Election News

In the 6th district Democratic runoff, gun control advocate Lucy McBath defeated businessman Kevin Abel by 7.5%. McBath meets incumbent Republican Rep. Karen Handel in November. Handel will be seeking her first full term after winning a high-profile special election over Jon Ossoff in 2017. Handel will start out the favorite; although this is likely to be one of the most competitive districts in the state.

Meanwhile, in the 7th district Democratic runoff, college professor Carolyn Bourdeaux edged businessman David Kim for the nomination. Bourdeaux will face off against Republican Rep. Rob Woodall in November. This district is seen as a tougher 'get' for Democrats - Woodall is a four-term incumbent who won re-election by 21% in 2016. Trump won here by 7%, while his margin in the adjacent 6th district was under 2% over Hillary Clinton.

In the gubernatorial race, Republican Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle faces off against Brian Kemp, the Secretary of State. Cagle received more of the vote (39% to Kemp's 25%) in the May 22nd primary and also led in early runoff polling. However, two of the most recent polls have Kemp well ahead by 18 points, while a third has him up by 6%. Kemp was also endorsed by President Trump in a tweet last week.

The winner will meet Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in the general election. Abrams is attempting to become the first black female governor in the nation's history. The most recent poll of the race, conducted by SurveyUSA, shows a surprisingly competitive race in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1999.  Both Cagle and Kemp lead Abrams by 2 points, well within the margin of error. The consensus view of the general election is likely Republican, although that may change if Kemp wins the nomination; as Cagle is seen as the stronger general election candidate.

Turning to the House of Representatives, Democrats will choose a nominee in runoff elections in two Atlanta-area districts. Both GOP-held districts are the only two potentially competitive general election districts in the state, although the 7th is more of a reach for Democrats.

In the 6th district runoff, gun control advocate Lucy McBath squares off against businessman Kevin Abel. The winner will meet incumbent Republican Karen Handel in November. Handel will be seeking her first full term; she won a high-profile special election over Jon Ossoff in 2017.

Meanwhile, in the 7th district runoff, it is a college professor, Carolyn Bourdeaux up against businessman David Kim for the nomination. The winner will meet Republican Rep. Rob Woodall in November. This district is seen as a tougher 'get' for Democrats - Woodall is a four-term incumbent who won re-election by 21% in 2016. Trump won here by 7%, while his margin in the adjacent 6th district was under 2% over Hillary Clinton.

More information can be found here.

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We've relocated the information for House incumbents to make it easier to view while you are interacting with the map.  This data now appears below the Map Color Palette to the right of the map. You will see the information box as you hover over a district, or tap once on a mobile device.  A tablet screen or larger is recommended for a better experience with the House map.

Coasting to this easy win, Roby appears to have gotten past the issues around her loyalty to President Trump. Those hindered her re-election campaign in 2016, where she won by only 8% in this very conservative district. Roby will be the prohibitive favorite over Democratic nominee Tabitha Isner in November.

Next Tuesday, there are two runoff elections in Georgia. In the gubernatorial race, Republican Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle faces off against Brian Kemp, the Secretary of State. Cagle received more of the vote (39% to Kemp's 25%) in the May 22nd primary and also led in early runoff polling. However, the race appears to have tightened and could go either way. The winner will meet Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in the general election. 

In Georgia's 6th congressional district - one of the only potentially competitive general election districts in the state - gun control advocate Lucy McBath meets businessman Kevin Abel in a runoff for the Democratic nomination. The winner will meet incumbent Republican Karen Handel in November. Handel will be seeking her first full term; she won a high-profile special election over Jon Ossoff in 2017.

Polls close at 7:00 PM local time (8:00 PM Eastern). Results will appear below after that time; reload the page for the latest.

Roby defeated Bright, who was then a Democrat, in the 2010 election. She was easily re-elected by around 30% in both 2012 and 2014. However, in 2016, after criticizing then-candidate Donald Trump over the 'Access Hollywood' tape, her margin of victory fell to just 8% in a district Trump won by 32%.

Roby has become a supporter of Trump's agenda and was rewarded when the president endorsed her in June. 

Congresswoman Martha Roby of Alabama has been a consistent and reliable vote for our Make America Great Again Agenda. She is in a Republican Primary run-off against a recent Nancy Pelosi voting Democrat. I fully endorse Martha for Alabama 2nd Congressional District!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 22, 2018

The Southeastern Alabama second district is solidly Republican; today's winner will be the overwhelming favorite in November against Democratic nominee Tabitha Isner. If Roby were to lose, she would be the fourth House member to be defeated in a primary this year. The first two upsets were GOP incumbents: In May, Rep. Robert Pittenger (NC-9) lost, followed about a month later by Rep. Mark Sanford (SC-1). In late June, Democratic Rep. Joseph Crowley (NY-14) was ousted.

This article was updated on July 18th to reflect that if Roby had lost she would have been the fourth House member to be defeated. The original article omitted the primary loss by Joseph Crowley.

Consensus Forecast: This first map is based on a calculated average rating of the three forecasters except that the darkest red/blue color is only used for those districts rated safe by all three forecasters. This gives us a broader view of the universe of seats that may be competitive on Election Day. Currently, 324 seats are seen as safe for the incumbent party, with 111 having various levels of competitiveness. Of those, about 90 are currently in GOP hands.

The next special election will be in Ohio's 12th congressional district on August 7th. This opening was created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. This race is seen as toss-up to leans Republican by various pundits, although the two most recent polls (JMC, Monmouth) had the GOP nominee up by about 10 points.

If you are strongly for or against the president's choice, these are the people that need to hear from you.

Kennedy has been the swing vote in recent years for many court decisions that have split the four more liberal and four more conservative justices. As Trump's nominee will almost certainly be more conservative than Kennedy, the elevation of this nominee may well shift the court to the right.

Given the importance of this nomination, we've compiled a list of contact information for all 100 U.S. Senators. This includes mailing address, phone, email and social media. We've also included some related election filters.

If you are strongly for or against the president's choice, these are the people that need to hear from you.

Once Cloud is seated, Republicans will hold a 236-193 margin in the House, with six vacancies. The full list of vacancies is in the table below.

The next special election, on August 7, will fill the vacancy in Ohio's 12th District. This opening was created when Republican Pat Tiberi resigned in January. This race is seen as toss-up to leans Republican by various pundits, although the two most recent polls (JMC, Monmouth) had the GOP nominee up by about 10 points.