October 15, 2020
We've added an interactive map for the FiveThirtyEight House forecast to our website, incorporating it into the Consensus House Forecast as well. As of this writing, their model gives Democrats a 96% probability of retaining control of the House. The party currently holds 233 seats,1 giving it a cushion of 15 over the 218 needed.
The map will refresh every four hours through November 2. Each update will reflect the then-current probabilities associated with all 435 districts. Click or tap the image below for full details and to use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast.