retired in otherwise deep blue states. In a much closer race, Republican Joe Lombardo ousted Democrat Steve Sisolak in Nevada.

Arizona: A hotly-contested battle between Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican Kari Lake remains too close to call as of Monday afternoon. However, given the vote that remains to be counted, Hobbs looks to be favored to win. 

U.S. Senate

Nevadans reelected Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, earning Democrats the 50th seat needed to maintain control of the Senate in the 118th congress. The final seat will be determined in a Georgia runoff on December 6. Pennsylvania is the only Senate seat that has flipped thus far. In Alaska, we know a Republican will win, but we won't know which one until November 23. 

That runoff remains important. As Roll Call notes, "In a 50-50 Senate, operating precedents provide for equal membership on committee rosters, and committee rules generally require a majority vote for issuing of a subpoena without approval of the ranking member. Therefore, with just a one-seat advantage, Democratic committee chairs would yield additional powers."

As of midday Saturday, November 12, control of each chamber of Congress remains undecided. 

U.S. Senate

Sen. Mark Kelly has won reelection in Arizona, bringing Democrats to the doorstep of retaining control of the Senate. Each party now sits at 49 seats, with Nevada and Georgia remaining. The Georgia race is going to a December 6 runoff. As Democrats maintain control at 50 seats - VP Kamala Harris can break ties - this means that Republicans cannot gain control prior to the runoff. 

Pennsylvania is the only Senate seat that has flipped thus far. In Alaska, we know a Republican will win, but we won't know which one until November 23. 

As of midday Friday, November 11, control of each chamber of Congress remains undecided. 

U.S. Senate

At this point, there has been no change, so we'll repeat what we wrote yesterday. At 49 Republicans and 48 Democrats, the battle has come down to Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. The party winning two out of three of those will control the Senate in 2023. The Georgia race is going to a December 6 runoff. Whether that will be the decisive election - as it was in 2020 - will hinge on whether the same party wins both Arizona and Nevada.

Pennsylvania is the only Senate seat that has flipped thus far. In Alaska, we know a Republican will win, but we won't know which one until November 23.