The first special election in about four weeks will fill a vacancy in the Wisconsin State Assembly.
District 24
Republicans hold a 63-35 partisan edge in the Wisconsin State Assembly. There is a single vacancy. Members serve two-year terms; the next regular elections are in 2024.
The Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court ordered the state's congressional maps to be redrawn. Republicans, who will likely lose seats with a new map, are expected to take the case to the Court of Appeals, which is the state's highest court.
The ruling, if upheld, returns the process to the Independent Redistricting Commission, created out of a constitutional amendment approved by voters in 2014. The Commission was unable to reach a consensus in its work after the 2020 Census, handing control to the Legislature. Democrats, with large majorities in both branches, passed a map that heavily favored the party.
Democrats held 19 of 27 seats after the 2020 election. Projections based on the enacted map said it could give Democrats as many as 22 of 26 seats.1 1The state lost a congressional seat based on the 2020 Census.
Iowa Republicans voted Saturday to hold party caucuses on January 15, 2024. This coincides with the Martin Luther King Jr. federal holiday, and will be the earliest kickoff to the presidential calendar since 2012.
IT'S OFFICIAL: the date for the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus has been set for January 15, 2024!
— Iowa GOP (@IowaGOP) July 8, 2023
The 2024 Presidential Election Calendar has been updated to reflect this finalized date.
With its caucuses, Iowa has held the earliest nominating contests since 1972. This has been followed by New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary. Both parties have also traditionally held these events on the same day.
It is still unclear how this dynamic will play out in 2024. National Democrats voted earlier this year to upend the calendar, placing South Carolina first on February 3. However, Iowa Democrats have previously said they will caucus on the same day as Republicans, which would be out of compliance with the national party.
The initial 2024 Electoral College Ratings from the team at Sabato's Crystal Ball were released Thursday. The forecaster sees the trend of the last few elections continuing. As they put it in the conclusion of their analysis, "[the reality is] that despite the nation being locked in a highly competitive era of presidential elections, the lion’s share of the individual states are not competitive at all."
Only four states, with 43 electoral votes, start out as toss-up: Georgia (16), Arizona (11), Wisconsin (10), and Nevada (6). The first three were the closest in the 2020 presidential election, with Joe Biden prevailing in each by less than 1%. Another 56 electoral votes lean for one party or the other.
The remaining 439 electoral votes are effectively off the board as things look today. These are nearly evenly split, with 221 electoral votes safe or likely for Democrats, 218 in those same categories for Republicans.
We've added 2024 election calendars to the site, along with content associated with the party nomination process.
Much of this information is preliminary. Expect some changes in calendar dates, contest types, delegate counts and allocations as states and political parties finalize their schedules.
Thanks to FHQ, The Green Papers, and NCSL for making it much easier to compile this content.
Today (June 24) marks 500 days until the presidential election, scheduled for November 5, 2024.
For the second consecutive Thursday, Tennessee is holding a special primary election.
Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.
Tennessee State House District 3
Former Rep. Will Hurd announced Thursday that he is running for president. He joins a Republican field of candidates now numbering into the double-digits.
Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester of Delaware launched her candidacy for U.S. Senate on Wednesday. She is looking to follow fellow Democrat, Sen. Tom Carper, who announced his retirement about a month ago.
I’m running to represent Delaware in the United States Senate.
— Lisa Blunt Rochester (@LisaBRochester) June 21, 2023
I’m filled with Bright Hope for our future. But a more perfect union isn’t a destination. It’s a journey. Let’s go on it together.
Join me ?? https://t.co/tymKWayXko pic.twitter.com/VeXvchGV0v
The move is not unexpected, as Carper endorsed Blunt Rochester in his retirement speech. She has also received encouragement from Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. As a result, no serious competition for the Democratic nomination is expected, and she will be strongly favored to succeed Carper in this deep blue state.
Per the AP, "there are no Black women currently serving in the Senate, and, if elected, Blunt Rochester would be only the third Black woman to have served in the chamber, after Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois and Kamala Harris of California."
Blunt Rochester is in her 4th term as Delaware's sole U.S. House representative. She won reelection by about 13% in 2022. While the field has yet to develop to succeed her, the eventual Democratic nominee is likely to be favored. Republicans last carried the seat in 2008.
Tuesday is primary day in Virginia. Both chambers of the General Assembly are competitive in terms of partisan control, making it it unique among the four states holding legislative elections this year.
Separately, residents of Kansas City will elect a mayor in Tuesday's election.
As the Washington Post reports, Tuesday's primary elections "will be the first time voters have encountered the state’s new electoral maps, which were drawn under supervision of the Supreme Court of Virginia after a bipartisan panel appointed by the legislature failed to reach agreement."
The Post goes on to say that "the new boundaries for the House of Delegates and Senate put incumbent lawmakers in new districts, pitted some veterans against one another and created wide-open new districts, triggering a wave of retirements and guaranteeing at least a third of both chambers will be rookies."
Polls close at 7:00 PM. Winners will advance to the November 7 general election.
